College Football

football

Every game analyzed, all season long, right thru BCS title game Selections are posted in box below game analysis

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2020 college football knowledge
Bowl Games
Jan 11
National championship game
Alabama (12-0) vs Ohio State (7-0)
— Alabama won one game this year by less than 17 points (Florida).
— Alabama held 7 of last 8 opponents to 17 or fewer points.
— Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bama’s junior QB has made 15 starts.
— Alabama didn’t cover last last two games, after covering seven in a row.
— Alabama is 6-2 in last eight bowls (both losses to Clemson).
— Over is 7-5 in Alabama games this year.

— QB Fields was banged up last game (ribs?), still threw for 385 yards.
— Ohio State scored 38+ points in six of their seven games.
— Buckeyes ran ball for 295.5 ypg in last four games. 
— Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio State’s junior QB has started 20 games.
— Since 2013, Buckeyes are 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
— OSU won four of last six bowls (both losses vs Clemson)
— Over is 5-1-1 in Ohio State games this year. 

Jan 2
Gator Bowl
(Jacksonville)
NC State (8-3) vs Kentucky (4-6)
— NC State won its last four games, scoring 26.0 ppg.
— State allowed 44+ points in all three of their losses.
— Wolfpack is 8-0 when they allow less than 44 points.
— Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wolfpack has used couple of QB’s; the current starter is a junior.
— State is 3-1 ATS this year in games with a single-digit spread.
— Wolfpack is 3-2 in last five bowls; they gave up 51-52 points in the losses; they lost 52-13 to Texas A&M in this game, two years ago.

— Not sure why a 4-6 team is in a bowl, but here we are.
— Kentucky was held to 13 or fewer points in 5 of their 6 losses.
— Wildcats threw for 120 or fewer yards in six of their last eight games.
— Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Kentucky has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats have used couple of QB’s; the current starter is a junior.
— Wildcats are 1-5 when they score less than 35 points.
— Kentucky won its last two bowls, 27-24/37-30

Outback Bowl (Tampa)
Ole Miss (4-5) vs Indiana (6-1)
— Ole Miss won three of last four games, after a 1-4 start.
— Rebels allowed 33+ points in seven of their nine games.
— Arkansas (394) was only team that gained less than 400 yards against them.
— Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Ole Miss has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ole Miss a has a soph QB with 13 career starts. 
— Rebels are 1-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— This is Rebels’ first bowl since 2015; they won four of last five bowls. Kiffin is 1-2 as a head coach in bowls.

— Indiana’s QB got hurt, is out for the year- their only loss is 42-35 at Ohio State.
— Hoosiers covered all seven of their games this season.
— Indiana held three of last four opponents to 11 or fewer points.
— Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Indiana has 46 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Indiana has a soph backup QB with one career start.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— Indiana lost its last five bowls, last three by total of six points.

Fiesta Bowl (Glendale, AZ)
Oregon (4-2) vs Iowa State (8-3)
— Oregon scored 31+ points in five of its six games.
— Ducks were minus-2 or worse in turnovers in four of six games.
— Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon has a soph QB with six starts.
— Ducks are 4-10-1 ATS in last fifteen games as an underdog.
— Oregon won its last two bowls, both by one point.

— Cyclones won five of their last six games.
— Iowa State lost Big X title game to Oklahoma team they had previously beaten.
— Cyclones are 8-0 when they score more than 21 points.
— Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 32 starts.
— ISU is 3-2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
— Cyclones lost four of their last five bowl games.

Orange Bowl (Miami)
North Carolina (8-3) vs Texas A&M (6-1)
— North Carolina won four of its last five games.
— Tar Heels are 6-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
— Carolina scored 41+ points in five of last six I-A games.
— Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 24 career starts.
— Tar Heels are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as underdogs.
— UNC lost three of its last four bowl games.

