13) Oregon has their entire offensive line back from last year (153 starts), but last three years, they’re 3-11 vs spread as an underdog, 6-13-1 ATS outside Pac-12. Ducks also have a senior QB (28 starts)- they open with an Auburn squad that has five seniors starting on OL (104 starts), but Tigers have a new QB- they’re 8-16-1 vs spread in last 25 non-SEC games.
12) Virginia Tech won three of last four games with Boston College, winning 23-10/26-10 in last two visits here- road team won four of last five series games. Since 2012, Hokies are 6-16 ATS as a road favorite.
11) Georgia won four of last five games with Vanderbilt, winning 45-14/31-14 in last two visits to Nashville. Under Kirby Smart, Dawgs are 7-4 ATS as a road favorite; last two years, Vanderbilt is 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.
10) Last two years, Kentucky is 0-9 vs spread as a home favorite.
9) Since 2014, Northwestern covered 14 of 17 games as a road underdog.
8) Last two years, Fresno State is 22-6 SU, 5-0 vs spread as a road underdog, 8-2 vs spread outside Mountain West. Bulldogs have a new QB this year and an inexperienced offensive line, o they figure to take a step back despite having an excellent coach in Tedford.
USC has a soph QB (11 starts), three soph starters on OL; they crushed Fresno State 52-13 (-20) in last five meeting five years ago. Last two years, Trojans are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite; they start Pac-12 play (Stanford) next week.
7) Pittsburgh won its last four games with Virginia, winning 31-14/26-19 in last two meetings here. Under Narduzzi, Panthers are 17-11 ATS as an underdog- last three years, they’re 5-3 as a home dog. Since 2010, Virginia is 2-3 as a road favorite.
6) Since 2014, UCLA is 4-13-1 vs spread outside the Pac-12; they’ve got 19 starters back, are 6-8 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog. Last six years, Cincinnati is 10-18 ATS outside AAC; under Fickell, Bearcats are 4-5 as a home favorite.
5) Utah won its last three games with rival BYU, by 1-6-8 points; Utes have senior QB (19 starts) but their OL has total of only 49 starts. BYU is 13-15 SU last two years; under Sitake, Cougars are 0-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
4) Since 2012, Tennessee is 11-23 vs spread as a home favorite.
3) Colorado won its last four games with Colorado State by average score of 33-12 (3-0-1 ATS); Buffs have a new coach and a senior QB (27 starts). CSU has a very young OL (26 starts); last three years, Rams are 10-4 vs spread when getting points.
2) North Carolina has a new QB, a new/old coach (Mack Brown) and a thin OL (48 starts); they lost last meeting with South Carolina 17-13 (+2) in 2015. Gamecocks covered six of last seven games on neutral fields; since 2012, SC is 2-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
1) Houston is 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine games as a road dog; they upset Oklahoma 33-23 (+12) in last meeting three years ago, but Holgorsen was 0-7 vs Sooners when he coached WVU. Oklahoma beat West Virginia 59-56 (-3) in LY’s meeting; Sooners scored 52.8 ppg in winning last five games against Holgorsen’s defense.