NFL trends
AFC
Ravens
Baltimore won Super Bowl 12 years ago; since then, they’re 3-6 in playoff games.
Last nine years, Ravens are 29-13-2 ATS as an underdog.
Bills
Last four years, Buffalo is 48-18 in regular season, 4-5 in playoffs.
Last three years, under is 15-10 in Buffalo home games.
Bengals
Marvin Lewis was 131-129-3 as Bengals coach, but 0-7 in playoff games.
Zac Taylor is 42-46-1 as Bengals coach, but 5-2 in playoff games.
Browns
Cleveland has three straight road games, Weeks 4-6; in Weeks 13-16, they’ve got three road games in an 18-day span, with a home game against the Chiefs also in there.
Deshaun Watson makes a boatload of $$$, but he’s played in only 12 games (8-4) the last three years. He was 39-31 in four years as QB of the Texans.
Broncos
Denver QB’s since 2017 (their last winning season was 2016):
2017- Trevor Siemian
2018- Case Keenum
2019- Joe Flacco
2020- Drew Lock
2021- Teddy Bridgewater
2022-23- Russell Wilson
Texans
Houston has been in playoffs seven times; they’re 5-2 in first round playoff games.
They’re 0-5 in second round playoff games.
Last two years, Texans are 9-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Colts
Colts have made the playoffs only twice in last nine years (1-2).
Colts’ QB’s since 2018:
2018- Andrew Luck
2019- Jacoby Brissett
2020- Philip Rivers
2021- Carson Wentz
2022- Matt Ryan
2023- Gardner Minshew
2024- Anthony Richardson
Jaguars
Since 2014, over is 32-21-1 in Jaguars’ non-divisional road games.
Jaguars were 10-9/9-8 in Doug Pederson’s first two years; before he got to Jacksonville, they had 11 consecutive losing seasons.
Chiefs
From 1994-2017, Chiefs were 1-10 in playoff games.
Last five years, Kansas City is 14-2 in playoff games.
Raiders
Raiders have had ten head coaches since 2005 (0-2 in playoff games)
By way of comparison, Steelers have had three head coaches since 1969.
Since 2016, Raiders are 5-12-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Chargers
Last ten years, Chargers are 20-35-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Last ten years, Chargers are 19-37-8 ATS, in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Dolphins
Miami has had four straight winning seasons, but went 0-2 in playoffs those years.
Under McDaniel, under is 12-5 in their home games, over is 12-5 on the road.
Patriots
Tom Brady was 249-75 as New England’s quarterback.
In his career, Bill Belichick is 249-75 with Brady at QB, 82-103 without him.
Jets
Last time Jets made playoffs, their QB was Mark Sanchez, the coach was Rex Ryan.
Last ten years, Jets are 13-25-2 ATS as a favorite.
Steelers
OC Arthur Smith faces his old team (Falcons) in Week 1.
QB Russell Wilson faces his old team (Broncos) in Week 2.
Last ten years, Steelers are 38-21-3 ATS as an underdog.
Titans
Since 2017, Tennessee is 14-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Last three years, under is 17-8-1 in Titans’ home games.
