Looking at how teams do in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on:
Successful teams
— Toronto 26-14— 14-9 on road, 12-5 at home. Blue Jays fired their manager, have an interim skipper now- they’re 29-17 in one-run games.
— Cleveland 27-15— 16-8 on road, 11-7 at home; Terry Francona is an excellent manager.
— St Louis 22-12— 11-3 on road, 11-9 at home. Cardinals are 21-14 in one-run games.
— Dodgers 20-12— LA is 12-13 in 0ne-run games, 85-30 in games decided by more than one run. If you bet the Dodgers, lay 1.5 runs.
— Baltimore 20-13— 5-9 on road, 15-4 at home. Brandon Hyde is your Manager of the Year.
— White Sox 25-18— 9-9 on road, 16-9 at home; they’re 23-15 in one-run games.
— Milwaukee 23-17— 14-12 on road, 9-5 at home. Lot more drama in their road games.
— Seattle 24-18— Mariners were 33-19 in one-run games last year, are 29-17 this year; Scott Servais is going to have Seattle in the playoffs for the first time since 2001.
Team in the middle:
— Bronx 23-23— 7-14 on road, 16-9 at home.
Unsuccessful teams
— Angels 11-23— 5-10 on road, 6-13 at home; they’re 14-25 in one-run games. Firing Joe Maddon didn’t help their situation any.
— Minnesota 12-24— 4-13 on road, 8-11 at home; they’re 2-8 in last 10 games overall.
— San Francisco 13-23— 7-16 on road, 6-7 at home. 19-26 in one-run games. Overall, they’re 68-73, after going 107-55 last year.
— Oakland 14-23— 8-9 on road, 6-14 at home. I think Mark Kotsay has done a good job, managing a team which has, in reality, a glorified AAA roster.
— Boston 15-23— 8-13 on road, 7-10 at home; they’re 22-23 in one-run games, but overall are 69-72, after going 92-70 last year.
— Cubs 19-27— 9-13 on road, 10-14 at home; Chicago is a big market. Why do the Cubs have such a cruddy team? 71-91 last year, 59-82 this year. Hmmmmm