NFL

IMG_1385football


Falcons vs Patriots (-3, 58.5)— Here are my thoughts on the Super Bowl:
— Scores of the six Super Bowls with Brady/Belichick in them:
SB36— NE 20, Rams 17
SB38— NE 27, Carolina 24
SB39— NE 24, Philadelphia 21
SB42— Giants 17, NE 14
SB46— Giants 21, NE 17
SB49— NE 28, Seattle 24- Notice a pattern? All decided by 4 or less points.

— Since 2010, NFL head coaches are 3-22 in their first game against Belichick. This will be Dan Quinn’s first game as a head coach against Belichick.

— Patriots are 4-0 vs Falcons in the Brady era; three of those four games were in Atlanta.

— New England is 13-1 in games Brady played this year; they lost 31-24 at home to Seattle on November 13. Patriots covered their last seven games.

— Underdogs won four of last five Super Bowls SU. AFC teams won three of last four.

— Falcons won their last six games (5-1 vs spread), scoring 39 pts/game- they’re 5-1 SU as an underdog this year, with only loss at Philly, the same day the Patriots lost to Seattle.

— Over is 15-2-1 in Atlanta games this season, 11-0 in domed stadiums; over is 7-7 in games Brady played in this year- last three Patriot games went over.

— I’m not fond of QB’s playing in their first Super Bowl; you read articles about how the whole experience can be overwhelming for a first-timer.

— Prediction: New England, 31-27. Hope I’m wrong.

Conference championship games
Packers @ Falcons (-5, 61) (W44-21)
Steelers @ Patriots (-6, 51) (W36-17)

Divisional round
Seahawks @ Falcons (-4.5, 51)
Texans @ Patriots (-16, 45)
Steelers @ Chiefs (-1, 46)
Packers @ Cowboys (-4, 51.5)


Wild Card round
Raiders @ Texans (-3.5, 36.5) W27-14
Lions @ Seahawks (-8, 42.5) W26-6
Dolphins @ Steelers (-10, 47) W30-12
Giants @  Packers (-5, 44.5) W38-13

Week 17
Texans @ Titans (-3, 40) (W24-17)…..Bills (-4, 42.5) @ Jets (W30-10)
Ravens @ Bengals (-2.5, 41.5) (W27-10)…..Giants (W19-10) @ Redskins (-8, 44)
Packers (-3.5, 48) (W31-24) @ Lions……Jaguars @ Colts (-4.5, 47) (W24-20)
Cowboys @ Eagles (-4, 43) (W27-13)……..Bears @ Vikings (-5, 41) (W38-10)
Panthers @ Bucs (-6.5, 46.5) (W17-16)…Browns @ Steelers (-6.5, 43.5) (W27-24 ot)
Saints @ Falcons (-7, 56) (W38-32)…….Patriots (-9.5, 44.5) (W35-14) @ Dolphins
Cardinals (-6, 41) (W44-6) @ Rams…..Chiefs (-5.5, 45) (W37-27) @ Chargers
Seahawks (-9.5, 43) (W25-23) @ 49ers……Raiders @ Broncos (-1, 40) (W24-6)

Week 16
Giants (-2.5, 41.5) @ Eagles (W24-19)…..Redskins (-3,5. 47) (W41-21) @ Bears
Dolphins (W34-31 ot) @ Bills (-4, 42)………..Bucs @ Saints (-3, 53) (W31-24)
Falcons (-3.5, 53) (W33-16) @ Panthers…Vikings @ Packers (-7, 43.5) (W38-25)
Jets @ Patriots (-16.5, 44) (W41-3)……..Titans (-5, 44) @ Jaguars (W38-17)
Chargers (-6, 44) @ Browns (W20-17)…..Colts @ Raiders (-4.5, 52.5) (W33-25)
49ers (W22-21) @ Rams (-3.5, 40.5)…….Cards (W34-31) @ Seahawks (-8.5, 43.5)
Bengals @ Texans (-2.5, 41) (W12-10)…..Ravens @ Steelers (-5.5, 44.5) (W31-27)
Broncos @ Chiefs (-4.5, 38) (W33-10)……Lions @ Cowboys (-7.5, 42.5)


