MLB

Every day during baseball season, armadillosports.com analyzes daily baseball action, featuring pitchers’ trends, team trends, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We also have info on who scores/who gives up runs in the first inning, as well as first five inning trends for each team.

Check back every day during baseball season. We’ll have information on all the games thru the World Series.

____________________________________

Tuesday’s games
National League

Nationals (68-56) @ Pirates (51-73) 
Strasburg is 1-1, 8.31 in his last three starts; he is 6-2, 2.40 in nine starts vs Pitt. Team in his starts: 16-9
5-inning record: 11-10-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-25 Over/under: last six over

Archer is 0-3, 5.46 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 2.00 in three starts vs Washington. Team in his starts: 7-15
5-inning record: 8-10-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-22 Over/under: 13-8-1

Washington won 10 of last 13 games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2-1 last ten games.  

Pittsburgh lost 12 of last 15 games; they were outscored 22-1 in last three- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.  

Padres (59-65) @ Reds (58-66) 
Quantrill is 3-1, 3.00 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 6-5
5-inning record: 6-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-11 Over/under: 8-3

Gray is 3-0, 1.54 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 15-9 
5-inning record: 12-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

San Diego won its last three games; over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2-1 last six games. Closer Yates is likely unavailable here. 

Reds lost seven of their last nine games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.

Marlins (45-78) @ Braves (74-52) 
Hernandez is 1-1, 5.68 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 4-5
5-inning record: 3-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-9 Over/under: last three over

Keuchel is 1-0, 2.39 in his last four home starts; he is 1-1, 8.18 in two starts vs Miami this year. Team in his starts: 5-6 
5-inning record: 5-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-11 Over/under: 1-7-3

Marlins lost six of last seven games; they’re 6-13 in road series openers- over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.

Atlanta won five of last seven games; they’re 10-10 in home series openers- under is 8-4-3 in their last 15 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

Brewers (64-61) @ Cardinals (66-57)
Gonzalez is 0-0, 5.08 in his last six starts; he is 3-4, 3.21 in 10 starts vs St Louis. Team in his starts: 8-3
5-inning record: 4-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-11 Over/under: under 6-3 last nine

Wacha is 0-3, 6.63 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Milwaukee this season. Team in his starts: 7-9
5-inning record: 9-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-16 Over/under: under 5-0 last five

Brewers lost five of last seven games; over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games. 

St Louis won eight of last ten games; under is 12-2 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1 last four games.  

Giants (63-62) @ Cubs (66-58) 
Beede is 0-4, 8.66 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 8-6
5-inning record: 4-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-14 Over/under: under 4-1 last five

Hamels is 0-1, 11.33 in his last three starts; he is 6-4, 4.33 in 16 starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 13-7 
5-inning record: 12-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: under 6-2-1 last nine

Giants won six of last eight games; they’re 13-7 in road series openers- under is 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-5-1 last 14 games.

Cubs won 13 of last 16 home games; they’re 14-6 in home series openers- over is 4-0 in their last four home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: last three under.

Rockies (57-68) @ Diamondbacks (63-63)
Freeland is 1-4, 7.04 in his last six starts; he is 0-1, 10.80 in three starts vs Arizona this season. Team in his starts: 7-12
5-inning record: 7-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-19 Over/under: five of last six under

Young is 0-3, 6.91 in his last three starts; Arizona was shut out in all those games. Team in his starts: 4-4
5-inning record: 4-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-8 Over/under: 2-6

Colorado won four of its last four games; over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-0 last five games.

Diamondbacks lost four of their last six games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3-1 last nine games.

American League
Royals (45-80) @ Orioles (39-86)
Keller is 0-4, 4.85 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 2.25 vs Baltimore. Team in his games: 9-17
5-inning record: 9-11-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26 Over/under: under 5-0-2 last seven

Bundy is 0-2, 5.73 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 5.66 in five games (4 starts) vs KC. Team in his starts: 7-16
5-inning record: 10-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-23 Over/under: 9-12-2

Royals lost four of their last six games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 11-3 last 14 games.

Orioles lost 13 of their last 14 games; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-5 last 13 games.

Mariners (53-73) @ Rays (73-53)  
Milone is 0-2, 5.50 in his last four games (18 IP); they’ll probably use an opener. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Bullpen game for the Rays. Team in bullpen games: 17-12
5-inning record: 18-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-29 Over/under: 12-14-3
You’re reading armadillosports.com

Mariners lost 10 of last 16 games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.

Tampa Bay won seven of its last ten games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven home games.

Angels (62-65) @ Rangers (61-64) 
Heaney is 1-1, 3.60 in his last four starts; he is 1-3, 6.21 in eight starts vs Texas. Team in his games: 7-4
5-inning record: 7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-11 Over/under: 6-5

Bullpen game Team in his games: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Palumbo is 0-1, 16.50 in two starts this year. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0

Burke is making his MLB debut; he was 3-5, 3.18 in nine starts in AA, 0-0, 7.88 in two AAA starts. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0 

Angels won six of last ten games; over is 8-0 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 12-3 last 15 games.

Texas lost 10 of its last 13 games; under is 11-6 in their last 17 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 11-4 last 15 games.

