Wednesday’s Den: MAC football trends

Last year, several MAC teams had their season decimated by COVID, playing only 3,4 games.

Akron:
— Last three years, they’re 5-25 SU (-23 turnovers)
— Since 2012, Zips are 4-22 ATS as home underdogs.
— Covered twice in last 16 games as an underdog.
— 1-2 all-time in bowl games; they won a bowl in Boise in 2015

Ball State:
— Last year was their first bowl game since 2013.
— Lost opener 38-31 LY, then won last seven games.
— 8-17 ATS last 25 home games, 14-12 last 26 on road.
— Since 2015, Cardinals are 3-9 ATS as a home underdog.

Bowling Green:
— Falcons were 0-5 LY, giving up 46.3 ppg.
— Lost 4 of last 5 bowls; their last bowl win was in 2014.
— Since 2016, Bowling Green is 2-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, Falcons are 2-13 ATS as an underdog.

Buffalo
— Went 24-10 SU last 3 years; their coach bolted to Kansas.
— None of the previous assistants were retained by new coach.
— Won bowls 31-9/17-10 last two years.
— Since 2017, Bulls are 22-8-1 ATS in MAC games.

Central Michigan:
— As HC, McElwain is 31-16 ATS when favored, 16-16-1 as an underdog.
— Lost last five bowl games, giving up 42.5 ppg.
— Since 2014, Chippewas are 18-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Were +6 in turnovers LY; previous four years, they were minus-22.

Eastern Michigan
— Since 2016, Eagles are 19-3 ATS as road underdogs.
— Since 2015, EMU is 18-5 ATS tin non-conference games.
— Last three years, they’re +14 in turnovers; from ’14-’17, they were minus-34.
— 1-3 all-time in bowls; only win was in 1987.

Kent State
— Last ten years, Kent is 8-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Went 3-1 LY, scoring 49.8 ppg.
— Last three years, Golden Flashes are 10-5 ATS coming off a loss.
— 1-2 all-time in bowls; they beat Utah State 51-41 in a 2018 bowl.

Miami
— HC Martin is 26-19-1 ATS as an underdog, 14-13 when favored.
— Since 2014, Miami is 25-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Miami has only 32 returning starts on offensive line TY.
— Red Hawks are 1-3 in last four bowls; their last bowl win was 2010.

Northern Illinois
— Huskies were 0-6 LY, giving up 40+ points four times, 30+ in other two.
— NIU is 5-13 last two years; from 2011-18, they were 65-34 SU.
— Huskies are 19-7 ATS in last 26 games as road underdogs
— NIU lost its last five bowls, scoring only 14.2 ppg.

Ohio U
— Coach Solich retired July 13; the old OC is the new head coach.
— Bobcats are 12-3 ATS in last 15 games as an underdog.
— Since 2015, Ohio U is 25-14 ATS coming off a win.
— Won last three bowls, by combined score of 98-27.

Toledo
— HC Candle is 21-17 ATS as favorite, 4-11 as an underdog.
— Rockets have 101 starts back on OL (whole 2-deep is back)
— Since 2018, Toledo is 4-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Rockets lost last three bowls, giving up 32.3 ppg.

Western Michigan:
— Broncos went 4-2 LY, scoring 41.7 ppg.
— Since 2013, WMU is 3-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four years, Broncos are 18-25-1 ATS.
— WMU lost last three bowls, scoring 18 ppg. 

Sunday’s Den: Random NFL trends…….

NFL trends that may come in handy, later this year:
13) Vikings are 0-7 ATS in last 7 Monday night road games.
— Minnesota covered six of last seven games vs Detroit.
— Vikings are 0-6 ATS vs opponent coming off a bye. 

12) Last three years, Giants are 18-6 ATS on road.
— Giants are 11-1 ATS as a road underdog of less than 7 points.
— Giants are 4-14 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog.

11) Jets are 0-6 ATS in last six games vs Miami.
— Last four years, Jets are 11-21-1 ATS on the road.

10) Dolphins are 6-10-1 ATS the week after playing New England.

9)  Patriots covered five of last seven games against the Jets.
— New England is 8-1 ATS the week after playing the Jets.

8) Last three years, Eagles are 5-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Philly is 2-5 ATS in last seven games vs Dallas.