Week 15
Rams @ Seahawks (-15, 38) (W24-3)…..Dolphins (-2.5, 38) (W34-13) @ Jets
Bucs @ Cowboys (-7, 46) (W26-20)………Lions @ Giants (-4.5, 41.5) (W17-6)
Eagles @ Ravens (-6, 41) (W27-26)………Packers (-6.5, 40.5) (W30-27) @ Bears
Colts (W34-6) @ Vikings (-4.5, 45)……….Browns @ Bills (-10, 42.5) (W33-13)
Titans (W19-17) @ Chiefs (-5.5, 42.5)…….Jaguars @ Texans (-6, 39) (W21-20)
Saints (W48-41) @ Cardinals (-2.5, 50)…..49ers @ Falcons (-13.5, 51.5) (W41-13)
Patriots (-3, 44) (W16-3) @ Broncos…….Raiders (-3, 49.5) (W19-16) @ Chargers
Steelers (-3, 44) (W24-20) @ Bengals…….Panthers (W26-15) @ Redskins (-4.5, 51)


Week 14
Raiders @ Chiefs (-3, 46.5) (W21-13)…Broncos @ Titans (-1, 43.5) (W13-10)
Chargers @ Panthers (-1.5, 48.5) (W28-16)…Texans (W22-17) @ Colts (-6, 47)
Bengals (-6, 43.5) (W23-10) @ Browns…….Steelers (-2, 47.5) (W27-20) @ Bills
Cardinals @ Dolphins (-1.5, 43.5) (W26-23)…Bears @ Lions (8, 43.5) (W20-17)
Vikings (-3.5, 39.5) (W25-16) @ Jaguars…….Saints @ Bucs (-3, 51) (W16-11)
Redskins (-1, 47) (W27-22) @ Eagles………Jets (W23-17 ot)@ 49ers (-2.5, 45)
Seahawks (-2.5, 46.5) @ Packers (W38-10)…Falcons (-6, 45) (W42-14) @ Rams
Cowboys (-3, 47.5) @ Giants (W10-7)…Ravens @ Patriots (-7.5, 45.5) (W30-23)


Week 13
Cowboys (-2.5, 43) (W17-15) @ Vikings….Broncos (-5, 43) (W20-10) @ Jaguars
Chiefs (W29-28) @ Falcons (-5, 49)….Texans @ Packers (-3,5. 46.5) (W21-13)
Eagles (-1, 41.5) @ Bengals (W32-14)…..Lions (W28-13) @ Saints (-5, 54)
49ers @ Bears (-3, 42.5) (W26-6)….Rams @ Patriots (-13, 46) (W26-10)
Dolphins @ Ravens (-3.5, 41.5) (W38-6)….Bills @ Raiders (-3.5, 50) (W38-24)
Bucs (W28-21) @ Chargers (-5.5, 48)….Redskins @ Cardinals (-2.5, 50.5) (W31-23)
Giants @ Steelers (-6, 50) (W24-14)….Panthers @ Seahawks (-6.5, 45) (W40-7)
Colts (-2.5, 49.5) (W41-10) @ Jets


Week 12 NFL
Vikings @ Lions (-2.5, 41.5) (W16-13)……Redskins @ Cowboys (-7, 52) (W31-26)
Steelers (-9, 48) (W28-7) @ Colts…….Chargers (-1, 47) (W21-13) @ Texans
Titans (-4.5, 42) (W27-21) @ Bears……Jaguars @ Bills (-7, 45) (W28-21)
Bengals @ Ravens (-4, 40.5) (W19-14)…..Cardinals @ Falcons (4.5, 50.5) (W38-19)
49ers @ Dolphins (-7.5, 45) (W31-24)…….Rams @ Saints (-7, 45.5) (W49-21)
Giants (-7, 45) (W27-13) @ Browns……..Seahawks (-6, 45) @ Bucs (W14-5)
Panthers @ Raiders (-3.5, 48.5) (W37-32)…Chiefs (W30-27 ot) @ Broncos (-3, 39)
Patriots (-8, 47) (W22-17) @ Jets……Packers (W27-13) @ Eagles (-4, 48)


