Every day during baseball season, armadillosports.com analyzes daily baseball action, featuring pitchers’ trends, team trends, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We also have info on who scores/who gives up runs in the first inning, as well as first five inning trends for each team.
Check back every day during baseball season. We’ll have information on all the games thru the World Series.
Friday’s games
National League
Brewers @ Cubs
Anderson 1-1, 1.15 in his last three starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Brewers are 5-8 in his last 13 road starts. Lackey 2-1, 2.33 in his last six starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight starts. Cubs are 8-6 in his home starts.
Milwaukee is 10-5 in its last 15 games; five of their last seven games stayed under. Cubs are 10-2 in last 12 home games; six of Cubs’ last eight games stayed under the total.
Marlins @ Phillies
Koehler is 0-3, 5.32 in his last four starts; over is 10-6 in his last 16. Miami is 2-6 in his last eight road starts. Morgan is 1-2, 2.41 in his last three starts; four of his last five went under the total. Phillies are 2-7 in his home starts.
Miami won five of last seven games, is 13-10 in road series openers. Marlins’ last five road games went over the total. Phillies lost nine of last 11 home games; they’re 7-16 in home series openers. Under is 7-2-3 in their last 12 home games.
Pirates @ Reds
Vogelsong is 0-2, 9.69 in his last three starts (over 3-0). Pirates split his four road starts. Stephenson is 2-1, 4.87 in four starts this year (over 2-2).
Nationals @ Braves
Scherzer is 4-0, 2.00 in his last five starts; under is 11-3 in his last 14. Washington won his last six road starts. Gant 0-2, 5.82 in his last four starts (over 3-3).
Nationals won eight of last ten games, is 6-1 in last seven road series openers. Five of last six Washington games stayed under. Atlanta lost seven of last nine games, is 8-15 in home series openers. Over is 13-1 in Atlanta’s last 14 home games.
Padres @ Rockies
Friedrich is 1-4, 4.71 in his last six starts; his last three went over. San Diego is 3-8 in his road starts. Chatwood is 1-3, 6.04 in his last five starts; under is 4-2-2 in his last eight. Colorado is 4-8 in his home starts.
Padres won five of last seven games, are 14-9 in road series openers. Three of their last four games stayed under. Colorado lost four of last five games, is 9-3 in last 12 home series openers. Five of last seven Colorado games went over.
Maeda is 5-2, 3.69 in his last seven starts; over is 7-3 in his last 10. LA is 8-5 in his road starts. Greinke is 0-2, 9.28 in his last two starts; six of his last seven went over. Arizona is 6-6 in his home starts. Dodgers Arizona
Cardinals @ Giants
Weaver is 1-1, 2.86 in his last four starts; four of his last five starts stayed under. Moore is 3-1, 3.42 in his last four starts (under 6-2). He is 1-2, 4.96 in three home starts for Giants.
St Louis lost six of its last nine games; five of its last six games stayed under. San Francisco lost three of last four games; under is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
American League
Rays @ Orioles
Archer is 1-2, 3.55 in his last four starts; over is 9-3 in his last 12 road starts. Rays are 5-10 in his road starts. Jimenez is 2-0, 2.81 in his last two starts; over is 12-4 in his last sixteen. orioles are 8-3 in his home outings.
Tampa Bay won four of its last five games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six. Orioles won four of their last six games; under is 9-1 in their last ten home games.
New York @ Boston
Cessa is 0-1, 5.29 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over. Buchholz is 2-0, 3.68 in his last four starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Boston is 3-7 in his Fenway starts.
New York lost four of last five games; under is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Boston won six of last nine games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games.
Tigers @ Indians
Fulmer is 0-3, 5.32 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight stayed under. Detroit is 11-4 in his road starts. Kluber is 7-1, 2.48 in his last nine starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Indians won eight of his last nine home starts.
Tigers lost six of last nine games; they’re 10-13 in road series openers. Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Cleveland won nine of last 11 home games, is 16-8 in home series openers. Over is 5-3 in their last eight home games.
A’s @ Rangers
Graveman is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts; six of his last seven stayed under. Oakland is 6-8 in his road starts. Hamels is 0-1, 11.25 in his last three starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. Texas is 10-3 in his home starts.
A’s won their last four games (over 3-0-1), are 12-11 in road series openers. Texas is 11-2 in last 13 home games; they won last eight home series openers. Last six Texas home games went over the total.
White Sox @ Royals
Sale is 0-2, 2.45 in his last four starts; White Sox scored six runs in the four games. Four of his last five stayed under. Kennedy is 5-0, 2.45 in his last eight starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Royals are 7-4 in his home starts.
