NFL

football


Super Bowl, Atlanta
As a Ram fan since 6 years old (long, long time ago), I cannot make an objective prediction on this game. Here are my random thoughts on Sunday’s Super Bowl:

— Underdogs won five of the last seven Super Bowls.
— Underdogs are 12-5 vs spread in last 17 Super Bowls
— Belichick is 5-3 in Super Bowls, all of which were decided by 8 or less points.
— Rams were last in a Super Bowl 17 years ago; they’re 1-2 in Super Bowls.
— Since 1990, this is first time both #2-seeds made the Super Bowl. 

— Rams won their last four games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
— LA is 7-2 on road this season, losing at New Orleans/Chicago.
— Rams are 3-1 in domes this season, splitting pair in New Orleans.
— LA is 2-2 this season in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Rams were 4-0 vs AFC this season, playing AFC West. 

— New England is 4-5 away from Foxboro this season; they’re 2-2 in games with a spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Patriots won their last four games, scoring 38-41-37 points in last three; under is 5-4 in their road games. NE lost its only game in a dome, 26-10 at Detroit in Week 3.
— Eight of Patriots’ last 11 games stayed under the total.
— New England was 3-1 vs NFC teams this year; they played the NFC North. 

— New England won its last five games with the Rams; last Ram win was 24-17 during 2001 season, a year that ended with those teams meeting in the Super Bowl.
— Rams’ WR Brandin Cooks played for New England LY; CB Aqib Talib played for the Patriots in 2012-13.
— Sean McVay is in his 2nd year as a head coach; Belichick has won five Super Bowls.
— It is a domed stadium in Atlanta but roof can open; they haven’t announced yet whether roof will be open. 

— AFC won four of last six Super Bowls.
— Weird stat: In Belichick’s eight Super Bowls, Patriots scored total of 3 points in first quarter.
— Since 2010, NFL head coaches are 6-27 in their first game against Belichick, 3-1 in last four.

— Here are the scores of the eight Super Bowls with Brady/Belichick in them:
SB36— NE 20, Rams 17
SB38— NE 27, Carolina 24
SB39— NE 24, Philadelphia 21
SB42— Giants 17, NE 14
SB46— Giants 21, NE 17
SB49— NE 28, Seattle 24
SB51-    NE 34, Atlanta 28 OT
SB52— Philadelphia 41, NE 33


2018 week-by-week results
HF                      HU        Totals O/U   AFC-NFC
1) 5-6-1          2-2          8-8              2-2
2) 4-6              5-1          8-8               1-1
3) 7-5               3-1          8-8              5-3N
4) 5-5-1           2-2         6-4U           3-1A
5) 7-4               3-0          8-7O           2-0A
6) 3-4               4-4          9-6O          3-1N
7) 3-5-1           0-5          10-4U         4-2N
8) 3-5                2-4       8-5-1U         3-1N
9) 5-5                1-2           7-6U           3-2A
10) 3-6-1         2-2           8-6O           3-2A
11) 7-4              2-2          8-6-1O        1-0A
12) 7-4              2-3          8-5-1O        1-0A
13) 4-4-1          5-2           11-5U          2-0A
14) 4-5              4-3            8-8              1-1
T) 67-68-5     37-33     104-97U      25-24A

2017 week-by-week results
HF               HU           Totals O/U   AFC-NFC
1)  5-5           3-2         4-11             1-0N
2) 6-6           2-2         6-9-1          3-2A
3) 1-4            8-2         10-5            3-0N
4) 4-7           2-3          8-7-1          2-2
5) 4-7            1-1          6-8             3-0A
6) 3-8           3-0          8-6             3-1N
7) 5-0-2       3-4          7-8              1-1
8) 5-4           0-4          7-6             3-1N
9) 5-2-1       0-3-1      5-8             2-0N
10) 4-3          3-3-1      8-6             5-0N
11) 4-4            1-5          7-7              2-2
12) 7-2-1        1-5         8-8              2-2
13) 5-4            5-2         7-9              2-0A
14) 5-4            4-3         7-8              4-2N
15)  7-2           3-3-1      7-9             4-0N

T) 70-62-2   39-40-3   106-115-2   35-19N


Selections

Armadillo’s football tips
I want to thank my friend Big Dawg for picking games again this year and having another winning season. Big Dawg is a tough SOB; he didn’t miss a week this season, despite having a knee replaced in October, and for that I am grateful. Happy New Year!!!!
————–
2018 bankroll: 9-6-1, plus 72 piccolos
2017 bankroll:
 11-7, plus 99 avellinis
Big Dawg’s selections
Another winning season!!!!
———–

2018 bankroll: 27-24, plus 18 harbaughs
2012-18 bankroll: 184-148-10, plus 639 pisarciks