Week 11 NFL
Saints @ Panthers (-3.5, 52) (W23-20)..Titans @ Colts (-3, 53) (W24-17)
Jaguars @ Lions (-6.5, 47) (W26-19)……Bucs (W19-17) @ Chiefs (-7.5, 44.5)
Bears @ Giants (-7.5, 44.5) (W22-16)…..Cardinals @ Vikings (-1, 40) (W30-24)
Bills (W16-12) @ Bengals (-3, 47)……Ravens @ Cowboys (-7, 45) (W27-17)
Steelers (-8, 48) (W24-9) @ Browns…..Dolphins (-1.5, 40.5) (W14-10) @ Rams
Patriots (-13, 51) (W30-17) @ 49ers…..Eagles @ Seahawks (-6, 44) (W26-15)
Packers @ Redskins (-2.5, 50.5) (W42-24)…..Texans vs Raiders (-5.5, 46) (W27-20)


Week 10 NFL
Browns @ Ravens (-7.5, 45) (W28-7)…Texans (-2, 43) (W24-21) @ Jaguars
Chiefs (W20-17) @ Panthers (-3, 44.5)….Broncos (W25-23) @ Saints (-2, 49)
Rams (W9-6) @ Jets (-1.5, 39.5)………Falcons @ Eagles (-1. 50.5) (W24-15)
Vikings @ Redskins (-3, 41.5) (W26-20)…Packers (-3, 49.5) @ Titans (W47-25)
Bears @ Bucs (0, 45.5) (W36-10)……..Dolphins (W31-24) @ Chargers (-4, 48.5)
49ers @ Cardinals (-13.5, 48) (W23-20)..Cowboys (W35-30) @ Steelers (-2.5, 50)
Seahawks (W31-24) @ Patriots (-7.5, 49)….Bengals @ Giants (-2.5, 47) (W21-20)


Week 9 NFL
Falcons (-4, 51) (W43-28) @ Bucs………..Jaguars @ Chiefs (-7.5, 44) (W19-14)
Lions (W22-16ot) @ Vikings (-6, 41)……….Eagles @ Giants (-2.5, 43) (W27-23)
Cowboys (-7.5, 48.5) (W35-10) @ Browns……Jets @ Dolphins (3.5, 44) (W27-20)
Steelers (-3, 46) @ Ravens (W21-14)…Saints (-3.5, 52.5) (W41-23) @ 49ers
Panthers (-3, 44.5) (W13-10) @ Rams…….Colts (W31-26) @ Packers (-7, 53.5)
Titans @ Chargers (-5, 47) (W43-35) …….Broncos @ Raiders (-1, 44) (W30-20)
Bills @ Seahawks (-7, 44) (W31-25)


Week 8 NFL
Jaguars @ Titans (-3, 44) (W36-22)…….Redskins vs Bengals (-3, 48) (T27-27)
Packers @ Falcons (-3, 52) (W33-32)…….Lions @ Texans (-2.5, 45.5) (W20-13)
Seahawks (-3, 48) @ Saints (W25-20)…..Patriots (-6, 47) (W41-15) @ Bills
Jets (-3, 43.5) (W31-28) @ Browns…….Raiders (even, 49) (W30-24 OT)@ Bucs
Chiefs (-3, 50) (W30-14) @ Colts………Chargers @ Broncos (-4.5, 44) (W27-19)
Cardinals @ Panthers (-3, 47.5) (W30-20)..Eagles @ Cowboys (-4.5, 43)
Vikings (-5.5, 40.5) @ Bears (W20-10)


