College Football

football

Every game analyzed, all season long, right thru BCS title game Selections are posted in box below game analysis

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2020 college football knowledge

Week 3 games
Thursday’s game
UAB @ Southern Mississippi
— UAB (+15.5) lost 31-14 at Miami in its last game, two weeks ago- they opened with a 45-35 win over a I-AA team.
— Blazers have 9 starters back on both sides of ball.
— UAB has 61nreturning starts on the offensive line.
— Blazers have a QB with 14 career starts.
— UAB is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games as a road favorite.

— South Alabama covered its first two games, both as an underdog; they upset Southern Miss in their opener, then lost 27-24 (+11.5) at Tulane two weeks ago.
— USA has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Jaguars have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
— South Alabama’s QB is a soph with 4 returning starts (Ozzie Newsome’s grandson)
— USA covered four of last five tries as a home underdog.

— Blazers (-10) hammered Southern Miss 35-3 last year; yardage was 514-190.

Friday’s game
Middle Tennessee State @ Tex-San Antonio
— Blue Raiders lost their first two games, 42-0 at Army, 41-14 at home to Troy- they looked terrible.
— MTSU has 9 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Blue Raiders have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
— MTSU’s junior quarterback has 14 career starts.
— Middle Tennessee is 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games as a road underdog.

— Tex-San Antonio beat Texas State in OT in its opener, then got past a I-AA team 24-10 LW- they outrushed SF Austin 229-59, converted 13-19 3rd down plays.
— Roadrunners have 8 starters back on offense, 5 back on defense.
— UTSA has 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tex-San Antonio’s junior QB has 6 career starts.
— Roadrunners are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.

— Teams split their last two meetings, in 2015-16; road team won both games.

Saturday’s games
Florida State
@ Miami
— Florida State’s coach has COVID, won’t be at this game.
— Seminoles (-13) lost its opener 16-13 at home to Georgia Tech.
— FSU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Florida State has 57 returning starts on its offensive line.
— Seminoles have junior QB with 23 returning starts.
— Since 2015, FSU is 6-5 ATS as a road underdog; they’re 18-20 SU in their less 38 games.

— Hurricanes won their first two games, beating UAB 31-14 (-15.5), Louisville 47-34 (-2).
— Miami has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Miami is 16-13 SU in their last 29 games.
— Hurricanes are 9-10 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Miami has 114 returning starts on its offensive line.
— Hurricanes have senior grad transfer QB King, who started 19 games at Houston.

— Miami won last three series games, by 4-1-17 points; teams split last four meetings played here, both decided by one point.
— Four of last five series games were decided by 5 or fewer points.

Georgia Tech @ Syracuse
— Georgia Tech upset Florida State in its opener, then lost 49-21 at home to UCF last week.
— Tech has 9 starters back on offense, 10 back on defense.
— Yellow Jackets have 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech’s freshman QB now has two career starts.
— Since 2015, GT  covered twice in ten tries as a road favorite.

— Syracuse lost 31-6 (+23) at North Carolina, 21-10 (+21) at home to Pitt.
— Syracuse has 7 starters back on offense, 4 back on defense.
— Orangemen have 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Syracuse has a junior QB with 13 career starts.
— Under Babers, Orangemen are  5-7 ATS as a home underdog.

— These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

Louisville @ Pittsburgh
— Cardinals (-13) beat Western Kentucky 35-21, then lost 47-34 at home to Miami (+2).
— Louisville has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cardinals have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Louisville has a junior QB with 14 starts.
— Since 2018, Louisville is 1-7 ATS as a road underdog.

— Pitt hammered a I-AA team 55-0, then beat Syracuse 21-10 (-21) last week.
— Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Panthers have a senior QB with 30 career starts.
— Since 2014, Pitt is 10-18-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— Pitt (-1) won 45-34 in its last meeting with Louisville, back in 2015.

Tennessee @ South Carolina
— Season opener for the Vols.
— Tennessee has 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Vols have 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tennessee has a senior QB with 25 starts.
— Vols are a road favorite for first time since 2016; they’re 0-3 ATS in last three games when favored on the road.

— Season opener for the Gamecocks.
— Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Gamecocks have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Carolina has a senior grad transfer QB with 11 career starts, who played for OC Bobo at Colorado State- the kid has torn his ACL three times.
— Under Muschamp, Gamecocks are 5-6 ATS as a home underdog.

— Underdogs covered last five series games.
— Home side won four of last five series games; Vols lost last two visits to Columbia, by three points each.

Kansas @ Baylor
— Jayhawks (-6) lost their opener, 38-23 at home to Coastal Carolina.
— Kansas has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Jayhawks have 54 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Kansas has a new QB this season.
— Last two years, Jayhawks were 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.