7) Pittsburgh started 11-0 LY, then lost five of last six games.
— Steelers had 56 sacks last year (most)
— Steelers allowed 14 sacks last year (least)

6) Last four years, 49ers are 5-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— 49ers covered once in their last six games with Arizona.

5) Seattle is 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games with San Francisco.
— Seahawks are 9-2-2 ATS in last 13 games in Eastern time zone.

4) Tampa Bay is 2-9 ATS in last 11 Thursday games.
— Last four years, Buccaneers are 8-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.

3) It has been 16 years since the NFC East champ repeated the next season; Washington win the division last year.

2) Washington is 0-7 ATS in last seven Monday home games.
— Washington is 0-5 ATS the week after playing the Eagles.

1) Tennessee is 31-21 SU under Vrabel, but was outgained all three years.
— Last three years, Titans are 6-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tennessee is 2-11 ATS the week after a Monday night game. 

Thursday’s Den: First draft of my Week 1 NFL article

Dallas @ Tampa Bay
— Last 4 years, Cowboys are 5-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Dallas lost three of last four road openers SU.
— Cowboys are 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a dog in road openers.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven Week 1 games.

— Defending Super Bowl champs are ATS in Week 1 the next year.
— Tampa Bay was 3-2-1 ATS LY as a home favorite.
— Buccaneers won three of last four Week 1 games.
— Bucs won/covered three of last four home openers.
— Tampa scored 27+ points in four of last five home openers.
— Four of their last five Week 1 games went over.

— Dallas won 7 of last 8 series games.
— Cowboys lost 3 of last 5 visits here, scoring 6-0-7 points in losses.
— Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.

Sunday games
Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
— Steelers opened on road last six years (3-2-1 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) 
— Steelers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.
— Pittsburgh is 3-1-1 SU last five road openers.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight road openers.

— Bills are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as home favorites.
— Home team won their last six Week 1 games.
— Bills are 9-5 ATS last 14 home openers.
— Buffalo is 6-2 ATS as a favorite in home openers.

— Crowd should be mixed for this game; tough day for security guards.
— Bills beat Pittsburgh last two years, after losing previous six meetings.
— Steelers gained only 224 yards, lost 26-15 here LY; Buffalo scored on pick-6.
— Pittsburgh won four of last five visits to Orchard Park.

NJ Jets @ Carolina 
— Jets have new coach, new QB.
— Jets started 0-1 four of last five years.
— Last five years, Gang Green is 10-22-2 ATS as road dogs.
— Jets are 11-4 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven road openers.

— Last 2 years, Panthers lost 30-27/34-30 at home in Week 1.
— Last 5 years, Carolina is 10-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— Panthers are 6-11-1 ATS last in 18 home openers.
— Under 16-6-1 last 23 home openers.

— Sam Darnold played 3 years for the Jets, going 13-25 as their QB.
— Panthers are 3-2 in last five series games, scoring 30+ in all three wins.
— Jets lost 30-20/30-3 in last two visits to Charlotte.

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
— New coach; 2nd-year QB started four games (1-3) LY.
— Eagles won four of last five season openers.
— Last 5 years, Eagles are 12-13 ATS as road underdogs.
— Philly won 5 of last 7 Week 1 games on road.
— Over 7-4-1 in their last dozen road openers.

— New coach, new GM for Atlanta.
— Last 5 years, Falcons are 15-18 ATS as home favorites.
— Falcons lost four of last five Week 1 games.
— Atlanta is 17-5 ATS in last 22 home openers.
— Since 2004, Falcons are 8-1 ATS as a favorite in HO’s.
— Over is 4-1 in Atlanta’s last five home openers.

— Eagles are 11-5 in last 16 series games.
— Philly lost last three visits here, by 4-2-4 points.
— For what its worth, Matt Ryan is from Philadelphia

Minnesota @ Cincinnati 
— Last three years, Vikings are 6-3 ATS as road favorites.
— Minnesota won/covered four of last five Week 1 games.
— Vikings are 0-3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS last four road openers.
— This is first time in 5 years Vikings open on road.
— Under 12-5 in their last 17 road openers.

— Cincinnati started out 1-0 four of last seven years.
— Bengals are 8-7-1 ATS last 16 games as home dogs.
— Cincy won/covered once in last five home openers.
— Bengals are 3-6-1 ATS as favorite in home openers.
— Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home openers.