Week 7 NFL
Bears @ Packers (-7.5, 47) (W26-10)………Giants (-3, 44) (W17-10) vs Rams
Colts vs Titans (-3, 48) (W34-26)…………Ravens @ Jets (-2.5,4 1) (W24-16)
Redskins @ Lions (-1.5, 49.5) (W20-17)…….Bills (-2.5, 44) @ Dolphins (W28-25)
Saints @ Chiefs (-6.5, 51) (W27-21)………..Vikings (-3, 40) @ Eagles (W21-10)
Raiders (W33-16) @ Jaguars (-1, 47.5)…….Browns @ Bengals (-10, 45) (W31-17)
Chargers (W33-30 ot) @ Falcons (-6, 54)…….Patriots (-7, 47) (W27-16) @ Steelers
Bucs (-1, 46) (W34-17) @ 49ers……….Seahawks @ Cardinals (-1.5, 43.5) (T6-6)
Texans @ Broncos (-7.5, 40.8) (W27-9)


Week 6 NFL
Broncos (-3, 45) @ Chargers (W21-13)……..Bengals @ Patriots (-9, 47) (W35-17)
Ravens @ Giants (-3, 44) (W27-23)…………Panthers (-3, 54) @ Saints (W41-38)
Steelers (-7.5, 47.5) @ Dolphins (W30-15)…….Jaguars (W17-16) @ Bears (-2.5, 47)
49ers @ Bills (-8, 45) (W45-16)………………..Rams @ Lions (-3.5, 43.5) (W31-28)
Browns @ Titans (-6.5, 43.5) (W28-26)……..Eagles (-2.5, 45) @ Redskins (W27-20)
Chiefs (W26-10) @ Raiders (-1, 47)…………Falcons @ Seahawks (-6.5, 46) (W26-24)
Cowboys (W30-16) @ Packers (-4.5, 47)…….Colts @ Texans (-3.5, 46) (W26-23 ot)
Jets @ Cardinals (-7.5, 46.5) (W28-3)


Week 5 NFL
Cardinals (-3, 42) (W33-21) @ 49ers……Texans @ Vikings (-5, 39.5) (W31-13)
Titans (W30-17) @ Dolphins (-3.5, 43)….Patriots (W33-13) (-10, 47) @ Browns
Jets @ Steelers (-7.5, 48.5) (W31-13)……Redskins (W16-10) @ Ravens (-3.5, 46.5)
Eagles (-3, 46) @ Lions (W24-23)…………..Bears @ Colts (-4.5, 47.5) (W29-23)
Falcons (W23-16) @ Broncos (-6, 47)…………Bills (W30-19) @ Rams (-1, 40)
Chargers @ Raiders (-4, 50) (W34-31)…….Bengals (-1, 45.5) @ Cowboys (W28-14)
Giants @ Packers (-7, 49) (W23-16)…………..Bucs (W17-14) @ Panthers (-5.5, 45.5)


Week 4 NFL
Dolphins @ Bengals (-7, 44) (W22-7)……….Colts (-2, 49) @ Jaguars (W30-27)
Browns @ Redskins (-9.5, 45.5) (W31-20)….Bills (W16-0)@ Patriots (-4.5, NL)
Seahawks (-1, 40) (W27-17) @ Jets…………..Panthers (-3, NL) @ Falcons (W48-33)
Lions (-3, 46.5) @ Bears (W17-14)………………Titans @ Texans (-6, 40.5) (W27-20)
Raiders (W28-27) @ Ravens (-3.5, 47)………..Broncos (-3, 44.5) (W27-7) @ Bucs
Cowboys (-3, 46) (W24-17) @ 49ers………..Saints (W35-34) @ Chargers (-4, NL)
Rams (W17-13) @ Cardinals (-9.5, 43)…….Chiefs @ Steelers (-6, 47.5) (W43-14)
Giants @ Vikings (-4, 43) (W24-10)