White Sox (56-68) @ Twins (76-49)
Lopez is 2-1, 4.03 in his last four starts; he is 1-2, 5.46 in five starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 11-14
5-inning record: 11-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-25 Over/under: 13-12

Pineda is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 2.08 vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 15-9
5-inning record: 12-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-24 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven

White Sox are 10-8 in their last 18 games; over is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1 last six games.

Minnesota won five of its last seven games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-4 last nine games.

Tigers (37-85) @ Astros (80-46)
Turnbull is 0-3, 5.87 in his last five starts. Team in his games: lost last 10
5-inning record: 5-15-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: 6-13-2

Sanchez is 2-0, 3.86 in three starts for Houston; he is 3-0, 1.29 in eight games (5 starts) vs Detroit. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Tigers lost seven of their last nine games; under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

Astros lost five of their last seven games; over is 7-6 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-5 last 13 games.

New York (83-43) @ A’s (71-53) 
German is 4-0, 4.07 in his last four starts; he is 0-0, 6.00 in two games (1 start) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 17-3
5-inning record: 15-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-20 Over/under: last five over

Bailey is 2-0, 3.55 in two home starts for Oakland; he is 2-1, 4.42 in three starts vs NYY. Team in his starts: 3-2 
5-inning record: 3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5 Over/under: 4-1

New York won seven of last nine games; they’re 10-8 in road series openers- over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3-2 last 13 road games.

A’s won four of last five games; they’re 15-5 in home series openers- under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-2 last nine games.

Interleague
Phillies (64-60) @ Red Sox (67-59) 

Nola is 3-1, 3.16 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 17-9
5-inning record: 15-5-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-26 Over/under: 16-10

Johnson is 0-0, 4.96 in five starts (16.1 IP). Team in his starts: 2-3 
5-inning record: 4-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 2-2-1

Phillies lost five of last six road games; they’re 9-10 in road series openers- under is 10-8 in their last 18 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-4-1 last 12 games.

Boston won its last five games; they’re 12-8 in home series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 last four games.

Indians (74-51) @ Mets (64-60) 
Bieber is 3-2, 1.89 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 17-8
5-inning record: 14-6-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-25 Over/under: under 8-1 last nine

Matz is 1-1, 4.91 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 11-11 
5-inning record: 7-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-22 Over/under: 10-10-2

Cleveland lost four of its last six games; they’re 6-0 in last six road series openers- over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.

Mets won three of last four games; they’re 8-10 in home series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-1 last eight home games.

Blue Jays (52-75) @ Dodgers (82-44) 
Reid-Foley is 2-2, 4.15 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6 Over/under: 2-3-1

Kershaw is 5-0, 1.42 in his last six starts. Team in his starts: 17-4
5-inning record: 14-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: over 12-5 last 17

Blue Jays lost three of last four games; they’re 9-11 in road series openers- under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.

Dodgers lost three of last four games; they’re 14-6 in home series openers- under is 7-2 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: last three under.

_____________________________________

Today’s Tips

2019 bankroll: minus 23 calloways
Pending future bets:
– Matt Olson under 32.5 home runs
– Joey Lucchesi, over 8.5 wins
– Cincinnati Reds, under 79.5 wins
– Los Angeles Angels, under 83.5 wins
– Houston Astros (6-1) to win World Series
__________________________________

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/15
Ariz     20-66……14-56……34
Atl        21-63…..21-60……42
Cubs    15-60……22-60…..36
Reds    20-58……22-62…..42
Colo     14-62……22-58……36
LA        17-59……22-64……39
Mia       8-56……17-64……25
Milw     20-59…..22-62…..42
Mets     24-66……19-57…..43
Philly    15-58…..20-64……35
Pitt        21-64…..15-56……36
StL        15-62…..16-57…….31
SD         17-56……19-63…..36
SF          9-59……11-61…….20
Wash    18-61…..18-57……,36

Orioles  16-59…….20-61..…..36
Boston   15-61…….20-61……35
W Sox    14-59…….17-61…….31
Clev        18-57…..18-64……..36
Det         18-58……16-59……..34
Astros     26-63…..13-58……..37
KC           19-62…..21-60……..40
Angels     22-62……15-60…….37
Twins      23-59……15-62……37
NYY         17-57……25-67……42
A’s            14-60…..16-60…….29
Sea           14-59…..16-63…….30
TB            24-63…..17-57…….41
Texas       15-63…..21-58…….36
Toronto   15-62…..17-62…….32


Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL–  70-54 NL, favorites -$795 over 58-57-3
AL @ NL–  50-50, favorites -$2,080 over 57-44-5
Total: 120-104 NL, favorites -$2,875  Over 115-101-8

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL–  78-72 NL, favorites  -$593
AL @ NL–  75-64 NL, favorites +$175
Total: 153-136 NL, favorites -$418

Interleague play- 2017
NL @ AL–  86-58 AL, favorites -$434
AL @ NL–  75-72 NL, favorites +$396
Total: 159-131 AL, favorites -$38

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 72-70-4
AL @ NL: Over 75-65-8
Total: Over 147-135-12