White Sox won six of last nine games; they’re 3-13 in last 16 road series openers. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Kansas City lost its last five home games, is 16-7 in home series openers. Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten home games.
Blue Jays @ Angels
Dickey is 1-2, 5.88 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under. Toronto is 6-7 in his road starts. Weaver is 3-0, 4.37 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under. Angels won five of his last six home starts.
Toronto lost nine of last 13 games; under is 4-2-2 in their last eight games. Angels lost eight of last nine games; under is 6-1-2 in their last nine home games.
Astros @ Mariners
McHugh is 3-0, 3.98 in his last four starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Houston is 6-3 in his last nine road starts. Hernandez is 5-1, 4.06 in his last six starts; Seattle is 13-1 this year if they give Felix 3+ runs- they’re 6-3 in his home starts. Over is 8-2 in his last ten starts.
Astros lost six of last eight road games, are 10-13 in road series openers. Over is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Seattle won its last eight games, is 15-8 in home series openers. Over is 10-3 in last 13 Seattle’s home games.
Interleague
Twins @ Mets
Berrios is 0-5, 11.41 in his last six starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Twins are 3-2 in his road starts. Colon is 3-0, 3.06 in his last five starts; four of his last six starts went over total. New York is 7-6 in his home starts.
Twins are 2-12 in last 14 road games, 8-15 in road series openers. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Mets won eight of last 11 games, are 2-6 in last eigh thome series openers. Under is 6-2 in New York’s last eight home games.
Teams’ record when this pitcher starts:
Mil-Chi– Anderson 11-16; Lackey 14-12
Mia-Phil– Koehler 12-17; Morgan 4-14
Pitt-Cin– Vogelsong 3-7; Stephenson 3-1
Wsh-Atl– Scherzer 20-10; Gant 3-3
SD-Col– Friedrich 8-12; Chatwood 13-11
LA-Az– Maeda 18-11; Greinke 15-9
StL-SF– Weaver 3-3; Moore 4-4/9-12
NY-Bos– Cessa 4-1; Buchholz 7-11
Det-Clev– Fulmer 17-6; Kluber 17-12
A’s-Tex– Graveman 14-14; Hamels 21-8
Chi-KC– Sale 16-12 (0-4 last 4); Kennedy 15-14 (6-1)
Tor-LAA– Dickey 11-17; Weaver 13-15 (4-0 Last 4)
Hst-Sea– McHugh 18-11 (5-0 last 5); Hernandez 14-7
Min-NYM– Berrios 2-9; Colon 18-11
%age of time pitcher allows 1+ runs in first inning:
Mil-Chi– Anderson 7-26; Lackey 9-26
Mia-Phil– Koehler 9-29; Morgan 9-18
Pitt-Cin– Vogelsong 4-10; Stephenson 1-4
Wsh-Atl– Scherzer 9-30; Gant 2-4
SD-Col– Friedrich 7-20; Chatwood 7-24
LA-Az– Maeda 5-29; Greinke 8-24
StL-SF– Weaver 2-6; Moore 6-29
NY-Bos– Cessa 3-5; Buchholz 8-18
Det-Clev– Fulmer 5-23; Kluber 6-29
A’s-Tex– Graveman 5-28; Hamels 6-29
Chi-KC– Sale 9-28; Kennedy 10-29
Tor-LAA– Dickey 7-28; Weaver 10-28
Hst-Sea– McHugh 11-29; Hernandez 3-21
Min-NYM– Berrios 4-11; Colon 9-29
Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/15
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
2016
|
NL @ AL
|
AL @ NL
|
Total
|
o/u @ AL
|
o/u @ NL
|
o/u Total
|
|
66-76F -$1784 |
81-70 |
157-136F-$2852
|
77-57-3
|
73-68-5
