Baylor
— last four years, Baylor is 31-19 SU (+33 in turnovers)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— junior QB has 15 starts.
— last two years, Bears are 7-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— last four years, Baylor is 8-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.
Brigham Young
— 29-9 SU last three years; this is their first year in Big X.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line— added transfers on OL
— senior QB Slovis has thrown 1,268 passes, 68 TD’s at USC/Pitt.
— under Sitake, BYU is 23-30 ATS as a favorite.
— since 2015, BYU is 14-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— BYU is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
Central Florida
— Last six years, UCF is 59-17 SU, 37-37-2 ATS.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line- good depth
— senior QB Plumlee has 22 starts between UCF/Ole Miss.
— last 10 years, Knights are 12-23 ATS coming off a loss.
— in his career, Malzahn is 9-5 ATS as a home underdog, 9-14 as a road dog.
— Central Florida is 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
Cincinnati
— Last 4 years, Bearcats were 53-11 SU/33-30-1 ATS
— New coach Satterfield was 26-24 SU/26-22-2 ATS at Louisville.
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 20 starts back on offensive line; not much experience.
— senior QB Jones started 7 games at Arizona State LY.
— last five years, Cincinnati was 18-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— in his career, Satterfield is 16-8 ATS as road favorite, 9-13-2 as a road dog.
— Cincinnati lost its last three bowls; favorites covered 4 of their last 5 bowls.
Houston
— went 20-7 last two years, after going 7-13 in 2019-20.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 140 starts back on offensive line- should be improved.
— junior QB Smith started 8 games at Texas Tech
— in his career, Holgorsen is 27-42-1 ATS in home games.
— under Holgorsen, Houston is 5-14 ATS at home.
— Cougars are 3-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS in last five bowl games.
Iowa State
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers has withdrawn from school (gambling charges)— Looks like starting QB will be a freshman.
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— Last five years, Cyclones are 11-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— since 2016, Iowa State is 11-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— since 2015, Iowa State is 29-15-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
Kansas
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 18 games.
— last 10 years, Kansas is 21-32-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Jayhawks were 3-0 as a home favorite LY (4-11 from 2013-21)
— last four years, Jayhawks are 13-21-1 ATS in Big X games.
— Kansas won 3 of last 4 bowls (lost 55-53 (+2.5) to Arkansas LY)
— Movie of the Day: Tequila Sunrise (1988)— A drug dealer in Los Angeles tries to go straight, but his past and his underworld connections bring him into the focus of the DEA, the Mexican feds and the Mexican drug cartels.
Mel Gilson is the drug dealer, Kurt Russell/JT Walsh are two of the cops trying to curtail drug dealing, Michelle Pfeiffer owns a restaurant where everyone seems to hang out. Raul Julia is very good in this movie as a Mexican drug dealer.
Very good movie; Gibson/Russell characters are old friends, which complicates things.
— College Football Trend of the Day: Since 2016, Arizona State is 3-10 ATS as a road favorite.
Kansas State
— under Klieman, K-State is 30-20 SU, 32-18 ATS
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 108 starts back on offensive line; all 5 starters are back
— junior QB has started 15 games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 15-7 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 14-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Wildcats are 3-2 SU in last five bowls (favorite covered last four)
Oklahoma
— Sooners were 6-7 LY, after going 97-22 the previous nine years.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— junior QB Gabriel started 12 games LY, also started at UCF
— UCF visits Norman October 21st.
— last two years, Oklahoma is 2-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 10 years, Sooners are 23-15 ATS in non-conference games.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)
Oklahoma State
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Under Gundy, Cowboys are 47-31-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2016, OSU is 20-6 ATS outside the Big X.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
Texas
— Texas is 13-12 last two years, after going 25-12 from 2018-20.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-4 ATS at home, 3-6 on road.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 9-18 ATS as road dog, 10-5 as home dog.
— Since 2016, Texas is 17-7 ATS outside the Big X.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
TCU
— TCU was 13-2 LY, after going 23-24 from 2018-21.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— Horned Frogs will have a new, less experienced QB this year.
— since 2020, TCU is 6-1-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— since 2014, TCU is 18-12-2 ATS outside the Big X.
— last ten years, Horned Frogs are 17-25 ATS coming off a loss.
— TCU won 3 of last 4 bowls, but lost national title game 65-7 in January.
Texas Tech
— Tech went 7-6/8-5 last 2 years (43-54 from 2013-20)
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 16 games
— last four years, Tech is 5-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— last two years, Red Raiders are 8-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
West Virginia
— WVU is 22-25 SU/ATS in four years under Brown.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— whoever QB is will be inexperienced.
— Under Brown, WVU is 13-16 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Brown, WVU is 6-13 ATS coming off win, 14-10 off a loss.
— West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in its last five bowls