— Coach Zimmer was Bengals’ DC from 2008-13.
— Home side won last four series games.
— Vikings lost last two visits here, 42-14/37-8.

San Francisco @ Detroit
— Last 2 years, 49ers won road opener 31-17/31-13.
— 49ers won 8 of last 10 season openers.
— Niners are 5-3 ATS last eight games as road favorite.
— Under 6-1 last seven season openers.
— Under 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.

— New coach, new GM, new QB for Lions.
— Pretty sure Detroit will try hard to run ball a lot.
— 0-2-1 SU last three season openers (favored in all 3)
— Lost four of last six home openers.
— Over 8-3 last 11 home openers.
— Lions’ last ten season openers went over the total.

— 49ers won 8 of last 9 series games.
— Favorites are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.
— Niners won 2 of last 3 visits here, losing 32-15 in last visit, in 2015.

Arizona @ Tennessee
— Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in last five Week 1 games.
— Cardinals lost 4 of last 5 road openers SU, but covered 10 of last 13.
— Last 2 years, Arizona is 6-3-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Under 10-5 last 15 road openers.

— Tennessee lost SU last three times they opened season at home.
— Titans are 2-5 SU last seven home openers (2-7 ATS last nine)
— Last five years, Tennessee is 14-11-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine home openers.

— Arizona won three of last four series games.
— Titans lost last meeting 12-7 in desert in 2017.
— Redbirds split last two visits here; Tennessee gained 460-531 TY, though.

Seattle @ Indianapolis 
— Seahawks split last six season openers SU.
— Seattle is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.
— Seattle won last 2 road openers 28-26/38-25, after losing 11 of previous 12.
— Seahawks are 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road openers.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven road openers.

— Colts started out 0-1 the last seven years.
— First game for Carson Wentz as a Colt.
— Last three years, Indy is 9-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Won last two home openers, covered 3 of last 4.
— Last five season openers went over total.

— Colts won three of last five series games.
— Seattle lost 34-28/34-17 in last two visits here.
— Seahawks won last meeting 46-18 at home, in 2017.

LA Chargers @ Washington
— New coach, new OC for Chargers. 
— Bolts are 8-4-2 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
— Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS last five Week 1 road games.
— Bolts are 6-2-1 ATS last nine road openers
— Bolts are 10-5-1 ATS as underdogs in road openers.

— QB Fitzpatrick gets to start for another NFL team.
— Washington is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as home underdogs.
— Washington covered last three Week 1 games.
— Washington is 1-4 ATS in last five home openers as a dog.
— Washington is 2-7 SU in last nine home openers.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten home openers.

— Chargers won four of last five series games.
— Bolts split last two visits here, losing last visit, in 2013.

Jacksonville @ Houston 
— First NFL game for Urban Meyer figures to be interesting.
— Jaguars won season openers three of last four years.
— Last 3 years, Jacksonville is 8-12-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Jaguars lost 11 of last 13 road openers, but covered last four.
— Under is 12-6 in their last 18 road openers.

— HC Culley is also new head coach; he’s never been a coordinator.
— Texans are 9-14-1 ATS last 24 games as home favorites.
— Texans lost three of last four home openers, scoring 14.5 ppg.
— Houston is 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— Under 10-6 in their last 16 home openers.

— Texans won last six series games.
— Jaguars are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Houston.
— Two guys who have never been NFL head coaches before.

Cleveland @ Kansas City 
— Browns are 2-19-1 SU in season openers (1-1-1 last three)
— Last 5 years, Cleveland is 12-19-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Browns are 3-5-1 ATS last nine road openers.
— Last five road openers stayed under total.

— Chiefs won last six season openers, covered last four.
— Last five years, they scored 33-42-38-40-34 in Week 1.
— Last four years, Chiefs are 20-14 ATS as home favorites.
— KC won last five home openers, covered last four.
— Over 4-0-2 in their last six home openers.

— Chiefs beat Cleveland 22-17 here in LY’s playoffs (led 19-3 at half).
— Chiefs won last four series games, three by 6 or fewer points.
— Browns covered last four visits to Arrowhead.

