Sunday’s Den: NFL trends……..

— Arizona Cardinals
Last three years, Arizona is 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Cardinals are 8-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Arizona wasn’t favored in any games LY; they went 7-10 SU.

— Atlanta Falcons
Falcons have a new coach (Raheem Morris), new QB (Kirk Cousins) this year.
Last four years, Atlanta is 5-13 ATS as a home favorite.
Under is 16-9 in their last 25 home games.

— Baltimore Ravens
Ravens are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog.
Baltimore is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 road games.
Lamar Jackson is 58-19 in regular season, 2-4 in playoffs (1-3 at home).

— Buffalo Bills
Bobby Babich is the Bills’ new DC: he’s been with Buffalo since 2017.
Last two years, under is 21-12 in Buffalo games.
Bills were 9-0 LY in games decided by 6+ points, 6-4 in games decided by 5 or less points.

— Carolina Panthers
Since 2021, Carolina is 2-9 ATS as a favorite (0-0 as favorite LY)
Panthers are 8-14 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.
Carolina was 2-15 last year, 2-6 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

— Chicago Bears
Chicago is 14-25 ATS in its last 39 games as an underdog.
Bears were 7-10 SU last year, 2-6 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bears haven’t had a winning season since 2018, when they were 12-4 under Matt Nagy.

— Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 home games.
Bengals had a +10 turnover ratio LY, but were 9-8; Joe Burrow started only 10 games (5-5)

— Cleveland Browns
Browns were 11-6 LY, 6-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
Browns started five different QB’s last year (Watson was 5-1 as starter)
Over was 8-0 in Cleveland’s road games last year.

Famous birthdays, July 28th:
Bill Bradley, 81
Vida Blue, 75
Doug Collins, 73

Clint Longley, 72
Carmelo Martinez, 64
Elizabeth Berkley, 52

Manu Ginóbili, 47
DeMeco Ryans, 40
Walker Buehler, 30 

— Dallas Cowboys
Last three years, Dallas is 36-15 in regular season, 1-3 in playoffs.
Mike Zimmer is Cowboys’ new defensive coordinator, which should help.
Dallas is #3 in NFL in salaries spent on offense, #28 on defense. 

— Denver Broncos
Denver won Super Bowl in 2015 season; since then, they’re 52-79 (0-0 in playoffs).
Broncos are #5 in NFL on $$$ spent on offense, #27 on defense.
:last two years, Denver is 4-12 ATS as a favorite.

— Detroit Lions
Lions’ coach Campbell is 22-9-1 ATS as an underdog. 
Over is 12-5 in Detroit’s last 17 home games. 
Jared Goff is 70-54-1 as an NFL starter, 4-4 in playoff games.

— Green Bay Packers
Green Bay was 9-8 last year, but they started season 2-5.
Packers played lot of close games; they were 6-5 in one-score games.
Last two years, Green Bay is 6-10 ATS as a favorite, 11-7 as an underdog.

— Houston Texans
Texans went 10-7 last year, after going 11-38-1 the previous three years.
Houston was 7-3 LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last two years, Texans are 9-4 ATS as a road underdog.

— Indianapolis Colts
Colts were 7-0 LY if they won the turnover battle, 2-8 when they didn’t.
Rookie QB Richardson only started four games (2-2); they let Gardner Minshew walk.
Joe Flacco (4-1 as starter with Browns LY) is the Colts’ new backup QB.

— Jacksonville Jaguars
Doug Pederson is 65-56-1 as an NFL head coach, with a Super Bowl win.
Last 2 years, Jaguars were 9-8/9-8, their first consecutive winning years since 2004-05.
Jaguars are 6-11 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.. 

— Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City was 11-6 last year, despite a minus-11 turnover ratio.
Under is 13-3 in their last sixteen home games.
Chiefs are #4 in NFL in salaries spent on offense, #31 on defense.

Author: Armadillo Sports

I've been involved in sports my whole life, now just write about them. I like to travel, mostly to Las Vegas- they have gambling there.