College Football


Every game analyzed, all season long, right thru BCS title game Selections are posted in box below game analysis


Friday’s game
Pac-12, Santa Clara, CA

Oregon won seven of last ten games with Utah, losing 32-25 in SLC LY, when Utah blew 19-7 halftime lead, then scored GW TD with 6:48 left. Utes (+5) lost Pac-12 title game 10-3 to Washington LY; they won their last eight games since a 30-23 loss at USC in September. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Oregon won 10 of its last 11 games, losing last road game 31-28 at ASU; Ducks are in Pac-12 title game for first time since their 51-13 (-14) win over Arizona five years ago. Under Cristobal, Oregon is 1-4 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 TY. Four of their last six games went over.

Saturday’s games
MAC, Detroit
Central Michigan is 8-0 when they score 38+ points; they scored 20 or less in their four losses. CMU won its last two games with Miami, OH, 37-17/31-14; Chippewas are in MAC title game for first time in 10 years- they won six of last seven games after a 2-3 start, covering all four games they’ve been favored in TY. Six of their last seven games went over. Miami is in MAC title game for first time since 2010; they won five of last six games after a 2-4 start- they gave up 35+ points in all five of their losses. Red Hawks are 4-5 ATS as an underdog TY. Four of their last five games went under. 

Sun Belt, Boone, NC
Appalachian State beat Louisiana 30-19 in this game LY; ASU also won 17-7 in Lafayette Oct 9, holding ULL to 254 TY- they’re 7-0 against the Ragin’ Cajuns (4-3 ATS). App State won its last four games since a 24-21 home loss to Ga Southern on Halloween- they’re 13-18-1 ATS in last 32 games as a home favorite, 2-3 TY. Six of their last eight games went under. Louisiana won its last six games since the loss to App State, which was only time in their last 11 games where they ran ball for less than 225 yards; under Napier, ULL is 5-1-1 ATS as a road underdog, 1-0 TY. Six of their last seven games went under the total. 

Big 12, Arlington, TX
Oklahoma (-10.5) rallied from a 31-10 halftime deficit to beat Baylor 34-31 in Waco three weeks ago, their 20th win in last 23 series games. Oklahoma outgained Bears 525-307 that nite.  Sooners are in Big X title game for 6th time in last seven years- they’re 8-0 in this game; they won their last four games since a loss at K-State- only one of those wins was by more than four points. Sooners’ last three games went under. Baylor is 11-1, with loss to Sooners the only blemish; half of their eight Big X wins were by 6 or fewer points. Bears covered six of their last eight games as an underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. This is Baylor’s first appearance in the Big X title game. 

Conference USA, Boca Raton
Florida Atlantic won four of its six games with UAB; last meeting was five years ago. UAB won its last three games overall, allowing 15 ppg; they won their last three games, allowing 15 ppg. Under Clark, UAB is 8-6 ATS as a road underdog, 0-2 TY. Four of their last five games stayed under. FAU won nine of last ten games after opening year with losses to Ohio/UCF; Owls scored 37.4 ppg in winning last five games. Under Kiffin, FAU is 10-6-1 ATS as a home favorite, 3-1 TY. These teams won last two C-USA titles; UAB won it LY, FAU the year before. 


Armadillo’s tips

2019 bankroll: plus 25 altuves
Pending future bets:
– Miami Dolphins, under 4.5 wins (+$110)