Miami @ New England
— Since 1994, under is 22-5 in Miami’s road openers (12-0 last 12)
— Dolphins lost four of last six season openers.
— Dolphins are 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as road underdogs.
— Miami is 5-12 SU in last 17 road openers (5-3 ATS last 8)

— Patriots started 1-0 in 15 of last 17 seasons.
— New England won 7 of last 8 home openers (4-1 ATS last five)
— Last five years, Patriots are 27-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Under 7-2 last nine home openers.

— These teams split their season series the last four years.
— New England covered first meeting the last six years.
— Dolphins lost 11 of last 12 visits to Foxboro (1-8 ATS last nine).

Green Bay @ New Orleans
— Green Bay won last six season openers (5-1 ATS)
— Packers are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as road underdogs.
— Green Bay won/covered last four Week 1 road games.
— Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road openers.

— Saints have new QB for first time since 2005.
— Last 3 years, Saints are 10-14 ATS as home favorites.
— New Orleans lost five of last seven season openers.
— Saints are 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— Last 3 years, scored 40-30-34 points in home opener.
— Saints lost five of last seven season openers.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Packers won 37-20 here LY, their first win in last four visits to Superdome.

Denver @ NY Giants
— Denver lost last four road openers, scoring 16.8 ppg.
— Last 5 years, Broncos are 18-22 ATS on the road.
— Broncos are 7-10 ATS last 17 road openers.

— Giants started nine of last ten seasons 0-1.
— Last four years, Giants are 9-22-1 ATS at home.
— Big Blue is 1-8 SU, 0-9 ATS last nine home openers.
— Giants scored 14.2 ppg in last five home openers.
— Under 7-0 in their last seven home openers.

— Denver won three of last five series games.
— Broncos split last two series games played here.

Chicago @ LA Rams
— Chicago is 1-6 in last seven Week 1 games.
— Bears are 2-4 ATS last six road openers.
— Last five years, Chicago is 10-16-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Bears are 4-6 SU in last ten road openers.
— Under 16-5 in their last 21 road openers.

— First game for Stafford as Rams’ QB, after 12 years in Detroit.
— Rams also have a new defensive coordinator.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 SU in Week 1.
— Rams won/covered last six home openers.
— Under McVay, LA is 14-12-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Under is 4-1 in last five home openers.

— First game with fans at SoFi Stadium.
— Bears won six of last nine series games, but lost 24-10 here LY.
— Chicago’s only TD in that game was scored by the defense.
— Bears lost three of last four road series games, losing by 14-10-21 points.

Baltimore @ Las Vegas 
— Baltimore won/covered last five season openers
— Ravens won/covered four of last five road openers.
— Baltimore is 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road favorites. 
— Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road openers.

— Las Vegas won four of last five season openers.
— Raiders won three of last four home openers.
— Last three years, Raiders are 7-7 ATS as home underdogs.
— Las Vegas is 3-5 ATS in last eight tries as a dog in HO’s.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.

— First game with fans at Allegiant Stadium.
— Ravens won six of last eight series games.
— Ravens split last four trips to Oakland; this is their first visit to Las Vegas.
— Underdogs won three of last four series games SU. 

Saturday’s Den: Big 14 football knowledge

Illinois
— New coach Bielema was 37-19 SU in Big 14 games at Wisconsin, from 2006-12.
— Bielema later went 11-29 SU in SEC games at Arkansas.
— Last nine years, Illinois is 14-25 ATS as a road underdog.
— Illini lost last two bowls, haven’t won one since 2011, their last winning year.

Indiana
— Hoosiers went 14-7 SU last 2 years, after going 36-62 previous eight years.
— HC Allen is 17-4 ATS if home team is favored, 8-13 if road team is favored.
— Under Allen, Indiana is 18-6 ATS coming off a win.
— Indiana lost its last six bowls; their last bowl win was 1991.

Iowa
— Last eight years, Iowa is 19-5-1 ATS as road favorites. 
— Last three years, Hawkeyes were +9/+9/+9 in turnovers.
— Iowa covered 7 of its last 8 non-conference games.
— Hawkeyes won last three bowls, scoring 34.3 ppg.

Maryland
— HC Locksley was 8-43 SU at New Mexico, is 6-17 SU here.
— Last 6 years, Maryland is 23-41 SU; their last bowl was 2016.
— Last 5 years, Terps are 5-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— Terps lost last three bowls; their last bowl win was 2010.

