College Football

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Every game analyzed, all season long, right thru BCS title game Selections are posted in box below game analysis

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2020 college football knowledge
Week 12
Thursday’s game
New Mexico (0-4) @ Utah State (0-4)

— New Mexico lost its first four games, giving up 33 ppg.
— Lobos allowed 474 ypg in their first four games.
— New Mexico has 8 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Lobos have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— New Mexico has a junior QB with 16 career starts.
— Over last 11 years, Lobos are 3-2-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Utah State is 0-4, giving up 37.3 ppg; they already fired the coach.
— Aggies lost their two home games, 38-7/35-16. 
— Utah State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rams have 81 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah State has a junior QB who has four career starts.  
— Aggies are 1-7 ATS in last 8 games as a home underdog, 0-2 TY.

— Utah State won last three series games, by 13-42-14 points.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.
— Mountain West home underdogs are 7-5 ATS this season. 

13 of the weekend’s best games
Notre Dame (8-0) @ North Carolina (6-2)
— Notre Dame won its first eight games (4-4 ATS)
— ND ran for 209+ yards in six of last seven games.
— Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Notre Dame has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame’s senior QB has made 31 career starts.
— Notre Dame is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.

— North Carolina is 6-2, scoring 56-59 points in last two games.  
— UNC is 4-0 at home, scoring 48.5 ppg.; they’re underdogs for first time this year
— Carolina gained 556+ yards in each of its last six games.
— Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 21 career starts.
— Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.

— Notre Dame (-14) won 33-10 here in last meeting, in 2017.

Stanford (0-2) @ California (0-2)
— Stanford lost its first two games, 35-14/35-32.
— Cardinal allowed 928 yards in those two games.
— Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cardinal has a junior QB with 8 career starts.
— Stanford is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.

— California lost its first two games, both on road.
— Golden Bears gave up 34-31 points, 449 rushing yards in those games.
— Golden Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cal has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Golden Bears have a junior QB has started 21 games.
— Cal is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games as a home underdog. 

— Cal upset Stanford 24-20 LY, snapping a 9-game series skid.
— Favorites covered six of last eight series games.
— Cardinal won/covered their last five visits to Berkeley.

Oregon (3-0) @ Oregon State (1-2)
— Oregon won its first three games, scoring 38.7 ppg.
— Ducks gained exactly 500 ypg in those games.
— Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon has a soph QB with three starts.
— Ducks are 6-2 ATS in last 8 games as a road favorite.

— Oregon State lost two of first three games, giving up 30.7 ppg.
— Beavers have given up average of 206.7 rushing yards/game.
— OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon State has a junior QB with four starts.
— Beavers are 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.

— Ducks won 11 of last 12 games with the Beavers.
— Oregon won/covered five of last six visits to Corvallis. 

Iowa State (6-2) @ Texas (5-2)
— Iowa State won six of last seven games, scoring 45 ppg in last three.
— Cyclones won two of three road games, losing 24-21 at Oklahoma State.
— Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 29 starts.
— ISU is 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.

— Longhorns won last three games, scoring 28.3 ppg.
— Three of last five Texas games went to overtime.
— Texas has 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Longhorns have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Texas has a senior QB with 39 career starts.
— Longhorns are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.

— Texas won 13 of last 16 games vs Iowa State.
— Longhorns won 7 of last 8 visits to Ames (5-3 ATS). 

Virginia (4-4) @ Florida State (2-6)
— Virginia won its last three games, after a 1-4 start.
— Cavaliers scored 43.3 ppg in their last three games.
— Virginia has 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cavaliers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Virginia has a soph QB with eight starts.
— Cavaliers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

— Florida State lost its last three games, giving up 43.3 ppg.
— Seminoles are 0-6 when they run ball for less than 241 yards.
— FSU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Seminoles have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FSU has used four QB’s; they’ve settled on a soph.
— FSU is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Virginia is 3-2 ATS in its last five visits to Tallahassee.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.

Northwestern (5-0) @ Michigan State (1-3)
— Northwestern won its first five games, allowing 12.6 ppg. 
— Last four games, Wildcats gained only 286.3 ypg.
— Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Northwestern has a senior QB with 28 career starts. 
— Wildcats are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.

— Michigan State was outscored 73-7 in its last two games.
— Thru four games, Spartans are minus-9 in turnovers.
— Spartans have 7 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— MSU has 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Michigan State’s junior QB has started seven games.
— Since 2017, MSU is 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.

— Northwestern won four of last six games with Michigan State.
— Wildcats covered their last eight visits to East Lansing.

Penn State (0-5) @ Michigan (2-3)
— Penn State lost its first five games, giving up 36 ppg.
— Nittany Lions have been minus in turnovers every game (-9).
— PSU has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Penn State has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nittany Lions yanked their starting QB at Nebraska; the soph backup, this would be the backup’s 2nd college start.
— Since 2014, Penn State is 3-5 ATS as a road underdog. 