— Texas A&M won last seven games, since a September loss to Alabama.
— A&M Randall for 313-216 yards in their last two games.
— Aggies held three of last four opponents under 270 total yards.
— A&M has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Aggies have 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— A&M’s has a senior QB with 41 career starts.
— Aggies are 4-3 ATS this season as a favorite.
— A&M won its last two bowl games, 52-13/24-21

Jan 1
Peach Bowl
(Atlanta)
Cincinnati (9-0) vs Georgia (7-2)
— Cincinnati last two wins: 36-33 vs UCF, 27-24 vs Tulsa.
— Bearcats threw ball for 961 yards in their last three games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cincy’s junior QB has 34 career starts.
— Under Fickell, Cincinnati is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
— Bearcats won their last two bowls, 35-31/38-6

— Georgia won four of its last five games, scoring 41.7 ppg in last three.
— Dawgs gave up 41-44 points in losses to Alabama/Florida. 
— Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Dawgs’ QB is a transfer from USC (5 starts)
— Georgia’s last six games went over the total.
— Dawgs won four of their last six bowl games.

Citrus Bowl (Orlando)
Northwestern (6-2) vs
Auburn (6-4)
— Northwestern lost two of its last three games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Northwestern has a senior QB with 30 career starts. 
— Wildcats were +8 in turnovers in first five games, are minus-5 in last three. 
— Seven of eight Northwestern games stayed under total.
— Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Northwestern won last three bowls, scoring 31-24-31 points.

— Auburn lost two of last three games, fired their coach. 
— Tigers scored 32.7 ppg in their wins; 6-22-13-20 in losses.
— Auburn gave up 437+ yards six of last nine games.
— Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 23 career starts.
— Auburn is 4-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Auburn lost three of its last four bowl games.

Rose Bowl (Arlington, TX)
Alabama (11-0) vs Notre Dame (10-1)
— Alabama won one game this year by less than 17 points.
— Alabama did give up 46 points, 408 PY in last game, vs Florida
— Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bama’s junior QB has made 14 starts.
— Alabama covered seven of its last eight games overall.
— Alabama is 5-2 in last seven bowls (both losses to Clemson).

— Notre Dame lost 34-10 to Clemson after winning its first ten games.
— When ND beat Clemson 47-40 Nov 7th, Trevor Lawrence didn’t play.
— Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Notre Dame has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame’s senior QB has made 34 career starts.
— Notre Dame is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog.
— Notre Dame won three of its last five bowls.

Sugar Bowl (New Orleans)
Ohio State (6-0)
vs Clemson (10-1)
— Ohio State scored 38+ points in five of their six games.
— Buckeyes ran ball for 307-322-399 yards in last three games. 
— Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio State’s junior QB has started 19 games.
— Since 2013, Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
— OSU won three of last five bowls (both losses vs Clemson)

— Tigers’ OC Elliott will miss this game (COVID)
— Clemson won its last three games, scoring 52-45-34 points.
— Clemson ran ball for 238-219 yards in its last two games. 
— Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Clemson’s junior QB has made 35 starts. 
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Clemson won five of its last seven bowls.

— Clemson won last two meetings, 31-0/29-23. 

Dec 31
Armed Forces Bowl
(Fort Worth, TX)
Tulsa (6-2) vs Mississippi State (3-7)
— Tulsa lost its first game, its last game, went 6-0 in between. 
— Golden Hurricane scored 31.2 ppg in its four wins, 7-24 in losses.
— Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulsa’s senior QB has 30 career starts.
— Tulsa covered eight of ten games this season.
— Tulsa is 3-2 in last five bowls, scoring 52-55 points in last two.

— Mississippi State lost six of its last eight games.
— Bulldogs are 1-7 when they score fewer than 41 points.
— Mike Leach has a 7-8 record SU in bowl games.
— MSU has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rebels have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
— MSU has switched to a freshman QB; he’s started seven games.
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under total.
— Bulldogs lost last two bowls, 27-22/38-28; underdogs covered their last four bowl games.

Arizona Bowl
San Jose State (7-0) vs Ball State (6-1)
— San Jose went undefeated, with all their wins by 10+ points.
— Spartans are 4-0 away from home, scoring 31.8 ppg. 
— Spartans have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— San Jose has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Spartans have a senior QB with 17 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
— San Jose is 6-0-1 ATS this season.
— Spartans are in their first bowl since 2015; they’re 7-3 all-time in bowls.
— San Jose won its last four bowls; their last bowl loss was 1987.
 
