Thursday’s Den: NFL trends, with training camp around the corner

— Las Vegas
Raiders were 6-11 last year, 4-9 in games decided by 8 or less points.
Last three years, over is 17-7-1 in Raider home games.
Las Vegas is 8-15 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite.

— LA Chargers
Chargers are #1 in NFL in salary spent on defensive players.
12 of their 17 games LY (7-5) were decided by 8 or less points.
Chargers ran 41 plays inside opponents’ 5-yard line; 21 of them were passes.

— Rams
Rams lost four games last year that they led at halftime.
Rams were outscored 176-111 in second half, 107-63 in 4th quarter.
Four different quarterbacks started a game LY; the subs were 2-6.

— Miami
Last three years, Dolphins are 18-7 ATS at home, 10-4 when favored.
Last three years, Dolphins are 16-10 ATS as an underdog.
Miami played 11 games LY (6-5) decided by 8 or less points. 

— Minnesota
Vikings were 11-0 last year in games decided by 8 or less points.
Minnesota outscored opponents 150-81 in fourth quarter.
Last three years, over is 18-7 in Minnesota home games. 

— New England
Since Brady left Foxboro, Patriots are 25-25 SU in regular season.
Last three years, New England is 8-14 ATS as an underdog.
Last year, Patriots were outscored 162-138 in 4th quarter. 

— New Orleans
Saints were minus-11 in turnovers LY, with only 14 takeaways.
New Orleans is 6-10 ATS in its last 16 sixteen home games.
Last two years, under is 21-13 in Saints games. 

— Giants
Giants were 9-7-1 LY; they were favored in only five games.
Big Blue were 8-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Giants ran 31 plays inside opponents’ 5-yard line; 28 of them were runs. 

— Jets
Last three years, Jets are 7-18 SU at home.
Jets scored only 41 first quarter points last year (60-41)
Gang Green was minus-7 in turnovers LY (23-16)

— Philadelphia
Last two years, Eagles are 12-5 ATS at home.
QB Hurts ran ball 44 times in red zone last year, 20 times inside 5-yard line.
Eagles lost both of last year’s coordinators to head coaching jobs.

— Pittsburgh
Last three years, Steelers are 14-9 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, under is 11-5-1 in games at Heinz Field.
LY, Harris ran ball 42 times in red zone; next highest was 13.

— San Francisco
49ers were 13-4 LY; only four of their games were decided by 8 or less points.
Niners were 10-5 ATS as a favorite LY (9-13 ATS in 2020-21)
49ers were +13 (30-17) in turnovers last year.

— Seattle
Underdogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games.
Seahawks were 4-6 LY in games decided by 8 or less points, 3-0 in games decided by 3 or less.
Since 2016, Seattle has drafted nine running backs, most in the NFL.

— Tampa Bay
LY, Bucs won four games they trailed at half, lost three games they led at half.
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 5-10 ATS as a road favorite.
With Brady gone, Bucs are #32 in NFL in salaries spent on QB’s,

— Tennessee
Last two years, Titans were 11-5 ATS as an underdog.
Tennessee was outscored 184-94 in second half last year.
Henry ran ball 40 times in red zone LY; next highest was 7 rushes.

— Washington
Last three years, Commanders are 9-6 ATS as a favorite.
Last three years, Commanders are 10-15 SU at home.
Washington was 5-3 LY in games decided by 8 or less points. 

Author: Armadillo Sports

I've been involved in sports my whole life, now just write about them. I like to travel, mostly to Las Vegas- they have gambling there.