2023 NFL
Super Bowl
Chiefs (14-6) vs 49ers (14-5) (-2.5) (@ Las Vegas)
— Chiefs won their last five games, giving up 14 ppg.
— Chiefs are 4-4 SU vs teams that made the playoffs.
— Kansas City is 8-5 TY in one-score games.
— Chiefs were +3 in turnovers in AFC title game, their first plus turnover game since Week 6.
— In last 14 games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers.
— Since 2019, Chiefs are 13-2 in playoff games, winning two Super Bowls.
— Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games.
— coach Reid is 25-16 in playoff games, 15-7 with KC.
— Mahomes is 88-25 SU as an NFL starter, 14-3 in playoffs.
— AFC West underdogs are 8-8-2 ATS outside the division.
— 49ers are 9-2 since their bye week (5-6 ATS).
— SF trailed NFC title game 24-7 at halftime.
— 49ers scored 24+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19-20 in losses.
— 49ers are 9-9-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
— 49ers are 3-3 TY in one-score games.
— SF is 7-3 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Over is 6-3 in their last eight games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 21-5 as NFL starter, 4-1 in playoffs.
— Coach Shanahan is 72-54 as a head coach, 8-3 in playoffs.
— since 2012, 49ers are 12-5 SU in playoff games, 5-5 away from home.
— NFC West favorites are 11-11-1 ATS outside the division.
— Over the last 22 Super Bowls, #1-seeds are 2-9 when playing an opponent who wasn’t a #1-seed. 49ers are a #1-seed, the Chiefs aren’t.
— Kansas City won five of last six series games.
— Chiefs beat the 49ers 44-34 in Santa Clara LY; they outscored SF 30-10 in 2nd half.
— Chiefs beat the 49ers 31-20 in Super Bowl, four years ago.
— AFC won six of the last nine Super Bowls.
— Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in last 12 Super Bowls.
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Big Dawg’s NFL picks
2023 record: 30-23-1, plus 141
(17-5 last seven weeks!!!!)
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