Michigan
— Harbaugh is 9-17 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last five years, Michigan is 4-10 ATS off a loss.
— Since 2013, Wolverines are 12-22-1 ATS out of conference.
— Michigan lost its last four bowls, giving up 34.8 ppg.

Michigan State
— 2013-15, Spartans were 36-5 SU; since then, they’re 29-29 SU.
— Last three years, MSU is 2-15 ATS at home, 1-10 as a favorite.
— Spartans are 2-7-1 ATS in last ten games as an underdog.
— Over last decade, MSU is 9-2 ATS on neutral fields.

Minnesota
— Gophers were 3-4 LY, with two losses in overtime.
— HC Fleck is 27-15-2 ATS on road, 22-23 at home.
— Last 7 years, Minnesota is 22-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— Gophers won their last four bowls, were underdog in 3 of them.

Nebraska
— Four straight losing seasons, going 16-28 SU.
— Last 8 years, Nebraska is 14-25-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Last 4 years, they’re 2-7 ATS out of conference.
— Junior QB Martinez has 27 starts; they have 3 starters back on OL. 

Northwestern
— Under Fitzgerald, Wildcats are 37-17 ATS as road underdogs.
— New QB Hilinski started 11 games at South Carolina.
— Last five years, Wildcats are 15-9-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Northwestern won its last four bowls, scoring 30.3 ppg.

Ohio State
— This is first time since 1952 Ohio St doesn’t have QB that has thrown a college pass.
— HC Day is 14-5 ATS as a favorite.
— Last 5 years, Buckeyes are 56-7 SU, with +45 turnover ratio.
— Special teams slipped to #104 LY; previous 5 years, they were #32 or better.

Penn State
— Started 0-5 LY, giving up 36 ppg, then won last four games.
— Last 6 years, Penn State is 3-17 ATS coming off a loss.
— Nittany Lions have a junior QB with 20 career starts.
— Franklin went 24-15 SU at Vanderbilt; he’s a good coach. 

Purdue
— Last three years, Purdue is 1-7 ATS as home favorites.
— Last three years, Purdue is 7-3 ATS as home underdogs.
— HC Brohm is 19-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Purdue is 3-2 SU in last 5 bowls; average total 78.

Rutgers
— Rutgers hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2014.
— Last six years, Scarlet Knights are 16-43 SU.
— HC Schiano is 26-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— 2018-19, Rutgers was minus-27 in turnovers; LY, they were +5.

Wisconsin
— Last three years, Badgers are 5-11 ATS as home favorites.
— Last eight years, Badgers are 20-9 ATS as road favorites.
— Last two years, Wisconsin is 0-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— HC Chryst won six of his eight bowl games. 

Monday’s Den: Early season trends for AFC teams

Ravens:
— Won/covered last five season openers
— Won last four season openers by combined 164-19.
— 11-5 ATS in last 16 home openers.
— Under 6-2 last eight home openers.
— Won/covered four of last five road openers.
— Over 9-4-1 last 14 road openers.

Bills:
— Home team won their last six Week 1 games.
— 9-5 ATS last 14 home openers.
— 6-2 ATS as a favorite in home openers.
— 11-8 ATS in last 19 road openers.
— Under 10-7 last 17 road openers.
— Were favored once in last 17 road openers (0-1 ATS)

Bengals:
— Started out 1-0 four of last seven years.
— Won/covered once in last five home openers.
— 3-6-1 ATS as favorite in home openers.
— Under 9-4 last 13 home openers.
— 6-1 ATS last seven road openers.
— Over 9-2 last 11 road openers.

Browns:
— 2-19-1 SU in season openers (1-1-1 last three)
— 5-4 ATS in last 9 home openers, after 1-12 stretch.
— 0-6 ATS all-time as favorite in home openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven home opener.
— 3-5-1 ATS last nine road openers.
— Last five road openers stayed under total.

Broncos:
— Lost last two home openers, both 16-14, after a 27-2 run.
— Last five home openers were decided by total of 11 points.
— 8-4 ATS last dozen home openers.
— Over 8-5-1 last 14 home openers.
— Lost last four road openers, scoring 16.8 ppg.
— 7-10 ATS last 17 road openers.

Texans:
— Lost three of last four home openers, scoring 14.5 ppg.
— 1-5 ATS last six home openers.
— Under 10-6 last 16 home openers.
— Lost five of last six road openers.
— Under 5-1 last six road openers.
— 3-1-1 all-time ATS as favorite in road openers.

