Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— If the NFL playoffs started today, these QB’s would start in the playoffs:
Buffalo— Josh Allen, 1st round pick (#7)
Kansas City— Patrick Mahomes, 1st round pick (#10)
Cincinnati— Joe Burrow, 1st round pick (#1)
Jacksonville— Trevor Lawrence, 1st round pick (#1)
Baltimore— Lamar Jackson, 1st round pick (#32)
LA Chargers— Justin Herbert, 1st round pick (#6)
Miami— Tua Tagovoiloa, 1st round pick (#5)/Teddy Bridgewater, 1st round (#32)

All seven AFC starting QB’s would be first round draft picks.

Philadelphia— Jalen Hurts, 2nd round pick
Minnesota— Kirk Cousins, 4th round pick
San Francisco— Brock Purdy, 7th round pick
Tampa Bay— Tom Brady, 6th round pick
Dallas— Dak Prescott, 4th round pick
NJ Giants— Daniel Jones, 1st round pick (#6)
Washington— Carson Wentz, 1st round pick (#2)

Only 2 of 7 starting QB’s in NFC playoffs would be first round picks. 

— Green Bay Packers have won their last fifteen December games; their next game is being played Sunday, January 1st.

— Tua Tagovoiloa went into concussion protocol Monday; sounds like he’ll be out for this week’s game in New England. Teddy Bridgewater is the backup QB; Skylar Thompson is the #3 QB.

Meanwhile, Miami is 32nd in kickoff coverage, 25th in punt coverage, 31st in kickoff returns and 30th in punt returns. Special teams suck, QB is hurt, team has lost four games in a row.

— Denver Broncos did the inevitable, fired coach Nathaniel Hackett, who seemed overmatched in the #1 chair. Denver is 4-11 despite selling the farm to acquire Russell Wilson:

Denver sent two first round picks to Seattle, plus…….
Two second round picks
A fifth round pick
three players
They’re paying Wilson a guaranteed $165M……..and they’re 4-11.

— In his last seven games, Jacksonville Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,909 yards, with 14 TD passes, only one INT. Hiring Doug Pederson as coach has worked out great for Jacksonville, which is stunningly in first place in AFC South with two weeks to go.

Chargers 20,, Colts 3
— Chargers clinched their first playoff berth since 2018.
— Chargers’ first 3 drives: 9 plays, 18 yards, no first downs.
— Chargers last 7 drives: 58 plays, 278 yards, 20 points.
— Under is 6-2 in Bolts’ last eight games.
— Chargers are 8-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.

— Last three games, Colts were outscored 82-9 in 2nd half/OT.
— Colts were 0-10 on third down, Chargers 8-18
— Last five games, Colts converted 18-89 (26.1%) third down plays.
— Colts are 3-1-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-9 if they score less.
— Colts lost eight of their last nine games SU.

New Mexico State 24, Bowling Green 19
— Last 10 years, NM State was 26-85; they went 7-6 this year.
— Aggies started season 0-4, outscored 147-32.
— This was coach Kill’s first win in six bowl games.
— Underdogs are 7-3 ATS in last ten Quick Lane Bowls.

— So far in bowl games this month, underdogs are 10-7 ATS; under is 10-6-1 in those games.

— A reminder that since 2010, when a QB wins the Heisman Trophy, his team is 12-5 SU in bowl games that year, 10-7 against the spread. Caleb Williams’ USC squad is a 2-point favorite over Tulane in the Cotton Bowl next week.

— Apparently the day the Mets announced they were signing Carlos Correa to the big contract that he hasn’t signed yet, the Mets sold $1M in single game tickets. In one day.

— NBC flexed Rams-Chargers out of this week’s Sunday night slot, and chose Steelers-Ravens for their 8:15 telecast.

— Atlanta Falcons covered their first six games this season; they’re 0-9 ATS in their last nine games, and now they’re starting a rookie QB.

— It was 46 degrees in Miami Christmas afternoon, when the Packers nipped Miami; it was the coldest Dolphins’ home game since 1989.

— One day last week, price of gas went down 40 cents a gallon; that was a pleasant surprise.

— New Mexico Lobos are 12-0, albeit vs schedule #275; Lobos are #22 in this week’s top 25 college basketball poll, first time in nine years New Mexico has been there.

— Former Texas QB Hudson Card is transferring to Purdue; he started five games at Texas, but Arch Manning is coming to Austin, so Card wasn’t going to play there anymore.

— NFL officials are getting soft with roughing-the-passer penalties; someone on the Dolphins gave Aaron Rodgers a two-hand shove after he threw a pass, and they threw a flag. No way this was a penalty; guys who played QB in the 80’s and earlier had to be laughing— they used to get pummeled by pass rushers. Way easier to play QB now, and opposed to the old days.

— Last thing today; it baffles me that Cleveland didn’t want Baker Mayfield as its QB; the guy went 30-31 as QB of the Browns, 1-1 in playoff games. You win a playoff game in Cleveland, you figure they’d build the guy a statue, but they went all in on Deshaun Watson and told Mayfield to take a hike. Go figure.

Watson went 28-25 in Houston, 1-2 in playoff games, but he’s been sued by dozens of women. You really want the face of your franchise to have numerous off-field issues? I would not.

This still needs to play out down the road, but Mayfield is definitely a starter-quality NFL QB; where he surfaces next year will be an interesting topic to follow. 

Author: Armadillo Sports

I've been involved in sports my whole life, now just write about them. I like to travel, mostly to Las Vegas- they have gambling there.