NFL

football


2020 NFL
Week 7 NFL
Giants (1-5) @ Philadelphia (1-4-1)

— In their last four games, Giants’ offense has four TD’s on 33 drives.
— Giants’ defense scored a TD in each of their last two games.
— Big Blue is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog TY, losing by 4-8-3 points on road.
— Giants covered 13 of their last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Four of their six games stayed under the total.

— Eagles are 0-2-1 SU at home, giving up 30 ppg.
— Philly lost last two games, giving up 38-30 points.
— Underdogs covered five of their six games this season.
— Eagles are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Four of their six games went over the total.

— Eagles won last seven series games; five of those wins were by 6 or fewer points.
— Giants lost their last four visits here, by 5-3-3-6 points.

Browns (4-2) @ Cincinnati (1-4-1)
— Browns got crushed by Ravens/Steelers, won other four games, scoring 37.5 ppg.
— Cleveland gave up 38 points in all three road games, losing two of them.
— Browns were outscored in second half in five of their six games.
— Last 4+ years, Cleveland is 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— Bengals lost last two weeks, 27-3/31-27; they blew a 21-0 lead at Indy last week.
— Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS this season.
— Bengals split their two home games, losing 16-13 to Chargers.
— Cincy is 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
— Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

— Browns (-8) beat Cincy 35-30 in Week 2; they ran ball for 215 yards, averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt- they scored five TD’s on eight drives.
— Cleveland won five of last six series games, but lost four of last five visits to Cincinnati, with all four losses by 10+ points.

Cowboys (2-4) @ Washington (1-5)
— Short week for Dallas after their dismal home loss Monday.
— Last five games, Dallas is minus-13 in turnovers.
— Cowboys are 0-6 ATS this year; their two wins by total of 4 points.
— This is their first road game since Week 3; they lost first two road games, 20-18/38-31.
— Cowboys are 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— Washington lost its last five games, giving up 29 ppg.
— Last four games, Washington was outscored 46-16 in second half.
— Backup QB Allen gets his third straight start here they outgained the Giants 337-240 in LW’s 20-19 loss. Allen is 6-9 as an NFL starter.
— Washington is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.
— Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

— Dallas won seven of last eight series games, with four of last five wins by 10+ points.
— Cowboys won six of last seven visits here.
— Dallas scored 31-31-47 points in last three series games.

Lions (2-3) @ Atlanta (1-5)
— Detroit scored 26-29-34 points in last three games; they won last two road tilts.
— Lions allowed 27+ points in their three losses; 23-16 in their wins.
— Detroit has six takeaways in last three games (+4); they had none in first two games (-2)
— Lions are 10-12 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.
— NFC North teams are 11-5 ATS outside the division.

— Falcons won their first game under interim coach Morris LW, at Minnesota.
— Atlanta lost all three of its home games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Falcons are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Four of their six games went over the total.
— NFC South teams are 1-6 ATS in non-divisional home games.

— Atlanta won four of last five series games; last meeting was 2017.
— Home side lost five of last seven series games.
— This is the Lions’ first visit to Atlanta since 2008.

Panthers (3-3) @ New Orleans (3-2)
  Bridgewater plays against his old team here.
— Carolina won three of its last four games.
— Panthers won two of three road games, losing 31-17 in Tampa.
— Team leading at halftime won all six Carolina games.
— Carolina is 14-10 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog- they won both their games on artificial turf this year.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

— New Orleans scored 30+ points in four of its five games.
— Saints allowed 23-29-27 points in their wins, 34-37 in losses.
— New Orleans is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Saints are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 post-bye games.
— All five of their games went over the total.

  Saints won six of last seven series games; three of their last four series wins were by 5 or fewer points.
— Carolina lost four of last five visits to Bourbon Street; three of their last four losses here were by 5 or fewer points.

Bills (4-2) @ NJ Jets (0-6)
— Short week for Bills after their home loss to KC Monday.
— Buffalo lost its last two games, giving up 42-26 points, after a 4-0 start.
— Bills scored 27+ points in their wins; 16-17 in their losses.
— Buffalo is 4-3 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
— Last four games, Buffalo opponents converted 29-48 third down plays.
— Five of their six games went over the total.

— Jets haven’t won or covered yet, losing home games by 18-9-20 points.
— Weird thing is, they’re +5 in turnovers the last three games, but were still outscored by a combined 91-38.
— Jets are 4-7-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog, 0-2 TY.
  Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
  Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

— Buffalo (-6.5) beat the Jets 27-17 at home in Week 1, outgunning Jets 404-254- they led 21-3 at halftime, won field position by 19 yards with an even turnover ratio.
— Bills are 6-5 in last 11 series games; they won 41-10/17-16 in last two visits here. 

Packers (4-1) @ Houston (1-5)
— Green Bay won four of its five games, losing LW in Tampa.
— Packers are already 2-0 in domes TY, winning 43-34/37-30.
— Green Bay went 3/out on 7 of 13 drives LW, after it happened only once in their first 35 drives this season.
— Packers are 3-4 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
  NFC North teams are 11-5 ATS outside the division.

  Texans scored 30-36 points in splitting first two games under interim coach Crennel; they scored 20 ppg in their 0-4 start.
— Tennessee gained 601 yards vs Houston LW, running ball for 263.
— Texans averaged 8+ yards/pass attempt in each of last three games.
— Houston is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.
— AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 2-5 ATS.

