Air Force- Falcons went 5-7 last two years, unusual for them; last three years, they’re 6-17-1 vs spread in Mountain West games- last four years,AF is 10-3-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Flyboys have covered 11 of last 13 non-conference games.
Boise State-Broncos won 10+ games eight of last ten years, are +24 in turnovers the last two years. Boise’s bowl game in Dallas LY was stopped late in 1st quarter LY because of bad weather and was never resumed. Broncos are 5-14 vs spread in last 19 games as a home favorite.
Colorado State- Rams slumped to 3-9 LY after five straight winning years; last two years, State is 1-7 vs spread as a home favorite. Rams lost last four bowl games, allowing average of 41.3 ppg; they lost last four games with rival Colorado (0-3-1 vs spread).
Fresno State- Redford is 22-6 in two years at Fresno; why did Cal ever fire this guy? They’re 12-5-2 vs spread as favorites under Tedford, 6-0 as an underdog, winning bowls 33-27/31-20- they’re +20 in turnovers last two years.
Hawai’i- Rainbows played in the Sugar Bowl 12 years ago, losing 41-10 to Georgia; since then, all four of their bowls have been at home, with average total of 74.8. Under Rolovich, Hawai’i is 3-9 vs spread as a home favorite, 0-3 as a road favorite.
Nevada- New QB, four new starters on OL for Wolf Pack this year, who are 8-4 vs spread at home in two years under Norvell; five of their top six rushers, nine of top 10 receivers are back. Last three years, Nevada is 4-9 vs spread in non-league games.
UNLV- Five straight losing years for Rebels, who move into the Raiders’ new dome next year; they’ve played in one bowl since 2000. Last three years, UNLV is 4-9 vs spread when laying points at home. Rebels’ last bowl win outside of Las Vegas was 1984 (30-13 vs Toledo).
New Mexico- Bob Davie is in his 8th year with Lobos; they went 3-9 last two years. Last time UNM played in a bowl other than on their home field was a 34-19 loss to Navy in ’04 Emerald Bowl. New Mexico has only two starters back on defense this year.
San Diego State- Nine straight winning years for Aztecs, who slumped to 7-6 LY; – they were 0-8 vs spread as a favorite, and were blanked by Ohio U in their bowl (27-0). Aztecs have top six rushers back from LY and three starters back on OL.
San Jose State- Spartans are 3-22 in two years under Brennan; they were +1 in turnovers LY, after going -26 in 2017. Last five years, State is 9-19 as a road underdog, but were 4-2 LY. SJS won last four bowls, but last one was in 2015.
Utah State- Aggies went 11-2 LY, after three straight losing seasons; their coach moved on, so the new coach is Gary Andersen, who went 26-24 as Aggies’ coach from 2009-12. USU has only two starters back on offense. Since ’16, Aggies are 10-2-1 as home favorites.
Wyoming- After going +24 in turnovers in ’17 with a 8-5 record, Cowboys were 6-6 LY with a +4 TO ratio. Last three years, Cowboys are 6-2 as home favorites, 8-4 as home dogs- last four years, they’re 19-13 vs spread as an underdog.