— Ball State won its last six games, after losing their opener.
— Cardinals gave 449+ TY in four of last six games.
— Ball State has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cardinals have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ball State has a senior QB with 25 starts.
— This is Ball State’s first winning season since 2013.
— Cardinals are 4-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Ball State is 0-7 all-time in bowls; their last bowl was 2013.

Liberty Bowl (@ Memphis)
West Virginia (5-4) vs Army (9-2)
— West Virginia is 5-0 when it runs for 100+ yards, 0-4 when they do not.
— WVU is 1-3 this season in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— WVU has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Mountaineers have a junior QB who has started 30 games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in West Virginia’s last seven games.
— Mountaineers lost last three bowls, giving up 31.7 ppg.
— It is difficult to prepare for the option on short notice.

— Misleading record; Army has four wins vs I-AA teams.
— Cadets ran ball for 243+ yards in five of last six games. 
— Army has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cadets have 55 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Army has a junior QB with 17 career starts.
— Cadets beat Navy 15-0, Air Force 10-7, their rivalry games.
— Army was held to 10-12 points in losses at Cincinnati/Tulane.
— Cadets won last four bowls; they were an underdog in two of them. 

Dec 30
Mayo Bowl
Wake Forest (4-4) vs Wisconsin (3-3)

— Wake lost its last two games, giving up 104 points.
— Deacons allowed 46.5 ppg in losses, 16.8 ppg in wins.
— Wake has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Deacons have 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 17 career starts.
— Deacons covered three of four games as an underdog this year.
— Wake Forest won three of its last four bowl games.

— Wisconsin lost three of last four games, scoring 10 ppg.
— Badgers have allowed only 15.7 ppg this season.
— Badgers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Wisconsin has 50 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with six starts.
— Badgers are 0-5 ATS in last five games overall (under 5-0).
— Wisconsin won four of its last five bowl games.

Cotton Bowl, Dallas
Oklahoma (8-2) vs Florida (8-3)
— Oklahoma won its last seven games, after a 1-2 start.
— Sooners scored 35-30 points in their two losses.
— Oklahoma hasn’t lost since October 3rd vs Iowa State
— Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sooners have a freshman QB with 10 career starts.
— Oklahoma covered five of its last six games overall.
— Sooners lost their last three bowls, giving up 54 ppg.

— Florida lost its last two games, giving up 37-52 points.  
— Gators’ losses this season are by 3-3-6 points. 
— Florida threw ball for 400+ yards in their last three games.
— Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators have a senior QB who has started 22 games.
— Florida is 1-4-1 ATS in last six games overall.
— Gators won their last three bowls by a combined score of 107-46

Dec 29
Cheez-It Bowl, Orlando
Oklahoma State (7-3) vs Miami (8-2)

— Oklahoma State split its last six games, after a 4-0 start.
— OSU allowed 37 ppg in its three losses.
— State gave up 16.1 ppg in its wins.
— Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cowboys’ soph QB has started 21 games.
— OSU is 2-3-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
  Cowboys won three of their last four bowls.

— Miami is 8-2, but lost its last game 62-26 to North Carolina.
— Hurricanes won 4 of 5 on road, losing 42-17 at Clemson.
— Miami gave up 554 rushing yards in the loss to UNC. 
— Miami has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hurricanes’ senior QB has started 29 games.
— Miami is 5-3 ATS as a favorite this year. 
— Hurricanes lost last three bowls; they were outscored 49-3 in last two.

Alamo Bowl, San Antonio
Colorado (4-1) vs Texas (6-3)
— Colorado won its first four games, then lost 38-21 to Utah.
— Buffs gave up 397+ total yards in four of five games.
— Colorado has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Buffs have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Colorado has a new QB this season- he was a safety LY.
— Buffs covered two of three games as an underdog this year.
— This is Colorado’s first bowl since 2016, 2nd since 2007.
— Buffs’ last bowl win was in 2004.

— Longhorns won four of their last five games.
— Texas allowed 430+ TY in six of its last eight games.
— Six of their last eight games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Texas has 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Longhorns have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Texas has a senior QB with 41 career starts.
— Longhorns are 2-3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Texas won its last three bowls, scoring 33 ppg. 