Colts:
— Started out 0-1 the last seven years.
— Last five season openers went over total.
— Won last two home openers, covered 3 of last 4.
— Lost nine of last 11 road openers.
— Four of last five road openers went over.
— 4-12-2 ATS last 18 games as underdog in road openers. 

Jaguars:
— Won season openers three of last four years.
— Hasn’t been favored in their home opener since 2010.
— Lost seven of last nine home openers.
— Last five home openers went over total.
— Lost 11 of last 13 road openers, but covered last four.
— Under is 12-6 in last 18 road openers.

Chiefs:
— Won last six season openers, covered last four.
— Last five years, scored 33-42-38-40-34 in Week 1.
— Won last five home openers, covered last four.
— Over 4-0-2 last six home openers.
— Won/covered six of last eight road openers.
— Over 4-2 last six road openers.

Raiders:
— Won four of last five season openers.
— Won three of last four home openers.
— 3-6 ATS last 9 tries as a favorite in home openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven home openers.
— 10-3-1 ATS last 14 road openers.
— Since 1997, they’re 1-3 ATS as a favorite in road openers.

Chargers:
— 4-6 ATS last 10 tries as a favorite in home openers.
— Lost three of last four home openers SU.
— Over 14-4 last 18 home openers.
— 6-2-1 ATS last nine road openers.
— 4-0-1 ATS last five Week 1 road games.
— 10-5-1 ATS as an underdog in road openers.

Dolphins:
— Lost four of last six season openers.
— Won/covered six of last nine home openers
— Favored in only 6 of last 17 home openers.
— Over 11-1 last dozen home openers.
— 5-12 SU in last 17 road openers (5-3 ATS last 8)
— Since 1994, under is 22-5 in their road openers (12-0 last 12)

Patriots:
— Started 1-0 in 15 of last 17 seasons.
— Won 7 of last 8 home openers (4-1 ATS last five)
— Under 7-2 last nine home openers.
— Won 7 of last 10 road openers.
— 15-9 ATS last 24 road openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven road openers.

Jets:
— Started 0-1 four of last five years.
— Since 1992, 3-10-1 ATS as favorite in home opener.
— Lost four of last five home openers SU.
— Under 3-1 last four home openers.
— 11-4 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven road openers.

Steelers:
— Opened on road last six years (3-2-1 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) 
— Favored in 19 of last 20 home openers (W15-9, +1.5 in ’10)
— 15-3 SU last 18 home openers (0-3 ATS last three)
— Under 8-4 last dozen home openers.
— 3-1-1 SU last five road openers.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight road openers.

Titans:
— Lost SU last three times they opened season at home.
— 2-5 SU last seven home openers (2-7 ATS last nine)
— Under 6-3 last nine home openers.
— Won 7 of last 8 road openers SU
— Since 2007, 9-1 ATS as underdog in road opener.
— Over 3-1 last four road openers. 

Saturday’s Den: Mountain West football trends…….

Air Force:
— HC Calhoun is 44-52-1 ATS as favorite, 34-26-2 as underdog.
— Last four years, Air Force is 7-3-1 ATS as road underdog.
— Since 2014, Falcons are 21-8-1 ATS out of conference.
— Since 2013, Air Force is 13-29-1 ATS coming off a loss.

Boise State:
— Last 3 years, Boise is 16-8 ATS in conference games.
— Over last decade, Broncos are 6-3 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five years, Boise is 3-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— 2017-18, Boise was +24 in turnovers; last two years, they were minus-4.

Colorado State:
— Rams’ last bowl was 2017; last bowl win, 2013.
— Rams haven’t been better than 7-6 since McElwain left after 2014 season.
— HC Addazio is 38-25-2 ATS as an underdog.
— State is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.

Fresno State:
— 2017-18, Fresno was 22-6; last two years, they were 7-11.
— Since 2013, Bulldogs are 13-7-3 ATS as road favorites.
— Last four years, Bulldogs are +24 in turnovers.
— QB Haener transferred to Fresno from Washington.

Hawai’i:
— Todd Graham went 5-4 in his first year here LY, won a bowl.
— Since 2014, Rainbows are 6-20-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Over last decade, Hawaii is 2-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Underdogs covered their last five bowl games.

