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AAF Week 2
Home teams won/covered all four games last week; under was 3-1. With no kickoffs after scores in this league, averaging starting field position will be more similar than NFL games. 

Salt Lake (0-1) @ Birmingham (1-0)— Stallions got whacked 38-22 in Tempe Sunday night, giving up 416 yards, most of any team in AAF, but they also scored 22 points, by far most of any road team LW- they converted 8-16 on 3rd down, but were undone by three turnovers (-3). Iron held Memphis to 202 yards, least in league; they scored two TD’s, three FG’s on three drives to red zone. Salt Lake split its QB duties; they completed only 17-35 passes. Iron played Luis Perez at QB- he played in one exhibition game for the Rams couple years ago. 

Arizona (1-0) @ Memphis (0-1)— Hotshots gained 416 yards, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt, both best in AAF LW; they had four different RB’s get 6+ carries, as teams try to establish who their regulars are. Wake Forest alum Wolford went all the way at QB in the win. Memphis was blanked 26-0 in Birmingham, gaining only 202 yards, converting 2-10 on 3rd down. Express averaged 3.4 yards/pass attempt, lowest in the league; former Jets’ draft pick Hackenberg was 10-23 for 87 yards before getting replaced. 

Orlando (1-0) @ San Antonio (1-0)— Do these coaches have an edge? Spurrier coached in the USFL, Riley in the WLAF, so they’ve been down this road before. Orlando scored 20 points on three drives that began in Atlanta territory LW, in their 40-6 win. Apollos outgained Atlanta by 139 yards- they averaged 8.1 yards/pass attempt. Commanders converted 9-18 on 3rd down LW, ran 17 more plays (74-57) in their 15-6 win, but they weren’t good in red zone (15 points on five drives). Woodside went whole way at QB for San Antonio.

Atlanta (0-1) @ San Diego (0-1)— Atlanta’s HC quit before the season started last month; their new coach has never been a HC before. We’ll see if that is an issue. Simms/Murray combined for three INT’s LW; Legends averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt, were outgained 363-224 in a game they trailed 25-3 at the half. Fleet had trouble blocking, giving up six sacks; their QB’s may not be as good as others in AAF. San Diego was just 3-13 on 3rd down- their defense was on field for 74 plays, most in AAF LW. 

Super Bowl, Atlanta
As a Ram fan since 6 years old (long, long time ago), I cannot make an objective prediction on this game. Here are my random thoughts on Sunday’s Super Bowl:

— Underdogs won five of the last seven Super Bowls.
— Underdogs are 12-5 vs spread in last 17 Super Bowls
— Belichick is 5-3 in Super Bowls, all of which were decided by 8 or less points.
— Rams were last in a Super Bowl 17 years ago; they’re 1-2 in Super Bowls.
— Since 1990, this is first time both #2-seeds made the Super Bowl. 

— Rams won their last four games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
— LA is 7-2 on road this season, losing at New Orleans/Chicago.
— Rams are 3-1 in domes this season, splitting pair in New Orleans.
— LA is 2-2 this season in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Rams were 4-0 vs AFC this season, playing AFC West. 

— New England is 4-5 away from Foxboro this season; they’re 2-2 in games with a spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Patriots won their last four games, scoring 38-41-37 points in last three; under is 5-4 in their road games. NE lost its only game in a dome, 26-10 at Detroit in Week 3.
— Eight of Patriots’ last 11 games stayed under the total.
— New England was 3-1 vs NFC teams this year; they played the NFC North. 

— New England won its last five games with the Rams; last Ram win was 24-17 during 2001 season, a year that ended with those teams meeting in the Super Bowl.
— Rams’ WR Brandin Cooks played for New England LY; CB Aqib Talib played for the Patriots in 2012-13.
— Sean McVay is in his 2nd year as a head coach; Belichick has won five Super Bowls.
— It is a domed stadium in Atlanta but roof can open; they haven’t announced yet whether roof will be open. 

— AFC won four of last six Super Bowls.
— Weird stat: In Belichick’s eight Super Bowls, Patriots scored total of 3 points in first quarter.
— Since 2010, NFL head coaches are 6-27 in their first game against Belichick, 3-1 in last four.

— Here are the scores of the eight Super Bowls with Brady/Belichick in them:
SB36— NE 20, Rams 17
SB38— NE 27, Carolina 24
SB39— NE 24, Philadelphia 21
SB42— Giants 17, NE 14
SB46— Giants 21, NE 17
SB49— NE 28, Seattle 24
SB51-    NE 34, Atlanta 28 OT
SB52— Philadelphia 41, NE 33


2018 week-by-week results
HF                      HU        Totals O/U   AFC-NFC
1) 5-6-1          2-2          8-8              2-2
2) 4-6              5-1          8-8               1-1
3) 7-5               3-1          8-8              5-3N
4) 5-5-1           2-2         6-4U           3-1A
5) 7-4               3-0          8-7O           2-0A
6) 3-4               4-4          9-6O          3-1N
7) 3-5-1           0-5          10-4U         4-2N
8) 3-5                2-4       8-5-1U         3-1N
9) 5-5                1-2           7-6U           3-2A
10) 3-6-1         2-2           8-6O           3-2A
11) 7-4              2-2          8-6-1O        1-0A
12) 7-4              2-3          8-5-1O        1-0A
13) 4-4-1          5-2           11-5U          2-0A
14) 4-5              4-3            8-8              1-1
T) 67-68-5     37-33     104-97U      25-24A

2017 week-by-week results
HF               HU           Totals O/U   AFC-NFC
1)  5-5           3-2         4-11             1-0N
2) 6-6           2-2         6-9-1          3-2A
3) 1-4            8-2         10-5            3-0N
4) 4-7           2-3          8-7-1          2-2
5) 4-7            1-1          6-8             3-0A
6) 3-8           3-0          8-6             3-1N
7) 5-0-2       3-4          7-8              1-1
8) 5-4           0-4          7-6             3-1N
9) 5-2-1       0-3-1      5-8             2-0N
10) 4-3          3-3-1      8-6             5-0N
11) 4-4            1-5          7-7              2-2
12) 7-2-1        1-5         8-8              2-2
13) 5-4            5-2         7-9              2-0A
14) 5-4            4-3         7-8              4-2N
15)  7-2           3-3-1      7-9             4-0N

T) 70-62-2   39-40-3   106-115-2   35-19N


Selections

Armadillo’s football tips
I want to thank my friend Big Dawg for picking games again this year and having another winning season. Big Dawg is a tough SOB; he didn’t miss a week this season, despite having a knee replaced in October, and for that I am grateful. Happy New Year!!!!
————–
2018 bankroll: 9-6-1, plus 72 piccolos
2017 bankroll:
 11-7, plus 99 avellinis
Big Dawg’s selections
Another winning season!!!!
———–

2018 bankroll: 27-24, plus 18 harbaughs
2012-18 bankroll: 184-148-10, plus 639 pisarciks