|
150-125-8
|
2015
|
NL @ AL
|
AL @ NL
|
Total
|
o/u @ AL
|
o/u @ NL
|
o/u Total
|
|
62-86
F +$2329 |
76-70
F -$509 |
161-130A
F +$1820 |
68-69-11
|
72-69-5
|
140-138-16
|
2014
|
NL @ AL
|
AL @ NL
|
Total
|
o/u @ AL
|
o/u @ NL
|
o/u Total
|
|
59-89
F +$1974 |
72-73
F -$1660 |
161-132A
F +$314 |
64-81
|
73-66
|
137-147
|
2013
|
NL @ AL
|
AL @ NL
|
Total
|
o/u @ AL
|
o/u @ NL
|
o/u Total
|
|
62-89
F +$997 |
64-85
F -$439 |
146-139A
F +$558 |
72-75
|
64-82
|
136-157
|
| AL Wild Card gameHouston @ Bronx Hst 3-0, even U7 |
| NL Wild Card game Chicago @ Pittsburgh Chi 4-0, -$125, U5.5 |
| NLDS New York @ Los Angeles NY 3-1, -$196, U5.5 LA 5-2, -$170, O6 NY 13-4, -$164, O7 LA 3-1, -$146, U6.5 NY 3-2, +$129, U6 Mets win series, 3-2 |
| NLDS Chicago @ St Louis StL 4-0, -$107, U6 Chi 6-3, +$126, O6.5 Chi 8-6, -$202, O7 Chi 6-4, -$115, O8.5 Cubs win series, 3-1 |
| ALDS Texas @ Toronto Tex 5-3, +$250, N8 Tex 6-4 (14), +$154, O7.5 Tor 5-1, +$126, U10 Tor 8-4, -$149, O10 Tor 6-3, -$170, O8 Blue Jays win series 3-2 |
| ALDS Houston @ Kansas City Hst 5-2, +$122, U7.5 KC 5-4, -$178, O7.5 Hst 4-2, -$175, U7.5 KC 9-6, +$116, O7.5 KC 7-2, -$126, O7.5 Royals win series, 3-2 |
| Blue Jays vs Royals KC 5-0, +$107, U8 KC 6-3, +$136, O7 Tor 11-8, -$151, O8 KC 14-2, +$142, O9 Tor 7-1, -$136, U9 KC 4-3, +$135, U9 Royals win series, 4-2 |
| Cubs vs Mets NY 4-2, -$125, N6 NY 4-1, +$131, U5.5 NY 5-2, -$107, U7.5 NY 8-3, even, O9 Mets win series 4-0 |
| World Series NY Mets vs Kansas City KC 5-4 (14), -$109, O7 KC 7-1, +108, O7 NY 9-3, -$137, O6.5 KC 5-3, +$120, O7 KC 7-2 (12), +$146, O7 Royals win series 4-1 |
5-inning records, 2015
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total
|
Tm
|
A
|
H
|
Total |
|
Ariz
|
37-32-13
|
31-37-11
|
68-69
|
Balt
|
26-48-13
|
37-29-13
|
63-77
|
|
Atl
|
28-37-16
|
30-31-18
|
58-68
|
Bos
|
28-35-17
|
38-31-13
|
66-66
|
|
Cubs
|
42-23-16
|
38-25-8
|
80-48
|
Chi
|
28-40-13
|
27-37-19
|
55-77
|
|
Cin
|
25-41-14
|
29-39-13
|
54-80
|
Clev
|
37-32-12
|
27-38-14
|
64-70
|
|
Colo
|
28-43-9
|
34-37-9
|
62-80
|
Det
|
32-40-6
|
34-32-15
|
66-71
|
|
LA
|
35-37-9
|
41-29-10
|
76-65
|
Hou
|
26-42-14
|
45-25-12
|
70-66
|
|
Mia
|
30-38-12
|
36-30-15
|
66-68
|
KC
|
32-34-14
|
36-29-13
|
68-63
|
|
Mil
|
23-43-15
|
32-40-8
|
55-83
|
LAA
|
24-43-15
|
38-31-16
|
62-74
|
|
Mets
|
30-33-18
|
41-27-13
|
71-60
|
Min
|
31-36-13
|
42-27-14
|
73-63
|
|
Phil
|
16-48-17
|
25-44-11
|
41-92
|
NYY
|
32-30-19
|
34-33-14 |
66-63
|
|
Pitt
|
36-31-14
|
39-31-10
|
75-62
|
A’s
|
28-41-10 |
39-34-10
|
67-75
|
|
StL
|
33-30-15
|
46-18-17
|
79-48
|
Sea
|
33-32-16
|
35-35-11
|
68-67
|
|
SD
|
27-47-6
|
33-31-17
|
60-78
|
TB
|
36-28-18
|
38-32-15
|
74-60
|
|
SF
|
34-35-13
|
41-28-11
|
75-63
|
Tex
|
39-32-10
|
38-30-12
|
77-62
|
|
Wsh
|
36-35-9
|
44-23-14
|
80-58
|
Tor
|
33-35-14
|
54-15-12
|
87-50
|
|
10/3
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
2015 Scoring (times/games) in first inning, home/away
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total |
|
Ariz
|
24-81
|
26-80
|
50
|
Balt
|
23-84
|
28-77
|
51
|
|
Atl
|
18-81
|
24-79
|
42
|
Bos
|
13-80
|
25-80
|
38
|
|
Cubs
|
24-80 |
27-81
|
51
|
Chi
|
19-81
|
18-80
|
36
|