— This is Baylor’s season opener.
— Bears have 7 starters back on offense, only 2 starters back on defense.
— Baylor has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bears have a new coach and a senior QB who started 30 games.
— Since 2015, Baylor is 7-15 ATS as a home favorite.

— Baylor won last five series games by a combined 240-36 (average 48-7)

West Virginia @ Oklahoma State
— West Virginia hammered a I-AA team 56-10 in its opener two weeks ago.
— Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— WVU has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
— West Virginia’s QB has 19 starts; he played two years at Bowling Green.
— Last four years, Mountaineers are 7-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— Oklahoma State (-24) beat Tulsa 16-7 in its season opener; total yardage was 279-278, and Tulsa led 7-3 in 4th quarter.
— OSU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Cowboys have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— OSU has a soph QB who started 11 games
— Cowboys covered seven of last 11 games as a home favorite.

— Oklahoma State won last five series games, winning 45-41/37-20 in last two meetings played in Stillwater.

Florida @ Ole Miss
— This is Florida’s season opener.
— Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Florida has 89 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Gators’ senior QB has started 10 games.
— Under Mullen, Florida is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— This is season opener for Ole Miss, first game for new coach Kiffin.
— Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Ole Miss has 48 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Rebels have a soph QB with 8 career starts.
— Since 2017, Ole Miss is 1-6 ATS as a home underdog.

— Gators (+6) won last series game 38-10, back in 2015.

Iowa State @ TCU
— Iowa State (-13) lost its opener 31-14 at home to Louisiana.
— Iowa State has 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 33 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Cyclones have a junior QB with 22 career starts.
— Under Campbell, ISU is 5-3 ATS as a road favorite.

— This is the Horned Frogs’ season opener.
— TCU has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Frogs have 56 starts returning on the offensive line.
— TCU’s soph QB has 10 career starts.
— Since 2016, Horned Frogs are 6-18-1 ATS at home, 2-3 as a home dog.

— Home side won last four series games; Iowa State lost 17-14/41-20 in its last two visits here, but they covered both games.

Iowa State @ TCU
— Iowa State (-13) lost its opener 31-14 at home to Louisiana.
— Iowa State has 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 33 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Cyclones have a junior QB with 22 career starts.
— Under Campbell, ISU is 5-3 ATS as a road favorite.

— This is the Horned Frogs’ season opener.
— TCU has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Frogs have 56 starts returning on the offensive line.
— TCU’s soph QB has 10 career starts.
— Since 2016, Horned Frogs are 6-18-1 ATS at home, 2-3 as a home dog.

— Home side won last four series games; Iowa State lost 17-14/41-20 in its last two visits here, but they covered both games.

Kentucky @ Auburn
— This is Kentucky’s season opener.
— Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Kentucky has 84 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Wildcats’ junior QB has 15 career starts,
— Since 2016, Kentucky is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog.

— This is Auburn’s season opener.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 34 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ soph QB has 13 career starts,
— Since 2015, Auburn is 10-17-1 ATS as a home favorite (4-1 LY).

— Auburn (-1) won 30-27 at Kentucky in last series game, in 2015.

Army @ Cincinnati
— Army romped in its first two games, 42-0 over Middle Tennessee, 37-7 over UL-Monroe.
— Army has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cadets have 55 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Army has a junior QB with 9 career starts.
— Cadets lost in OT at Michigan LY; they won SU at Oklahoma in 2018. Last two years, Army is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.

— Cincinnati beat up on a I-AA team 55-20 in its opener.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincy has 55 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Bearcats have a junior QB with 52 career starts.
— Cincinnati is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 games as a home favorite.

— These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

Duke @ Virginia
— Duke lost its first two games, 27-13 (+21) at Notre Dame, 26-6 (-4) at home to Boston College.
— Duke has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Blue Devils have 102 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Duke has a new QB; he was Clemson’s backup for two years.
— Blue Devils are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— This is Virginia’s season opener.
— Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Virginia has 119 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Cavaliers’ have a new QB this season.
— Last four years, Virginia is 8-8 ATS as a home favorite.

— Virginia won last five series games, covering all five games.
— Duke lost 28-14/34-20 in its last two visits to Charlottesville.

NC State @ Virginia Tech
— NC State beat Wake Forest 45-42 in its opener, running ball for 270 yards.
— Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— State has 62 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Wolfpack’s soph QB has five career starts.
— NC State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games as a road underdog.

— This is Virginia Tech’s season opener.
— Hokies have 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hokies’ junior QB has 8 career starts.
— Under Fuente, Virginia Tech is 10-9 ATS as a home favorite.

— Va Tech (-2) won 28-13 in last series games, five years ago. 

 

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