NFL

football


2021 NFL
Playoffs
Saturday’s games
Las Vegas
(10-7) @ Cincinnati (10-7)
— Las Vegas won last four games by total of 12 points.
— Last five games, Raiders are minus-12 in turnovers (2-14)
— Last nine games, Las Vegas was outscored 119-83 in first half.
— Las Vegas is 7-0 when it scores 26+ points, 3-7 when it doesn’t.
— Raiders are 4-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Last four games, Raiders converted 26 of 56 third down plays.
— Raiders are in playoffs for second time in last 19 years.
— This is Carr’s first playoff game; he was hurt back in 2016.
— Raiders’ last playoff win was AFC title game, 19 years ago.

— Cincinnati won/covered last three games that Burrow played.
— Bengals are 2-3 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Burrow’s last four games, Cincinnati outscored foes 50-20 in 2nd half.
— Burrow threw for 971 yards in his last two games.
— Bengals are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-6 otherwise.
— Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games Burrow played.
— Cincinnati lost its last eight playoff games.
— Four of those eight games were at home.
— Bengals last playoff win? 1990 over the Houston Oilers.
— Last three years in this round, #5-seeds are 4-2 vs #4-seeds.
 
— Bengals (-2) beat Raiders 32-13 in Las Vegas in Week 11.
— Cincinnati won four of last five series games.
— Raiders lost last three visits to Cincinnati, by 14-24-17 points.

New England (10-7) @ Buffalo (11-6)
— New England is 1-3 since 14-10 win here in Week 13.
— Patriots-Bills are playing for third time in six weeks.
— Last seven games, Patriots outscored foes 136-52 in second half.
— New England is 7-5 ATS in last 12 AFC East road games.
— New England allowed 13 or less points in last six wins. 
— Patriots are +19 in turnovers in their wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Over is 9-4 in last thirteen New England games.
— Patriots haven’t won a playoff game since 2018 (lost last two).
— Since 2005, New England is 2-4 SU in true road playoff games.
— Jones is rookie QB, obviously his first playoff game.

— Buffalo won its last four games (3-0-1 ATS)
— Bills scored 30 ppg in those four games.
— Bills won AFC East both years since Brady left New England.
— Buffalo is 9-2-2 ATS in last 13 games as home favorite.
— Buffalo is 9-9 ATS in last 18 AFC East home games.
— Last seven games, Bills outscored opponents 97-35 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills converted 27-56 third down plays.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo home games.
— Bills’ playoff win LY was their first playoff win since 1995.
— Patriots converted 3-20 third down plays vs Buffalo this year.

— Road team won last five playoff games between division rivals
— Underdogs covered all five of those games.
— Road team won both NE-Buffalo games this season.
— Patriots threw ball 3 times in 14-10 win here in Week 13.
— Buffalo won three of last four series games, after a 4-34 series skid.
— New England is 7-1 ATS in last eight visits to Buffalo. 

Sunday’s games
Philadelphia
(9-8) @ Tampa Bay (13-4)
— Eagles won six of their last eight games (8-5 ATS last 13).
— Philly outscored last five opponents 79-35 in second half. 
— Philly is 8-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-6 if it allows more.
— Eagles scored 16-14-9 points in last three playoff games (1-2).
— Hurts is 9-10 as a starter; this is his first playoff game.
— Minshew is 9-14 as a starter; this would be his first playoff game.
— Last eight games, Philly converted 73-149 on third down.
— Eagles are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a road dog (2-1 TY)
— Last time Philly was a road underdog? Week 5.
— Eight of last 11 Eagle games went over the total.

— Tampa Bay scored 28+ points in seven of last eight games (6-2 ATS).
— Buccaneers are 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as home favorites (6-2 TY).
— Last three games, Tampa Bay outscored opponents 62-17 in 2nd half.
— Last six games, Bucs converted 42-88 third down plays.
— Buccaneers are 7-5 ATS this season, coming off a win.
— Before LY, Tampa Bay hadn’t won a playoff game since 2002.
— Brady is 34-11 SU in his playoff games.
— Buccaneers scored 30+ points in all four playoff games LY.
— Under is 7-5 in Tampa Bay’s last dozen games.

