Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Browns 39, Colts 38
Browns drove 80 yards, scored winning TD with 0:15 left.
Cleveland outscored the Colts 16-0 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Watson left game in first quarter (concussion), didn’t return.
since 2013, Cleveland is 4-12 ATS as a road favorite (0-2 TY).

Colts outgained Cleveland, 456-316, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Colts gave up 31-29-37-38 points in losses; 20-19-16 in wins.
Over is 5-2 in Indy’s games this season.
Last four weeks, Colts were outscored 74-37 in first half.

Patriots 29, Bills 25
Bills in first half: 30 plays, 113 yards, 3 points.
Bills in second half: 38 plays, 232 yards, 22 points.
Last three games, Buffalo scored one first half TD on 15 drives. 
Bills allowed 10-3-20-9 points in wins, 22-25-29 in losses. 

Patriots drove 69 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:12 left.
Mac Jones was 25-30/272 passing, with two TD’s.
Only nine of New England’s 55 plays came on third down.
Just 2nd win for Patriots in last nine games with Buffalo.

Falcons 16, Buccaneers 13
Atlanta kicked a 51-yard FG at the gun for the road win.
They won, despite QB Ridder losing three fumbles, all in red zone.
Falcons are 4-3, but haven’t led (0-5-2) at halftime yet.
Under is 13-2 in their last 15 games overall, 6-1 TY.

Down 13-10 in last 1:00, Bucs had ball on Atlanta 8-yard line, but could only kick FG.
Bucs have 13 takeaways in six games (+7 turnovers)
Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as home favorites.
Tampa Bay scored 20-27-26 points in wins, 11-6-13 in losses.

Bears 30, Raiders 12
Rookie QB Bagent won his first NFL start (21-29/162 passing, one TD)
Chicago was 8-13 on 3rd down, Raiders 2-9.
Last four games, Bears outscored opponents 68-25 in first half.
Six of their seven games went over the total.

Bears outgained Raiders 323-235, were +3 in turnovers.
Raiders ran the ball 14 times for only 39 yards.
Last 2+ years, Las Vegas is 0-7 ATS as a road favorite.
AFC West teams are 7-12 ATS outside the division.

Ravens 38, Lions 6
Ravens’ first four drives: 32 plays, 315 yards, 28 points.
Baltimore averaged 12.8 yards/pass attempt.
Only eight of Ravens’ 55 plays were on third down.
Baltimore is 15-2 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or less.

Detroit in first half: 25 plays, 65 yards, 4 punts, no points.
Lions were 5-16 on third down, Baltimore 4-8.
Ravens outgained Detroit, 503-337.
NFC North teams are 7-12-1 ATS outside the division.

Giants 14, Commanders 7
Washington went 3/out on eight of 14 drives.
Commanders were 1-15 on third down, Giants 5-16.
Last five weeks, Commanders were outscored 77-37 in 1st half.
Commanders’ TD drives last two weeks: 11-47-24-21 yards. 

Giants scored 9-14 points in Taylor’s first two starts.
Giants are 6-2-1 SU in last nine series games.
Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
Last five games, Giants have three TD’s, 17 3/outs on 51 drives.

Seahawks 20, Cardinals 10
Arizona averaged only 3.2 yard/pass attempt.
Arizona is 0-4 SU/ATS last four games, losing by 19-14-17-10 points.
Cardinals lost 17 of last 20 games SU (7-10 ATS in last 17).
Cardinals have been outscored 104-30 in 2nd half of games. 

Seattle was 7-13 on third down, Arizona 5-15.
Seahawks won/covered four of last five games. 
Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20 points in wins, 13-13 in losses.
Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Steelers 24, Rams 17
Steelers in first half: 25 plays, 66 yards, 3 points.
Steelers in second half: 31 plays, 189 yards, 21 points.
Pitt is 29-15-1 ATS in last 45 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
Steelers scored 26-23-17-24 points in wins, 7-6 in losses.

Stafford was 8-12/154 throwing to Pacua, 6-17/77 to everyone else.
LA scored 30-29-26 points in its wins, 23-16-14-17 in losses.
Rams were 9-16 on third down, Steelers 4-12.
Rams are 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.

Chiefs 31, Chargers 17
Chargers’ first four drives: 26 plays, 200 yards, 17 points.
Chargers rest of game: 35 plays, 143 yards, 2 INT’s, no points.
Opponents are 5-25 on 3rd down in LA wins, 21-46 in losses (6-11 this game).
Bolts are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 AFC West road games.

Mahomes was 32-43/424 passing, with four TD’s.
Chiefs won last six games, by 8-31-3-7-11-14 points (5-1 ATS).
Chiefs converted 36 of last 65 third down plays.
Kansas City won 16 of last 19 series games SU.

Broncos 19, Packers 17
Green Bay in first half: 26 plays, 100 yards, no points.
Green Bay in second half: 37 plays, 236 yards, 17 points.
Last four weeks, Packers were outscored 63-6 in first half.
Packers are 6-9-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.

Lutz kicked 52-yard FG with 3:54 left for game-winning points.
Denver ran ball 25 times for 145 yards (5.8 yards/carry). 
Broncos are 2-5, but led four of seven games at halftime.
Denver has been outscored 116-72 in 2nd half of games.

Eagles 31, Dolphins 17
Game was tied 17-17 late in 3rd quarter, after Miami got pick-6.
Eagles’ next two drives: 21 plays, 158 yards, 14 points.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-4-1 ATS as home favorites
Hurts was 23-31/279 passing, with two TD’s.

Miami’s five wins are vs teams with combined record of 8-25
Eagles outgained Miami, 355-244.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 3-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Last four games, Miami is minus-5 in turnovers (2-7).

Rangers 9, Astros 2
Eovaldi got 19 outs, allowed two runs.
Garcia broke game open with 9th inning grand slam.
Garver and Heim also homered for Texas.
Road team has won all six series games; Game 7 is tonight. 

Author: Armadillo Sports

I've been involved in sports my whole life, now just write about them. I like to travel, mostly to Las Vegas- they have gambling there.