Nevada:
— Under Norvell, Nevada is 15-7 ATS at home, 8-12 on road.
— Wolf Pack won 3 of last 4 bowls; they weren’t favored in any of them.
— Last five years, Nevada is 8-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last four years, Wolf Pack is 19-13 ATS in conference tilts.

UNLV:
— Last ten years, UNLV is 33-84 SU- they were 0-6 LY.
— Rebels’ last bowl was 2013; their last bowl win, 2000.
— Last five years, UNLV is 5-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— This year’s over/under win total is 1.5; not lot of optimism there.

New Mexico:
— Last four years, Lobos are minus-31 in turnovers (10-33).
— Last six years, New Mexico is 3-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— Lobos’ last bowl outside of New Mexico was in 2004.
— Veteran HC Rocky Long is in his 2nd year as Lobos’ DC.

San Diego State:
— They’re playing home games 113 miles from their campus.
— Aztecs are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Last six years, San Diego State is +61 in turnovers.
— 65 returning starts on OL and a new QB; they’ll run ball more this year.

San Jose State:
— Spartans went 7-1 LY; previous six years, they were 21-53.
— Under Brennan, San Jose is 27-17-1 ATS.
— In 2017, Spartans were minus-26 in turnovers; since then, they’re +13.
— QB Starkel played previously at Texas A&M/Arkansas.

Utah State:
— New HC Anderson made 6 bowls (2-4) in 7 years at Arkansas State.
— Since 2013, Aggies are 3-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— Utah State lost 3 of last 4 bowls; they were favored in all four.
— Junior QB Bonner (15 starts) transferred to Utah State from Arkansas State.

Wyoming:
— Last five years, Wyoming is 10-4 ATS as home favorites.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs.
— Wyoming won its last two bowls, covered four of last five.
— Cowboys have 21 of 22 starters back this season. 

Thursday’s Den: Big X football knowledge

Baylor:
— From 2013-15, they were 32-7; since then, they’re 28-33.
— Their 4-year starting QB bolted to Utah.
— LY was Aranda’s first year as a HC; he went 2-7.
— Underdogs covered 4 of their last five bowls (3-2 SU)

Iowa State
— HC Campbell is 29-13-2 ATS as an underdog, 30-29-2 as a favorite.
— Last three years, Cyclones are 6-10 ATS as home favorites.
— Last six years, Iowa State is 22-10-1 ATS off a loss.
— Returning QB has 33 starts; offensive line has 93 returning starts.

Kansas
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 18-99 SU. 18 wins. 99 losses.
— New coach Leipold won six D-III national titles, was 37-33 at Buffalo.
— Since 2012, Kansas is 4-12 ATS as home favorites, 0-0 as road favorites.
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 40-56-3 ATS as underdogs, 20-32-2 on road.

Kansas State
— Since 2016, K-State is 24-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2015, K-State is 7-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— In 2016-17, Wildcats went 17-9 SU, were +23 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Wildcats are 17-18 SU (even in turnovers)
— K-State has a senior QB (30 starts), all 5 starters back on OL.

Oklahoma
— Last 6 years, Sooners are 67-12 SU; their turnover ration last 5 years is even.
— Riley is 9-5 ATS in non-conference games.
— Sooners lost 3 of last 4 bowl games, giving up 45.5 ppg.
— Last year’s #2 QB bolted to SMU.

Oklahoma State
— Cowboys have played in a bowl each of last 15 years.
— Coach Gundy is 71-48-5 ATS as a favorite.
— OSU won four of last five bowls, covering all five games.
— Oklahoma State covered 16 of last 18 non-conference games.

Texas
— Sarkisian is Texas’ 4th HC in last nine years.
— Last four years, Longhorns were +31 in turnovers.
— Last four years, Texas is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last five years, Longhorns are 12-5 ATS out of conference.

TCU
— Last 5 years, Horned Frogs are 6-11-1 ATS as home favorites.
— In 2014, TCU was +18 in turnovers; in 75 games since then, they’re minus-8.
— Since 2013, TCU is 14-21 ATS coming off a loss.
— Frogs won 3 of last 4 bowls, winning by 2-3-6(OT) points.