— Green Bay won three of four series games; the loss was in ’08.
— Packers won 16-13/42-24 in their two visits here.
— JJ Watt is from Waukesha, Wisconsin.

Seahawks (5-0) @ Arizona (4-2)
— Seattle won its first five games, scoring 33.6 ppg.
— Seahawks have scored 23 TD’s on 52 drives this seasom
— Seattle won its first two road games, 38-25/31-23; they’re 7-4-4 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
  Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Four of their five games went over the total.

— Short week for Cardinals after their win in Dallas Monday.
— Arizona scored 30+ points in three of its four wins- they scored 23-21 in their losses.
— Redbirds are 4-3 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.
— Five of their six games stayed under the total.
— Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

— Road team is 9-1-1 SU in last 11 series games.
— Seahawks won their last six visits to the desert, with four of the wins by 12+ points.

49ers (3-3) @ New England (2-3)
— Garoppolo returns to Foxboro to face his former team.
— 49ers won both their road games, which were against Jets/Giants in New Jersey.
— Niners are 3-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 24.
— 49ers are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— NFC West teams are 12-7 ATS outside the division.

— Patriots lost last two games, scoring two TD’s on 21 drives, with seven turnovers. 
— New England won two of three home games, winning by 10-16 points.
— New England is 26-14-1 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY.
— Under is 3-2 in Patriot games this season.
— AFC East teams are 5-10 ATS outside the division.

— New England won four of last five series games, with last three wins all by 9+ points.
— 49ers are 4-3 in Foxboro; their last visit was in 2012.

Chiefs (5-1) @ Denver (2-3)
— Short week for Chiefs after their win in Buffalo Monday nite.
— Chiefs are 3-0 on foreign soil, winning by 3-14-9 points.
— KC is 7-3 ATS in its last ten games as a road favorite.
— Chiefs ran for 245 yards Monday, most-ever under Andy Reid.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

— Denver won its last two games; they won LW without scoring a TD.
— Broncs lost both their home games, 16-14/28-10.
— Denver allowed 321-288 yards in its wins; they’re 0-3 allowing more than 321.
— Broncos are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog.
— Divisional home underdogs are 5-0 ATS so far this season.

— Chiefs won last nine series games (30-6/23-3 LY).
— KC won its last five visits to Denver; three of their last four wins here were by 4 or fewer points.

Steelers (5-0) @ Tennessee (5-0)
— Steelers won first five games (4-1 ATS), scoring 31.2 ppg.
— This is only 2nd road game for Pittsburgh; they beat Giants 26-16 in Swamp in Week 1.
— Steelers are 5-9-2 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
— Steelers outscored last three foes 46-15 in second half.
— Three of their last four games went over.
— AFC North teams are 11-3-1 ATS outside the division.

— Tennessee has three wins by 3 or fewer points, plus an OT win.
— Titans scored 21+ points in 2nd half, in each of their last three games.
— Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
— Titans’ last four games went over the total.
— AFC South teams are 6-9 ATS outside the division.

— Steelers won five of last seven series games.
— Pittsburgh lost four of its last six visits to Nashville.

Buccaneers (4-2) @ Las Vegas (3-2)
— Tampa Bay won four of its last five games, scoring 32.8 ppg.
— Bucs are allowing only 64.7 rushing yards/game.
— Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Three of their last four games stayed under.
— NFC South non-divisional road teams are 5-3 ATS.

— Jon Gruden hosts the team he led to their only Super Bowl title.
— Raiders scored 34-34-40 points in their wins, 20-23 in losses.
— Las Vegas has led only one of its games at halftime, beck in Week 1.
— All five of their games went over the total.
— AFC West teams are 10-4-2 ATS outside the division.

— Raiders won seven of ten series games.
— Buccaneers lost five to six visits to play Raiders in LA/Oakland.

Jaguars (1-5) @ LA Chargers (1-4)
— Jaguars lost last five games, are 0-4 ATS in last four.
— Jacksonville gave up 32 ppg in last five games; their road losses are by 3-7-16 points.
— Jaguars are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Three of their last four games stayed under.
— AFC South teams are 6-9 ATS outside the division.

— Chargers lost their last four games, two of them in OT.
— Last two games, Bolts were outscored 44-14 in second half.
— LA lost its two home games, by total of eight points.
— Chargers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— AFC West teams are 10-4-2 ATS outside the division.

— Chargers won seven of last eight series games; they won 45-13 in Jacksonville LY.
— Bolts scored 31+ points in six of those eight games.
— Jaguars lost their last four visits to San Diego, all by 13+ points.

Bears (5-1) @ Rams (4-2)
— Chicago has three wins by 4 points each, another win by one point.
— Bears won all three of their road games SU, and were underdog in all three.
— Chicago is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
— Four of their last five games stayed under.
  NFC North teams are 11-5 ATS outside the division.

— Rams won both their home games, 20-17/17-9.
— LA has outscored opponents 79-25 in second half of games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 11-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— LA’s last three games stayed under the total.
— NFC West teams are 12-7 ATS outside the division.

— Home side won five of last six series games.
— Teams split last four series games.
— Bears split their last eight visits to StL/LA.
— Last two years: Bears 15-6 (icy weather), Rams 17-7

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 _________________________________

Selections

Big Dawg’s selections
Lions +3……Bills -10.5……Seahawks -3.
————————-

2020 bankroll: 8-9-1, minus 57 staffords
2019 bankroll
: 26-18-1, plus 186 csonkas
2012-19 bankroll: 210-166-11, plus 825 hadls