Friday’s Den: NFC trends to ponder……..

Arizona
Last nine years, Cardinals are 7-19-1 ATS in NFC West home games.

Last eight years, Arizona is 5-13 as a favorite of 3 or fewer points.

Arizona opens in Buffalo; Cardinals are 3-2 SU/5-0 ATS in last five road openers.

Cardinals have Week 7 Monday night home game, then Week 8 they’ve got a cross-country trip to play the Dolphins in Miami.

Arizona’s two games with Seattle are in Weeks 12/14.

Atlanta
Kirk Cousins visits his old team, the Vikings, in Week 14 (December 8).

Last four years, Falcons are 4-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Last nine years, Atlanta is 27-42-1 ATS coming off a loss. 

Falcons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road openers, 5-2 ATS in last seven home openers.

Four of their first five games are at home (3 in row at home, weeks 3-5)

Carolina
Rookie coach Caneles faces Tampa Bay, his old team, in Weeks 13/17.

Since 2016, Panthers are 1-8 ATS as a home favorite vs NFC South rivals.

Last three years, under is 16-8 in Carolina home games. 

Panthers lost four of last five home openers SU (1-3-1 ATS)

Carolina visits Denver in Week 8; Panthers’ DC Ejiro Evero was Denver’s DC two years ago.

Chicago
Bears open their season at home vs Tennessee; since 2003, QB’s drafted first in a draft are 0-14-1 SU/1-14 ATS in their first start.

Since 2018, Chicago is 1-7 ATS as a home underdog vs NFC North rivals.

Since 2015, Bears are 0-8 ATS as a double digit underdog. 

Weeks 13-15, Chicago has three straight road games (Lions-49ers-Vikings)

Last 20 years, under is 15-5 in Bears’ road openers. Last seven years, under is 6-1 in Chicago’s home openers.  

Dallas
Last three years, Cowboys are +32 in turnovers (+14/+10/+8).

Last three years, Dallas is 11-4 ATS as a road favorite.

Three of their first four road games (Giants-Steelers-49ers) are night games.

Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.

Washington coach Dan Quinn was Dallas’ DC the last three years; Cowboy-Commander games are in Weeks 12/18.

Detroit
Detroit doesn’t play a game outdoors until Week 9 at Green Bay.

Under Campbell, Lions are 14-6 ATS as a favorite, 9-4 at home.

Last five years, over is 28-12-1 in Detroit home games. 

Over is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.

Lions lost NFC title game 34-31 to San Francisco LY, blowing a 24-7 third quarter lead; they visit the 49ers on Monday night in Week 17.  

Green Bay
Packers open season against the Eagles in Brazil; Green Bay hasn’t started a season at Lambeau since 2018, but they’ve also won their last 11 home openers (8-3 ATS)

Last three years, Green Bay is 2-9-1 ATS as a road favorite.

Last five years, Packers are 10-3-1 ATS as a home favorite vs NFC North opponents. 

Over is 8-3 in their last 11 road openers.

Play consecutive Thursday games in Weeks 13-14: they host Miami on Thanksgiving night, then visit Detroit the next Thursday.

Famous birthdays, August 16th:
Julie Newmar, 91
Lesley Ann Warren, 78
James Donaldson, 67

Angela Bassett, 66
Madonna Louise Ciccone, 66 (Madonna)
Timothy Hutton, 64

Steve Carell, 62
Yu Darvish, 38
Tyler Stephenson, 28

LA Rams
Last three years, Rams are 7-2 ATS in NFC West road games.

Since 2018, over is 32-17 in Rams’ home games.

Rams lost in playoffs at Detroit LY; they open this year on Sunday night, also at Detroit, which will revive the Stafford-Goff trade drama.

Rams are in Chicago in Week 4; their next road game isn’t until Week 9, at Seattle.

Under Sean McVay, Rams are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.

Minnesota
In 2022, Vikings were 11-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points (+2 in turnovers)

Last year, Vikings were 6-8 in games decided by 8 or fewer points (-12 in turnovers)

Weeks 10-12, Vikings have 3 straight road games (Jaguars-Titans-Bears)

Under is 9-1 in Minnesota’s last ten home openers.

Vikings are 0-6-1 SU/0-7 ATS in their last seven road openers.  

NJ Giants
Last 12 years, Giants are 1-11 ATS in their home opener.

Giants were 6-11 last year, despite a +12 turnover ratio.

Last six years, Giants are 13-5 ATS in NFC East road games. 

Both their games with Dallas are on Thursdays, including a Thanksgiving game.

Eagles’ new RB Saquon Barkley plays against his old team in Weeks 7/18.

New Orleans
Saints missed playoffs the last three years (9-8/7-10/9-8).

Last ten years, New Orleans is 26-12-2 ATS as a road underdog.

Visit Giants/Packers in December, two cold-weather games for a dome team.

Last nine years, Saints are 3-6 SU/1-8 ATS in home openers.

Dennis Allen/Derek Carr’s old team (Raiders) visit New Orleans in Week 17.

Philadelphia
Open season against the Packers in Brazil; in Week 3, they go to Tampa, Week 4, they go to New Orleans, then they have an early bye in Week 5.

Eagles started last year 10-1, then lost six of their last seven games.

Last four years, Philly is 7-13-1 ATS as a road favorite. 

Last 15 years, Eagles are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home openers. 

New OC Kellen Moore got run out of Dallas couple years ago; Eagles’ games with the Cowboys are in Weeks 10/17.

San Francisco
Over last 21 years, teams that lost Super Bowl are 5-16 ATS in Week 1 the next year; 49ers host the Jets in Week 1.

Last two years, San Francisco was +14/+12 in turnovers.

Last ten years, underdogs are 20-9-1 ATS in 49ers’ NFC West home games. 

Under is 8-2 in their last ten home openers.

Weeks 12-13, they visit Packers/Bills, two cold weather games; the game in Buffalo is at night.

Seattle
Last seven years, Seattle is 1-4 in playoff games, which is why they fired Pete Carroll.

Last ten years, underdogs are 21-7-1 ATS in their NFC West road games.

Seahawks won four of their last five road openers.

Week 17 Thursday night road game is long travel/short week, plus a cold weather game.

Their two games with the Cardinals are in Weeks 12/14.

Tampa Bay
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 4-10-2 ATS coming off a loss.

Five of their eight road games this season are in domes.

Buccaneers made playoffs the last four years (6-3 in playoff games)

Last ten years, Bucs are 20-31-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Last nine years, Tampa Bay is 11-15-1 ATS in NFC South home games. 

Washington
Dan Quinn was 46-44 SU in 5+ years coaching Atlanta, winning NFC in 2016.

Last ten years, Washington is 10-19-1 ATS in NFC East home games.

Commanders play three of first four games on the road.

Washington is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 home openers.

Kliff Kingsbury is the new OC; Washington visits his old team (Arizona) in Week 4.

Author: Armadillo Sports

I've been involved in sports my whole life, now just write about them. I like to travel, mostly to Las Vegas- they have gambling there.