Texas Tech
— Last bowl game was 2017; last bowl win, 2013.
— HC Wells is 20-12-1 ATS as home favorite, 11-18 as road underdog.
— Since 2014, Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS as road favorite.
— New OC is Sonny Cumbie; he spent last 7 years at TCU.

West Virginia
— HC Brown is 14-19-1 ATS at home, 22-12 ATS on road.
— WVU is 0-5 ATS in last 5 bowls (2-3 SU, wins by 1-3 points)
— Since 2012, Mountaineers are 12-19 ATS out of conference.
— Last 2 years, WVU is 11-11 SU; previous 8 years, they were 61-39. 

Saturday’s Den: ACC football knowledge

Boston College:
— BC is 24-9-1 ATS in last 34 games as an underdog.
— Last four years, Eagles are 9-2-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four years, BC is 24-9-1 ATS in ACC games.
— Eagles lost three of last four bowls (beat Maryland 36-30 in ’16).

Clemson
— Since 2012, Clemson is 111-14 SU.
— Offensive coordinator is in 6th year there; DC is in his 9th year.
— Tigers lost last two bowl games, 42-25/49-28.
— Clemson is 27-17-1 ATS in last 45 games as a favorite.

Duke
— Last 2 years, Blue Devils are 7-16 SU, with minus-30 turnover ratio.
— Under Cutcliffe, Duke is 8-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Blue Devils scored 43 ppg in last five bowls, winning last three.
— Last three years, Duke is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.

Florida State
— Last three years, Seminoles are 14-20 SU.
— This is first time in five years they’ve had same OC two years in row.
— FSU covered once in its last ten non-conference games.
— Since 2016, Seminoles are 10-15 ATS as home favorites.

Georgia Tech
— Last 2 years, Tech was 6-16 SU, transitioning from option to spread attack.
— HC Collins is 3-8-1 ATS as a home favorite, 4-1-1 as road favorite.
— Last three years, Yellow Jackets are 5-12-1 ATS at home.
— Last three years, Tech is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.

Louisville
— Last three years, Louisville is 14-22 SU, with minus-25 turnover ratio
— Last three years, Cardinals are 2-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four years, Louisville is 6-14 ATS coming off a win.
— As head coach, Satterfield is 31-24-1 ATS when favored, 9-14-3 as a dog.

Miami
— As head coach, Diaz is 6-9 ATS when favored, 4-1 as an underdog.
— Last four years, Miami is 12-17 ATS coming off a win.
— Miami lost its last four bowls, scoring only 15.3 ppg.
— From 2015-17, Hurricanes were +34 in turnovers; last three years, +6.

North Carolina
— Tar Heels are 15-10 last two years, after going 5-18 in 2017-18.
— Last three years, Carolina is 5-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— UNC lost four of last five bowl games, giving up 33.6 ppg.
— QB has 25 career starts, offensive line has 116 career starts.

NC State
— Under Doeren, State is 14-23-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Wolfpack is 8-13 ATS coming off a win.
— Last three years, State is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— Favorites covered four of their last five bowls.

Pittsburgh
— Last six years, Pitt is 8-15-2 ATS as home favorite, 22-11 ATS on road.
— Last four years, Panthers are 14-9 ATS off a loss.
— Pitt lost four of last five bowls (underdogs 4-1 ATS)
— Pitt has a senior QB with 36 career starts.

Syracuse
— Syracuse was outgained by 199 yards/game last year.
— Orange OL has 120 career starts returning.
— Syracuse won its last four bowls; last loss was in 2004.
— Syracuse has played in only one bowl since 2013.

Virginia
— Last years, Cavaliers are 13-6 ATS at home.
— Virginia is 8-3 ATS in last 11 non-conference games.
— Cavaliers lost four of last five bowls, were underdog in all five.
— Virginia’s OL has 132 returning starts this season.

Virginia Tech
— Last year was first time in 28 years Hokies didn’t go to a bowl.
— Last three years, Virginia Tech is only 19-18 SU.
— Last five years, Hokies are 5-12 ATS as home favorites.
— Tech lost its last three bowls, giving up 34 ppg.

Wake Forest
— Last 5 years, Wake is 3-2 in bowls; first time ever they played in 5 straight bowls.
— Since 2015, Deacons are 2-6 ATS as road favorites, 15-7 as road dogs.
— Over their last 22 games, Wake Forest is +18 in turnovers.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense; their QB has 19 career starts.