Hoops


Sunday’s games
Cleveland State is 2-7 vs schedule #134 with two non-D-I wins; Vikings are 0-4 in true road games, with losses by 20-27-10-13 points. Cleveland is experience team #320 that subs a lot (bench minutes #80); they’re 1-3 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with losses by 4-13-3 points and a win over Bowling Green. Illinois State lost its last three games after a 5-2 start; Redbirds are experience team #20- teams are shooting 56.8% inside arc against them (#218). ISU has played schedule #132 so far- they’re 2-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 8-4 points. 

Cal-Riverside is 2-7 vs schedule #329; they upset Pepperdine at home in last game, but that was 10 days ago. UCR is #329 experience team that is 2-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200- they’re playing tempo #341 so far this season. Texas-El Paso lost five of six D-I games, with two other wins; they’ve played schedule #18 so far, but haven’t played in 12 days. Miners are experience team #341 that is turning ball over 24.4% of time. UTEP’s last three losses are by 6-4-7 points, so they’re competing. Both teams in this game have new coaches this season. 

Western Kentucky is 5-4 vs schedule #52; Hilltoppers are experience team #327 that is 3-2 vs teams outside the top 100, but they’ve also beaten West Virginia/Arkansas. WKU gets talented Bearden back here, which will help their depth (bench minutes #294). Troy is 2-5 vs schedule #143, with two other wins; this is Trojans’ first D-I game in 13 days. Troy is experience team #106 that doesn’t sub much (bench minutes #337); they play slowish tempo and are making only 30% of their 3’s. Three of their five losses were by 9 or fewer points.  

Houston was 29-35 on foul line in 77-58 win at Saint Louis LY, game that was tied at halftime. Houston is 9-0 this year vs schedule #314, with four top 100 wins; Cougars have defensive eFG% #18 while playing tempo #333. Houston is experience team #137 whose bench plays #311 minutes. Billikens are 7-3 vs schedule #193; Saint Louis is experience team #166 that is playing tempo #167- they turn ball over 21.8% of time, shoot only 59.4% on foul line. SLU is supposed to be best team in A-14; their defensive eFG% is #10 in country. 

Cal State-Fullerton is experience team #39 (#3 in MC) that played in NCAA’s LY, but so far this year, they’re 1-7 vs D-I teams, with two other wins- whats up? Titans are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 8-16-15 points; they’re shooting only 29.6% on arc- Titans’ only D-I win was over an 0-11 Monmouth team. San Francisco is 9-1 vs schedule #95; Dons are experience team #76 that is shooting 59.9% inside arc (#4)- their eFG% is #16 in country. Big West teams are 20-11-2 vs spread in their last 33 games against WCC opponents. 

TCU hasn’t played in nine days since crushing USC by 35 in LA last week; Horned Frogs are 7-1 vs schedule #184- they’re experience team #184 (#115 in MC) whose eFG% is in top 20 on both sides of ball. TCU is 4-0 vs teams rank outside top 100, with wins by 5-17-18-27 points. Indiana State is 4-2 vs schedule #192; Sycamores are shooting 48.8% on arc (#1 in country), but only 43.1% inside arc (#326); they’re 2-1 in true road games- their losses are by 17 at Ball State, by 11 at home to North Texas. This is ISU’s first D-I game in 11 days; they’re experience team #162. 

Pacific is 6-4 vs schedule #277; they’re experience team #156 whose bench plays #14 minutes. Tigers are 1-3 in true road games, with losses by 22-26-3 points and a win at Idaho St- they’re 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, wth four wins by 9 or fewer points. Pacific starts three juniors; they bring two seniors off bench. Northridge is in total rebuild; they’re 2-6 vs schedule #246. Matadors are experience team #342 whose defensive eFG% is #330. CSUN is 1-3 vs WCC teams this season, with losses by 15-3-14 points, and a win over Pepperdine. 

Nebraska/Oklahoma State used to be Big 8 rivals; Huskers are 8-2 vs schedule #113- they’re #52 experience team that is forcing turnovers 22% of time. Nebraska has #5 defensive eFG%; they’ve been off for 8 days since whipping in-state rival Creighton by 19. Nebraska starts four seniors, which is rare nowadays for a Big East team. Oklahoma State lost its last three games, by 7-3-10 points, after a 4-2 start; Cowboys are are experience team #303 that us turning ball over 21.4% of time (#291)- they’ve made 41.6% of their 3’s (#8) so far this season. 

Rhode Island is 4-3 vs schedule #173; they’re experience team #295 with a new coach and a thin bench (minutes #317)- they’re 1-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Harvard by a hoop, losing by nine to Providence. Rams have made 20.3% of their 3’s (2nd-worst in country). West Virginia is 6-3 vs schedule #125. Mountaineers’ guards haven’t been good; they’re turning ball over 22% of time while playing tempo #58. WVU is experience team #148 whose bench is playing minutes #13 (lot of guys get yanked after turnovers)- they’ve been off for 8 days since 10-point win over Pitt.

Dayton lost four of its last five games after a 4-0 start; Flyers are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 30-11-5-39 points- they’re shooting 57.5% inside arc. Dayton is experience team #264 whose bench is playing minutes #308; they’ve played schedule #59 to this point. Tulsa won its last three games, by 3-1-10 points- they’re 8-3 vs schedule #299. Hurricane is experience team that #112 whose bench is playing minutes #40- they start three juniors and two seniors. Last four years, AAC teams are 16-15-1 vs spread when playing an A-14 team. 