— Bucs (-7) won 28-22 in Philadelphia in Week 6 (led 21-7 at half).
— Tampa Bay outgained the Eagles, 399-213.
— Buccaneers won last three series games.
— Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in last eleven meetings.

San Francisco (10-7) @ Dallas (11-6)
— 49ers outgained last four opponents by 100+ yards each.
— SF won/covered four of their last five games.
— 49ers are 8-3 ATS last eleven games as a road underdog.
— Underdogs covered 49ers’ last four road games.
— 49ers are 4-6 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— Garoppolo won two of his three playoff starts.
— 49ers are 16-11 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
— Niners are in playoffs for second time in last eight years.
— 49ers lost Super Bowl 31-20 to Chiefs two years ago.

— Dallas won/covered five of last six games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
— Dallas is 13-4 against spread this year.
— Cowboys are 5-3 ATS as home favorites this season.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 106-20 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas has 15 takeaways in its last six games (+10)
— Last four games, Dallas converted 29-53 on third down.
— Cowboys are 8-3 ATS this year, coming off a win.
— Seven of last 11 Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Cowboys are 3-9 in last 12 playoff games (3-2 since 2014).
— Dallas lost four of its last six home playoff games.

— Dallas won last three series games, scoring 35 ppg.
— 49ers (-3.5) lost 41-33 here last year.
— Over the years, Dallas is 3-2 vs SF in playoff games.

Pittsburgh (9-7-1) @ Kansas City (12-5)
— Steelers won three of their last four games.
— Steelers scored less than 20 points in 3 of those 4 games.
— Last seven games, Steelers were outscored 100-22 in first half.
— Last six games, Pittsburgh outscored foes 96-62 in 2nd half.
— Steelers are 16-6 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
— Pittsburgh lost last three playoff games, giving up 36-45-48 points.
— Steelers’ last playoff win was 18-16 at Arrowhead in 2016.
— Pittsburgh is 8-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
— Steelers were outgained in nine of last ten games.
— Three of last four Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.

— Chiefs won nine of last ten games (6-2 ATS last eight).
— Last 10 games, Chiefs outscored foes 169-71 in first half.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 4-5 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 21 takeaways in last seven games (+15)
— Kansas City covered its last four home games.
— Kansas City converted 39 of last 73 third down plays.
— Chiefs’ last five games went over the total.
— Chiefs are 5-1 SU in last six playoff games, 1-1 in Super Bowls.
— Last three years, Chiefs scored 31 ppg in playoff games.

— Steelers (+10) trailed 23-0 at half, lost 36-10 at Arrowhead 3 weeks ago.
— Chiefs won last two meetings, 42-37/36-10.
— Steelers are 3-4 in last seven visits to Arrowhead.

Monday’s game
Arizona
(11-6) @ LA Rams (12-5)
— Cardinals lost four of last five games, giving up 28.4 ppg.
— Last four weeks, Arizona was outscored 53-29 in first half.
— Cardinals are +16 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Arizona converted 49 of last 102 third down plays.
— Redbirds are 3-2 ATS coming off a loss this season.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.
— Cardinals are in playoffs for first time since 2015.
— This is Murray’s first career playoff game.
— Road team won last five playoff games between division rivals

— Rams won five of their last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Under McVay, LA is 16-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
— LA is 9-3 SU indoors this season.
— Rams are 11-5 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Under McVay, Rams are 3-3 SU in playoff games, 1-1 at home.
— In his career, Stafford is 0-3 in playoffs, all road games.
— Under is 4-1 in Rams’ last five home games.

— Rams won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Arizona (+6) won 37-20 here in Week 4, running for 216 yards.
— That was Cardinals’ only cover in last five road series games.
— Rams (+2.5) won rematch 30-23 in Week 14. 

 

 

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