— Michigan lost three of its last four games, giving up 36 ppg.
— Wolverines lost both their home games, 27-24/49-11.
— Last three games, Michigan is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Michigan has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Wolverines have only 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Michigan yanked their QB last game; the backup threw for 260 yards, four TD’s. This will be his first college start.
— Wolverines are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

— Home side won last four series games.
— Michigan won four of last six series tilts.
— Nittany Lions are covered once in last five visits to Ann Arbor. 

San Jose State (4-0) @ Boise State (4-1)
— San Jose is 4-0 for the first time since 1955.
— Spartans won only road game, 28-17 at San Diego State.
— Spartans have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— San Jose has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Spartans have a senior QB with 14 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
— Last 2+ years, San Jose  is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— Boise State scored 40+ points in all four of its wins.
— Broncos are minus-4 in turnovers in their last three games.
— Boise has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Broncos have 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Boise has a soph QB with 11 career starts.
— Since 2010, Boise State is 14-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— Boise won its last 13 games with San Jose (5-2 ATS in last seven).
— Spartans are 2-4 ATS in last six games on the blue carpet.

LSU (3-3) @ Texas A&M (5-1)
— LSU split their first six games; they’re an underdog for first time this year.
— Tigers gave up 44-45-48 points in losses; 7-24-24 in wins.
— LSU has 3 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
— LSU has a freshman QB with two career starts.
— Tigers covered last five games as a road underdog.

— This is Texas A&M’s first game in three weeks.
— Texas A&M won last four games, scoring 39.8 ppg.
— Aggies scored 42-48 points in their last two games.
— A&M has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Aggies have 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— A&M’s has a senior QB with 39 career starts.
— Under Fisher, Aggies are 9-5 ATS as a home favorite, 0-2 TY.

— LSU won eight of last nine series games; only loss was 74-72 in 7 OT’s in 2018.
— LSU covered all nine of those games (1-0 ATS as the underdog).
— Tigers won three of last four visits here, losing last one 74-72.

Mississippi State (2-5) @ Ole Miss (3-4)
— Miss State lost five of six games, scoring 14.7 ppg.
— Bulldogs lost last three road games, by 22-41-7 points.
— MSU has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rebels have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
— MSU has switched to a freshman QB; he’s started four games.
— Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog. Leach is 19-10 ATS in his last 29 games as a road dog, 2-2 this season.

— Ole Miss is 3-4; they’ve allowed 33+ points in six of seven games.
— Rebels scored 42.5 ppg in first four home games, but they’re 1-3.
— Ole Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rebels have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ole Miss’s sophomore QB is making his 12th career start.
— Last 2+ years, Rebels are 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.

— Underdogs covered five of last seven Egg Bowls.
— State won three of last four series games.
— Bulldogs won last two visits to Oxford, by combined 90-23. 

Utah (0-1) @ Arizona State (0-1)
— Utah lost its opener 33-17 to USC last week.
— Utes were outscored 9-0 in second half; they were -3 in turnovers.
— Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah’s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
— Utah is 11-2 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

— ASU lost its opener 28-27 at USC, blowing a 13-point lead in last 2:52.
— Sun Devils haven’t played in three weeks.
— Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 13 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 3-9 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Utes lost three of last four visits to Tempe (2-2 ATS).

Tulsa (3-1) @ Houston (2-2)
— Tulsa won its last five games, after a 16-7 loss at Oklahoma State.
— Golden Hurricane scored 31.6 ppg in its five wins.
— Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulsa’s senior QB has 28 career starts.
— Tulsa covered eight of its last nine road games.

— Houston split its first four games, giving up 43-44 points in its losses.
— Cougars gave up 402-328 passing yards in their two losses.
— Houston won its only road game, 37-21 at Navy. 
— Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Houston’s junior QB has started 13 games.
— Since 2013, Cougars are 11-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Houston won five of last six series games.
— Tulsa lost last three visits here, but covered last five.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games. 

Nevada (5-0) @ Hawai’i (2-2)
— Nevada won its first five games, despite a -1 turnover ratio, and running for fewer than 100 yards in three of the five games.
— Wolf Pack won its two road games, 37-19 at UNLV, 27-20 at New Mexico.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 15 career starts.
— Wolf Pack covered eight of its last ten road games.

— Hawai’i lost its last two games; they gave up 35.7 ppg in last three.
— Rainbows allowed 279+ rushing yards in three of last four games.
— Hawai’i has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rainbows have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawai’i’s soph QB has started nine games.
— Rainbows are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.

— Underdogs won last four series games SU.
— Nevada won three of its last four visits to Hawai’i. 

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