|
Cin
|
24-80
|
32-80
|
56
|
Clev
|
24-81
|
20-80
|
44
|
|
Colo
|
29-80
|
28-81
|
57
|
Det
|
29-80
|
26-80
|
55
|
|
LA
|
24-81
|
26-80
|
50 |
Hou
|
23-80
|
24-81 |
47
|
|
Mia
|
24-80
|
23-81
|
47
|
KC
|
28-80
|
25-80
|
53
|
|
Mil
|
28-81
|
30-80
|
58
|
LAA
|
21-80 |
26-81
|
47
|
|
Mets
|
22-81
|
20-80
|
42
|
Minn
|
29-81
|
25-80
|
53
|
|
Phil
|
17-81
|
19-80
|
35
|
NYY
|
28-80
|
30-81
|
58
|
|
Pitt
|
19-81
|
27-80
|
46
|
A’s
|
21-80
|
19-81
|
40
|
|
StL
|
17-79
|
27-81
|
44
|
Sea
|
25-80
|
21-80
|
46
|
|
SD
|
21-80
|
25-81
|
46
|
TB
|
21-78
|
21-83
|
42
|
|
SF
|
21-81
|
22-80
|
42
|
Texas
|
22-81
|
37-80
|
59
|
|
Wsh
|
23-80
|
26-81
|
49
|
Tor
|
24-80
|
31-81
|
55
|
| 10/3 |
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
5-inning records, 2014
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total |
|
Ariz
|
24-43-16
|
28-34-15
|
52-77
|
Balt
|
33-32-15
|
40-32-12
|
73-64
|
|
Atl
|
34-29-16
|
35-31-15
|
69-60
|
Bos
|
26-41-14
|
29-42-9
|
55-83
|
|
Cubs
|
29-42-9
|
36-32-13
|
65-74
|
Chi
|
29-39-13
|
29-34-17
|
58-73
|
|
Cin
|
30-43-9
|
36-29-15
|
66-72
|
Clev
|
25-39-16
|
37-27-16
|
62-66
|
|
Colo
|
17-47-16
|
43-30-7
|
60-77
|
Det
|
37-35-9
|
42-25-13
|
79-60
|
|
LA
|
48-31-2
|
30-32-17
|
78-63
|
Hou
|
32-36-12
|
38-31-13
|
70-67
|
|
Mia
|
23-37-20
|
35-30-16
|
58-67
|
KC
|
43-29-8
|
30-33-17
|
73-62
|
|
Mil
|
32-35-15
|
41-27-12
|
73-62
|
LAA
|
44-27-9
|
38-27-17
|
82-54
|
|
Mets
|
34-37-9
|
39-32-9
|
73-68
|
Min
|
24-39-18
|
33-41-8
|
57-80
|
|
Phil
|
31-40-10
|
33-33-15
|
64-73
|
Bx
|
40-31-9
|
44-22-15 |
84-53
|
|
Pitt
|
34-31-16
|
42-23-14
|
76-54
|
A’s
|
27-37-16
|
45-27-9
|
72-64
|
|
StL
|
32-34-14
|
42-25-14
|
74-59
|
Sea
|
35-29-17
|
38-35-9
|
73-64
|
|
SD
|
23-43-14
|
37-34-9
|
60-77
|
TB
|
35-34-11
|
28-42-11
|
63-76
|
|
SF
|
31-37-12
|
38-34-8
|
69-71
|
Texas
|
28-35-18
|
24-39-16
|
52-74
|
|
Wsh
|
36-37-8
|
42-27-11
|
78-64
|
Tor
|
30-41-10
|
42-29-10
|
72-70
|
|
9/27
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
2014 Scoring (times/games) in first inning, home/away
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total |
|
Ariz
|
21-81
|
25-80
|
46
|
Balt
|
19-80
|
26-81
|
45
|
|
Atl
|
15-80
|
18-81
|
33
|
Bos
|
19-81
|
18-80
|
37
|
|
Cubs
|
17-80
|
17-81
|
34
|
Chi
|
19-81
|
24-80
|
43
|
|
Cin
|
20-81
|
31-80
|
51
|
Clev
|
17-81
|
29-80
|
46
|
|
Colo
|
14-80
|
30-81
|
44
|
Det
|
28-81
|
20-80
|
48
|
|
LA
|
26-81
|
21-80
|
47
|
Hou
|
15-80
|
33-81
|
48
|
|
Mia
|
21-80
|
27-81
|
48
|
KC
|
20-80
|
16-81
|
36
|
|
Mil
|
20-81
|
32-80
|
52
|
LAA
|
27-80
|
27-81
|
54
|
|
Mets
|
28-81
|
20-80
|
48
|
Minn
|
21-80
|
24-81
|
45
|
|
Phil
|
22-81
|
24-80
|
46
|
Bronx
|
21-80
|
21-81 |
42
|
|
Pitt
|
19-80
|
25-81
|
44
|
A’s
|
18-80
|
20-81
|
38
|
|
StL
|
17-80
|
28-81
|
44
|
Sea
|
12-81
|
23-80
|
35
|
|
SD
|
14-80
|
22-81
|
36
|
TB
|
19-80
|
24-81
|
43
|
|
SF
|
26-81
|
23-80
|
49
|
Texas
|
22-81
|
22-80
|
44
|
|
Wsh
|
22-81
|
28-80
|
50
|
Tor
|
30-81
|
27-80
|
57
|
|
9/27
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
Scoring (times/games) in first inning, home/away
How to read: Arizona scored in first inning in 23 of 81 road games, 23 of 79 home games, 46 first innings overall.