Drexel beat Quinnipiac last two years by 1-17 points; Dragons scored in last 0:10 to nip Bobcats 72-71 LY. Drexel is 4-5 this year vs schedule #190; Drexel is experience team #190- whose subs are playing minutes #330, so they’re thin. Drexel has been off for eight days; they’re 3-1 vs clubs outside top 200- Drexel is in bottom 10 nationally in forcing turnovers. Quinnipiac is 4-4 vs schedule #284; they’re a bad offensive team (eFG% #308) that is 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, 0-4 vs top 200 teams. Bobcats take ton of 3’s; they’re 3-0 making more than 30%. 

Fairfield upset Boston College 89-83 on neutral court at Mohegan Sun in last meeting couple years ago. Stags are 2-8 this year vs schedule #240- they’re experience team #298 that is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 33 at Purdue, 10 at Old Dominion.  Fairfield’s defensive eFG% is #309, which isn’t good. BC is 7-2 vs schedule #320; they’re experience team #281 that is 5-0 vs teams outside top 200, with wins by 20-5-12-8-9 points. Eagles get 25.1% of their points on foul line (#11 in country)- their subs are playing only #335 minutes. 

Colorado State is 4-5 vs schedule #241; Rams are experience team #218 whose bench is playing #306 minutes, plus they’ve got a new coach. State lost four of its last five games; they’re 0-5 vs top 200 teams- best team they’ve beaten is #252 Florida Gulf Coast. Rams’ defensive eFG% is #310. South Dakota is 3-5 vs schedule #283 with two other wins; Coyotes are experience team #93 whose bench is playing minutes #303- they lost by 6 at Baylor, by 24 at Colorado in their only true road games so far this season. 

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NBA Finals
GState 124-114 OT, -13, O217.5
GState 122-103, -11.5, O216.5
GState 110-102, -3.5, U216
GState 108-85, -2.5, U216
Warriors win title, 4-0

Conference finals
Cavaliers-Celtics
Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5
Clev 116-86, -6.5, U207
Clev 111-102, -7, O205
Bos 96-83, -1.5, U205
Clev 109-99, -7, O201.5
Clev 87-79, +2.5, U197
Cavaliers win series, 4-3

Warriors-Rockets
GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225
GState 126-85, -7, U228
Hst 95-92, +8, U227
Hst 98-94, +1, U220
GState 115-86, -12.5, U214.5
GState 101-92, -6, U208.5
Warriors win series, 4-3

Second Round
Pelicans-Warriors
GState 123-101, -7.5, O223.5
GState 121-116, -11, O229
NO 119-100, +5, U232.5
GState 118-92, -6, U231.5
GState 113-104, -12, U230
Warriors win series, 4-1

Jazz-Rockets
Hst 110-96, -11.5, U206.5
Utah 116-108, +10.5, O205
Hst 113-92, -4.5, U209.5
Hst 100-87, -6, U211
Hst 112-102, -11.5, O208
Rockets win series, 4-1

76ers-Celtics
Bos 117-101, +5, O205
Bos 108-103, +3.5, O206.5
Bos 101-98 OT, +9.5, U206.5
Phil 103-92, -7, U206.5
Bos 114-112, -1.5, O204.5
Celtics win series, 4-1

Cavaliers-Raptors
Clev 113-112 OT +7, O213.5
Clev 128-110, +7, O213.5
Clev 105-103, -4.5, U214.5
Clev 128-93, -5, O213
Cavaliers win series 4-0

First Round
Wizards-Raptors
Tor 114-106, -7.5, O211
Tor 130-119, -7, O214
Wsh 122-103, -1, O217.5
Wsh 106-98, +1.5, U217
Tor 108-97, -7, U216
Tor 102-92, -2, U214.5
Raptors win series, 4-2

Heat-76ers
Phil 130-103, -6.5, O212
Mia 113-103, +6.5, U217
Phil 128-108, -2.5, O213.5
Phil 106-102, -4, U212.5
Phil 104-91, -10, U215.5
76ers win series, 4-1

Bucks-Celtics
Bos 113-107 OT, -4.5, O199.5
Bos 120-106, -1, O200
Mil 116-92, -5, O205.5
Mil 104-102, -5.5, O203.5
Bos 92-87, -4.5, U202.5
Mil 97-86, -4.5, U201.5
Bos 112-96, -4.5, O196
Celtics win series, 4-3

Pacers-Cavaliers
Ind 98-80, +7.5, U212.5
Clev 100-97, -8, U209
Ind 92-90, -1.5, U209.5
Clev 104-100, -1.5, U206.5
Clev 98-95, -6.5, U206
Ind 121-87, -1.5, O202
Clev 105-101, -5.5, O200.5
Cavaliers win series, 4-3

Spurs-Warriors
GState 113-92, -8, U209.5
GState 116-101, -9 O205.5
GState 110-97, -3.5, O205.5
SA 103-90, +5.5, U206.5
GState 99-91, -11, U204.5
Warriors win series, 4-1

Pelicans-Blazers
NO 97-95, +5.5, U216.5
NO 111-102, +6, U216
NO 119-102, -3.5, O215.5
NO 131-123, -6.5, O217
Pelicans win series, 4-0

Jazz-Thunder
OKC 116-108, -4.5, O205
Utah 102-95, +4, U206.5
Utah 115-102, -5, O209
Utah 113-96, -5, O208
OKC 107-99, -2.5, U207.5
Utah 96-91, –7, U207.5
Jazz win series, 4-2

Wolves-Rockets
Hst 104-101, -11.5, U215.5
Hst 102-82, -10.5, U212.5
Minn 121-105, +6, O217
Hst 119-100, -6, O217
Hst 122-104, -12, O217
Rockets win series, 4-1