Dec 26
First Responder Bowl, Dallas
Louisiana (9-1) vs Texas-San Antonio (7-4)
— Louisiana won its last six games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
— ULL’s only loss was 30-27 at home to Coastal October 14.
— Cajuns won all six road games, also scoring 38.2 ppg.
— Cajuns have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Louisiana has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cajuns have a senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Louisiana is 3-5 ATS as a favorite TY, 2-4 when laying double digits.
— In its history, ULL has won five of seven bowl games.

— UTSA coach Traylor tested positive for COVID, will likely miss this game.
— Roadrunners won their last three games, scoring 41.3 ppg.
— UTSA ran ball for 229+ yards in five of its seven wins.
— Roadrunners have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— UTSA has 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Roadrunners have a junior QB with 15 career starts.
— UTSA ia 4-2 ATS when getting points this season.
— UTSA’s only previous bowl game was a 23-20 (+9) loss at New Mexico in the New Mexico Bowl four years ago.

LendingTree Bowl, Mobile, AL
Western Kentucky (5-6)
vs Georgia State (5-4)
— WKU won its last three games; they allowed 11.8 ppg last four games.
— Hilltoppers held five of last five opponents under 310 TY.
— Hilltoppers have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— WKU has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hilltoppers’ senior QB has started 18 games, 7 of them at Maryland.
— WKU is 2-3 ATS this year, in games with a single digit spread.
— Hilltoppers scored 38-37 points in last two games, only times this year they scored more than 24 points.
— WKU won four of its last five bowl games.

— Georgia State scored 31+ points in seven of nine games.
— Georgia State its 0-2 this season scoring fewer than 31.
— Panthers won three of their last four games.
— GSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Georgia State’s redshirt freshman QB has started nine games.
— Panthers are 4-2 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Georgia State lost two of its three bowls; they were underdog in all three.

— Georgia State (+6.5) upset WKU 27-17 in the Cure Bowl, three years ago.

Mortgage Cure Bowl, Orlando
Liberty (9-1) vs Coastal Carolina (11-0)
— Liberty’s only loss was 15-14 at NC State; they had a FG blocked at the end.
— Flames scored 30+ points in eight of ten games.
— Liberty beat two ACC teams (Syracuse/Virginia Tech).
— Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Liberty has 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Liberty’s junior QB is an Auburn transfer; he has started 10 games.
— Flames are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Liberty (+5) beat Georgia Southern 23-16 in this bowl LY, their first-ever bowl.

— Coastal won its last two games by total of nine points. 
— Chanticleers ran ball for 236+ yards in four of last six games.
— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coastal’s freshman QB has 23 TD passes, two INTs. 
— Chanticleers are 7-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
— This is Coastal Carolina’s first-ever bowl game.

— These teams were supposed to play last month, but Liberty had COVID issues and the game cancelled.  

Dec 25
Camellia Bowl
(Montgomery, AL)
Marshall (7-2) vs Buffalo (5-1)
— Marshall lost last two games 20-0/22-13 after a 7-0 start.
— Thundering Herd hasn’t played away from home since October 17.
— Marshall has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Thundering Herd have 126 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Marshall has a redshirt freshman QB with nine career starts.
— Thundering Herd is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as an under dog (1-0 TY).
— Marshall is 12-3 in bowls; they lost 48-25 to UCF last year.

— Buffalo lost MAC title game 38-28 after a 5-0 regular season.
— Star RB Patterson (1,072 YR) got hurt last game, is expected to play here. 
— Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Buffalo has a soph QB with 11 career starts.
— Bulls are 19-9-1 ATS in last 29 games as a favorite.
— Buffalo is 1-3 in bowls; they beat Charlotte 31-9 LY.

Dec 24
New Mexico Bowl (Frisco, TX)
Hawai’i (4-4) vs Houston (3-4)
— Hawai’i allowed 31+ points in their losses; 23.5 ppg in wins.
— Rainbows allowed 208+ rushing yards in six of last seven games.
— Hawai’i has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rainbows have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawai’i’s soph QB has started 13 games.
— Rainbows are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
— This is first time since 2008 Hawai’i is bowling on the mainland.
— Rainbows lost three of last five bowls, giving up 42.2 ppg.