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total
|
Team
|
A
|
H
|
Total |
|
Ariz
|
23-81
|
23-80
|
46
|
Balt
|
23-81
|
24-80
|
47
|
|
Atl
|
19-80
|
29-80
|
49
|
Bos
|
26-80
|
24-81
|
50
|
|
Cubs
|
18-80
|
26-80
|
44
|
ChiSox
|
24-81
|
22-80
|
46
|
|
Cin
|
32-80
|
20-80
|
52
|
Clev
|
21-80
|
27-81
|
48
|
|
Colo
|
23-80
|
34-81
|
57
|
Det
|
21-80
|
28-81
|
49
|
|
LA
|
19-80
|
24-80
|
43
|
Hou
|
19-81
|
13-80
|
32
|
|
Miami
|
16-81
|
24-80
|
40
|
KC
|
14-80
|
30-81
|
44
|
|
Mil
|
22-80
|
25-81
|
47
|
LAA
|
25-80
|
24-81
|
49
|
|
Mets
|
22-81
|
13-80
|
35
|
Minn
|
20-81
|
17-80
|
37
|
|
Phil
|
16-80
|
25-81
|
41
|
Bronx
|
23-80
|
20-81 |
43
|
|
Pitt
|
16-80
|
27-80
|
43
|
A’s
|
24-80
|
23-81
|
47
|
|
StL
|
27-80
|
25-80
|
52
|
Sea
|
28-81
|
21-80
|
49
|
|
SD
|
26-80
|
26-81
|
52
|
TB
|
25-80
|
24-81
|
49
|
|
SF
|
23-81
|
21-80
|
44
|
Texas
|
18-81
|
23-80
|
41
|
|
Wash
|
25-80
|
21-81
|
46
|
Tor
|
24-81
|
28-80
|
52
|
|
9/28
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
My plan to re-align the major leagues
Very little of the following is likely to ever happen, but I think this is a good plan to make the major leagues better.
1) Realignment…..here are the way I would align the divisions:
|
East
Red Sox Mets Bronx Phillies Blue Jays |
Great Lakes
Reds Indians Tigers Twins Pirates |
Southeast
Braves Orioles Marlins Rays Nationals |
|
Midwest
Cubs White Sox Royals Brewers Cardinals |
Mountain
Diamondbacks Rockies Astros Mariners Rangers |
West
Angels Dodgers A’s Padres Giants |
2) The schedule………
72 games– Play four division rivals 18 times each……
60 games– Six games against other 10 teams in conference
30 games– Six games against five teams in division in the other conference, which alternates every year.
3) Get rid of the designated hitter.
4) Players are only people who wear uniforms.
5) Coaches do not come on the field during games; no stalling on the mound; you want to change pitches, just sub him like it was a basketball game. Call time, bring the new guy in.
6) No activity is washed out; if game gets rained out in second inning, you pick it up from the point of interruption. Anything that happens counts.
7) Home field in World Series is decided by who wins season series between Eastern and Western Conference.
8) All-Star Game alternates between East-West, USA-World formats; they are exhibitions, they don’t determine home field in World Series, maybe the worst idea in the history of ideas. .
9) Would it be too much to ask for all the warm weather/dome teams to play at home the first week each season? It won’t be something that eliminates rainouts, but it should help.
10) This is very important and probably the least likely thing to happen: $70M salary floor, $125 or $150M salary cap. Imagine how great the sport would be with financially competitive balance, like in NFL or NBA or the NHL.
e-mail the armadillo at ffib13@gmail.com