Week 3 NFL
Texans (-2.5, 41) @ Patriots (W27-0)………….Broncos (W29-17) @ Bengals (-3, 41)
Raiders (W17-10) @ Titans (-1., 46.5)………….Cardinals (-4.5, 47) @ Bills (W33-18)
Ravens (-1, 47) (W19-17) @ Jaguars..Browns @ Dolphins (-9.5, 41.5) (W30-24 OT)
Redskins (W29-27) @ Giants (-4.5, 46.5)………Lions @ Packers (-7.5, 48) (W34-27)
Vikings (W22-10) @ Panthers (-7, 48)……….49ers @ Seahawks (-10, 40.5) (w37-18)
Rams (W37-32) @ Buccaneers (-5, 42)………….Steelers (-5.5, 46) @ Eagles (W34-3)
Jets @ Chiefs (-3, 43) (W24-3)……………………..Chargers @ Colts (-3, 51) (W26-22)
Bears @ Cowboys (-7, 45) (W31-17)………………Falcons (W45-32) @ Saints (-3, 54)


Week 2 NFL
Jets (W37-31) @ Bills (-1, 41)……………Titans (W16-15) @ Lions (-5.5, 47)
Chiefs @ Texans (W19-12) (-2, 43.5)…Dolphins @ Patriots (-6.5, 41.5) (W31-24)
Ravens (-6, 43) (W25-20) @ Browns…Bengals @ Steelers (-3.5, 47.5) (W24-16)
Cowboys (W27-23) @ Redskins (-3.5, 44)…Saints @ Giants (-5, 52.5) (W16-13)
49ers @ Panthers (-14, 48.5) (W46-27)…………Bucs @ Cardinals (-6.5, 50) (W40-7)
Seahawks (-6.5) @ Rams (W9-3)…………Colts @ Broncos (-6, 45) (W34-20)
Falcons (W35-28) @ Raiders (-5.5, 48)..Jaguars @ Chargers (-3, 48) (W38-14)
Packers (-2.5), 44.5 @ Vikings (W17-14)…Eagles (W29-14) @ Bears (-3, 43)


Week 1 NFL
Carolina (-3, 40.5) @ Denver (W21-20)……Chicago @ Houston (-6, 44) (W23-14)
Tampa Bay (W31-24)@ Atlanta (-3, 47)……..Green Bay (-5, 48) (W27-23) @ J’ville
Minnesota (-2.5, 40.5) (W25-16) @ Tennessee Miami @ Seattle (-10, 44) (W12-10)
Cleveland @ Philadelphia (-4, 41) (29-10)…NJ Giants (W20-19) @ Dallas (-1, 46)
Cincinnati (-2, 42) (W23-22) @ NJ Jets..Detroit (W39-35) @ Indy (-3.5, 51)
Oakland (W35-34) @ Saints (-1, 51)….New England (W23-21) @ Arizona (-6, 46.5)
San Diego @ KC (W33-27 OT)  (-7, 44)……Pittsburgh (-3, 50) @ Washington
Buffalo @ Baltimore (-3, 44.5) (W13-7)…Los Angeles (-2.5, 43) @ San Francisco


2016 week-by-week results
Home             Favorites         Totals O/U         AFC-NFC
1)     7-9                 5-11              7-9                  5-3N
2)    10-6                7-9               7-8-1               1-1
3)     7-9                 5-11              9-7                  1-1
4)     8-7                 6-9              8-7                  3-1N
5)     5-8-1             5-8-1           7-6-1               4-2N
6)     8-6-1             5-9-1            8-6                 2-2
7)      7-7                 8-7               6-9                 1-0A
8)      7-4-1             8-4-1           8-5                 2-0-1A
9)     5-7-1              9-3-1            7-6                  2-1N
10)    5-9                 2-12             7-7                  4-3N
11)     6-7                 9-4               3-11                 3-2N
12)    6-10                8-8              8-8                   3-1A
13)     10-5               10-5              7-7-1               4-2A
14)     8-8                10-6              7-9                  2-1N
15)     5-11               8-8               7-9                   3-0A
16)     9-6                9-6             11-3-1                  x
17)      7-9                8-8               9-7                    x

Tot  120-128-4      123-128-4      126-124-4        30-30-1


Selections

Armadillo’s football tips


2016 bankroll: 11-11, minus 33 flaccos
Big Dawg’s selections


….2016 bankroll: 25-13, plus 321 coryells
2012-5 bankroll: 108-90-9, plus 273 pisarciks