— Houston allowed 30+ points in five of their seven games.
— Cougars have a minus-7 turnover ratio this season.
— Houston scored 37+ points in their wins; they’re 0-4 scoring less than 37. 
— Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Houston’s junior QB has started 16 games.
— Cougars are 3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Houston is 3-2 in last five bowls, but lost 70-14 in last bowl, in ’18 vs Army. 

Dec 23
New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana Tech (5-4) vs Georgia Southern (7-5)
— Tech is 4-0 when it scores 31+ points, 1-4 when it does not.
— Bulldogs gave up 330+ rushing yards in two of last three games.
— Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 2 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB with 26 career starts.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 ATS this season as an underdog. 
— Tech won its last five bowls, allowing total of 24 points in last three.

— Eagles want to run ball; they ran for 200+ yards in 9 of 12 games.
— Georgia Southern lost three of its last four games.
— Eagles have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 90 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB with 46 career starts.
— Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS this year in games with single digit spread. 
— Georgia Southern won two of its three bowl games.

Montgomery Bowl
Memphis (7-3) Florida Atlantic (5-3)
— Memphis won four of its last five games.
— Tigers are 5-0 if they score 34+ points, 2-3 if they don’t.
— Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ senior QB has started 38 games.
— Memphis is 1-4 ATS this season as a favorite.
— Memphis lost its last five bowls, giving up 38.4 ppg.

— FAU lost its last two games, 20-3/45-31, after a 5-1 start.
— Owls gave up 574 rushing yards in their last two games.
— FAU is allowing only 16.5 ppg this season.
— FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FAU has a junior QB with 34 career starts.
— Owls are 2-4 ATS in games this year with a single digit spread.
— FAU is 4-0 in bowl games, scoring 50-52 points in last two; they were an underdog in two of the four games.

Dec 22
Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise
Tulane (6-5) vs Nevada (6-2)
— Tulane won four of last five games, after a 2-4 start.
— Green Wave allowed 24 or fewer points in wins, 38.8 ppg in losses.
— Green Wave has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tulane has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 18 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
— Tulane is 5-3 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Tulane won four of last five bowls, winning 41-24/30-13 last two years.

— Nevada lost two of last three games after a 5-0 start.
— Wolf Pack allowed 30-34 points in its losses, 21.5 ppg in wins.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 18 career starts.
— Wolf Pack is 2-2 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Nevada is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.
— Nevada lost 30-21 to Ohio U in this bowl last year.

Boca Raton Bowl
Central Florida (6-3) vs BYU (10-1)
— Central Florida won four of last five games, after a 2-2 start. 
— UCF gained 455+ yards in seven of their nine games.
— Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Knights have a sophomore QB with 21 career starts.
— UCF is 3-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Knights are 2-3 in last five bowls; average total in last three, 68.7.

— BYU had its first loss of year December 5, at Coastal Carolina.
— Eight of BYU’s ten wins are by 17+ points. 
— Cougars beat Navy (55-3), Houston (43-26) of AAC.  
— Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cougars have a junior QB with 28 career starts.
— BYU is 3-0 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— BYU is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.

Dec 21
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Appalachian State vs North Texas
Appalachian State (8-3)
— App State won seven of its last nine games.
— ASU was minus-6 in turnovers in its three losses, +6 in its wins. 
— App State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— App State has a senior QB with 37 career starts. 
— ASU is 1-4 ATS this year as a double digit favorite.
— App State won its last five bowls, scoring 31+ points in all five. 
— North Texas lost last three bowls, giving up 46.7 ppg.

North Texas (4-5)
— North Texas allowed 31+ points in eight of its nine games.
— Mean Green allowed 200+ rushing yards in six of last eight games.
— North Texas has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Mean Green has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
— North Texas has a soph QB with 9 career starts.
— Mean Green are 4-5 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.
— North Texas lost last three bowls, giving up 46.7 ppg.

 

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